Within that argument Murray was a goalie that was consistently good until, according to Woodley, the pens defensive structure exposed his weakness and possibly mental issues when his father passed. In the same interview Woodley said Murray has addressed his stylistic weakness and was trending well until injury last season. This season he seems to be on the same track of improvement, so in this case it would be more likely for Murray to be able to sustain a high level of play than for samsonov to achieve it, just looking at it from a odds perspective.
From that view Murray is the safer bet, no?
Samsonov looked like a world beater before he went down to and I'm still inclined to prefer the younger guy without Murray's injury History
If we could get 6-7 good years out of Samsonov its a lot of organizational stability at a position like goaltender