Agreed this year has been a step back compared to his previous couple years. IMO it just looks like he’s playing with less confidence with the puck - too often dumping