We're Around 4 million over the cap even with Murray and Muzzin on LTIR, Who is Gone?

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Marner disappeared when we needed him. Nylander was embarrassing at times, needed to be sheltered and didn’t resemble anything you win a cup with.
Honestly, both should be gone. We'll never get to the grail with these 2 ....nor with AM. They've proven multiple times they're unable/unwilling to do what it takes to win in the PO....why do we ( and more importantly mgmt kid ourselves)???
 
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The good old days, Pal.

My question/concern is 2 or 3 fold.

In the offseason there is a 10% overage slush fund for teams to exceed the hard cap ceiling so that means + $8.35 mil of which the Leafs are currently at. However I can't recall if offseason LTIR (Muzzin) is in addition to that, or was designed for exactly issues like that to be used in the 10%?,

1) Does that make the Leafs vulnerable to an Offersheet for Samsonov with no cap room to match?

2) If Sammy does take the Leafs to arbitration and the award is too high like say $6 mil would the Leafs walk away, ,making him a UFA and instead of buying out Murray he is the Leafs backup this year?

3) If Sammy does not choose Arb. then Leafs can't buyout Murray and must find a taker in trade or they will not have room to resign him.

Any on these valid issues or concerns?
Had to read up a bit. I can't find it explicitly stated in the CBA, but CapFriendly has this, and no reason to think they are wrong:

Can LTIR be used in the off-season? LTIR FAQ - CapFriendly - NHL Salary Caps

Yes, LTIR can be used in the off-season while the 10% off-season cushion is active. LTIR in the off-season is calculated using the basic equation outlined above, which permits a team to exceed the off-season salary cap. To use off-season LTIR the team must provide doctors proof that the player in question will continue to be injured at the beginning of the regular season for 10 NHL games and 24 calendar days.

At the start of the season the teams LTIR relief & ACSL is recalculated when the 10% cushion is removed.

So, given that, it doesn't seem like we are in an offseason cap crunch (yet), we should be eligible to go Cap+10%+Muzzin contract.. another $5 million or so I think... So I think 1 & 3 are covered by that. I can't imagine Sammy won't elect for arbitration though, surely the QO from the Leafs was the minimum $1.8 offer, he's not taking that.

#2 is a possibility though, right?

Isn't Gio a +35 contract? even if he retires his cap hit will count. or do I have this wrong?
2020 MoU changed the hard and fast rule on the 35+'s, stumbled over it myself this week. Gio could retire and it would be gone. Rule was modified to more specifically target the long term back diving contracts it was meant to guard against in the first place. Gio on 2 years not front loaded is fine.
 
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Had to read up a bit. I can't find it explicitly stated in the CBA, but CapFriendly has this, and no reason to think they are wrong:

So, given that, it doesn't seem like we are in an offseason cap crunch (yet), we should be eligible to go Cap+10%+Muzzin contract.. another $5 million or so I think... So I think 1 & 3 are covered by that. I can't imagine Sammy won't elect for arbitration though, surely the QO from the Leafs was the minimum $1.8 offer, he's not taking that.

#2 is a possibility though, right?

Good Work :)

Your investigation cheque can be picked at BWO office, Office hours open 24 / 7 for Leaf fans.
 
Based on this roster, capfriendly says that the Leafs have just over 3M ($3,052,717) in cap space to sign Samsonov.

1688559901795.png
 
Ilya Samsonov's QO offer is 2.160M. Leafs have tendered that. He has elected for arbitration.
Is it 120%? Wasn’t sure, had settled on 100 as his base salary was over 1 million. What am I missing?

edit: No, I had it right, $1.8 because over 1 million salary last year. Not that it matters much..

And yes, there’s the player elected arbitration .

 
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That’s disappearing the whole Murray contract though, that’s the hard part right?
If oft-injured Mrazek only cost 13 spots dropped in the draft for 2 full years, it shouldn't cost as much for a goalie who can actually play top-notch for the 20-25 games he's healthy.
 
If oft-injured Mrazek only cost 13 spots dropped in the draft for 2 full years, it shouldn't cost as much for a goalie who can actually play top-notch for the 20-25 games he's healthy.
Here's hoping.
 
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Ilya Samsonov's QO offer is 2.160M. Leafs have tendered that. He has elected for arbitration.

Some people believe Samsonov's # is going to come in around $3 mil this year.

If Sammy was going to take $3 mil wouldn't he already be signed, as it certainly wouldn't be Leafs side holding it up?

The player elected Arbitration decision seems to suggest both sides are not close in term or $$ this a 3rd party ruling on case.
 
I know there's been proposals for Hanifin and a couple other D-men for Nylander, but something different.

Brodie + Nylander for Zadorov + Lindholm as the base of the trade, maybe some picks involved. Saves us close to 3M in cap, also Lindholm is a right shot, could be tried on Tavares' wing if needed, or move Tavares to LW and have Lindholm as the C. I prefer the hypothetical lineup below, gives you a real checking line and great depth throughout the lineup. Looking at Vegas, they had 3 lethal lines capable of scoring and controlling the play.


Bertuzzi - Matthews - Marner
Knies - Tavares - X
Domi - Lindholm - Jarnkrok
Lafferty - Holmberg - Reaves


Rielly - X
McCabe - Liljegren
Zadorov - Timmins
Giordano

Brodie is still a decent D-man and pending UFA, played lots of years in Calgary. We likely won't be able to pay Nylander what he's asking for. We get Zadorov, a big physical D-man that plays with an edge. Lindholm also a pending UFA, but can fit under our cap. A good 2 way Center who also plays a tough game and we can actually have a realistic chance at re-signing him to something reasonable, in the 8M range.
 
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I wonder if there's a "wink wink" deal with Samsonov to file for arb strictly to allow the team to activate the 2nd buyout window and dump Murray, should no deal to trade him be successful. Once Murray is off the books (one way or another), Sammy's new deal is announced and no arb neeeded.
 
People are saying just trade Willie & get a big return.
Not so fast First he'll have to agree to sign long-term. Does that team want the headache of negotiating with an agent who wants more $$$ then a player on par with him... ie Timo Meier?
Ofcourse you say what you want about the 10m per year ask but with taxes in Canada is not the same as 8.5-9m or less in the states
 
Brodie was horrible in the playoffs and the 2nd half of the season. Looks like his wheels fell off.
I agree. Although Brodie has served the Leafs well, he faded badly as the season went on. He is going into the final year of his contract and I cannot envision the Leafs re-signing him.

I see some posters wanting to dump Timmins. Although he played limited minutes in a heavily sheltered role, I thought that he played well enough to want to see more of him.

I sorted the seven Leafs defensemen currently on their roster by weight, (heaviest to lightest), height, (tallest to shortest), and age, (youngest to oldest). In other words, the names at the top of the list are the most attractive and the ones at the bottom the least attractive. (I acknowledge that this approach does not assess performance, but it is difficult to assess performance objectively.)

Based on all of the above, I expect the Leafs to trade Brodie. He still has positive value. The Leafs should use his cap space to find someone better suited to the team that Tre is building. Another option is to see how Liljegren and Timmins do during the season and look for an upgrade at the trade deadline.

AgeHeightWeightBirth Date
Morgan Rielly44296' 1"219 lbsL03/09/1994
Mark Giordano55396' 0"205 lbsL10/03/1983
Jake McCabe22296' 1"204 lbsL10/12/1993
Conor Timmins25246' 2"202 lbsR09/18/98
Timothy Liljegren37246' 0"198 lbsR04/30/99
TJ Brodie78336' 2"187 lbsL06/07/1990
John Klingberg306' 2"180 lbsR08/14/92
AgeHeightWeightBirth Date
Conor Timmins25246' 2"202 lbsR09/18/98
TJ Brodie78336' 2"187 lbsL06/07/1990
John Klingberg306' 2"180 lbsR08/14/92
Morgan Rielly44296' 1"219 lbsL03/09/1994
Jake McCabe22296' 1"204 lbsL10/12/1993
Mark Giordano55396' 0"205 lbsL10/03/1983
Timothy Liljegren37246' 0"198 lbsR04/30/99
AgeHeightWeightBirth Date
Timothy Liljegren37246' 0"198 lbsR04/30/99
Conor Timmins25246' 2"202 lbsR09/18/98
Morgan Rielly44296' 1"219 lbsL03/09/1994
Jake McCabe22296' 1"204 lbsL10/12/1993
John Klingberg306' 2"180 lbsR08/14/92
TJ Brodie78336' 2"187 lbsL06/07/1990
Mark Giordano55396' 0"205 lbsL10/03/1983
 
Some people believe Samsonov's # is going to come in around $3 mil this year.

If Sammy was going to take $3 mil wouldn't he already be signed, as it certainly wouldn't be Leafs side holding it up?

The player elected Arbitration decision seems to suggest both sides are not close in term or $$ this a 3rd party ruling on case.
I think the Leafs are testing the waters to see if he would take his QO offer on a 1 yr deal to kick the can down the road. But now they have to wait to see what the arbitration award is to figure out the rest of of their cap situation.

But I dont see the Leafs being able to pay Samsonov more than $3M.
 
I think the Leafs are testing the waters to see if he would take his QO offer on a 1 yr deal to kick the can down the road. But now they have to wait to see what the arbitration award is to figure out the rest of of their cap situation.

But I dont see the Leafs being able to pay Samsonov more than $3M.

We will know in another 11-12 days or so.

2023 Salary Arbitration Tracker


July 10, 2023 at 10:03 am CDT

This morning, the NHLPA announced the calendar of dates for this offseason’s slate of salary arbitration hearings. 23 players are slated for hearings, including the 22 players who elected arbitration last week, although some names below have been settled. As contracts are reached before hearing dates arrive, we’ll continuously update this article with the terms of settled contracts.

July 21

G Ilya Samsonov, Toronto
 
Murray and muzzin on IR and samsonov at $3m puts us cap compliant with 12 forwards and 7 defensemen
 
I know there's been proposals for Hanifin and a couple other D-men for Nylander, but something different.

Brodie + Nylander for Zadorov + Lindholm as the base of the trade, maybe some picks involved. Saves us close to 3M in cap, also Lindholm is a right shot, could be tried on Tavares' wing if needed, or move Tavares to LW and have Lindholm as the C. I prefer the hypothetical lineup below, gives you a real checking line and great depth throughout the lineup. Looking at Vegas, they had 3 lethal lines capable of scoring and controlling the play.


Bertuzzi - Matthews - Marner
Knies - Tavares - X
Domi - Lindholm - Jarnkrok
Lafferty - Holmberg - Reaves


Rielly - X
McCabe - Liljegren
Zadorov - Timmins
Giordano

Brodie is still a decent D-man and pending UFA, played lots of years in Calgary. We likely won't be able to pay Nylander what he's asking for. We get Zadorov, a big physical D-man that plays with an edge. Lindholm also a pending UFA, but can fit under our cap. A good 2 way Center who also plays a tough game and we can actually have a realistic chance at re-signing him to something reasonable, in the 8M range.
I'd be okay with ending up with Lindholm. But he'd have to end up as our #2C, not third.
 


It sucks so much how the NHL has come to this. Counting on injured players, buyouts, low-value trades, having to give away draft picks for Ufa mistakes, etc. It really is embarrassing.

No other major professional sports league operates this way.

I wonder why not……?
 

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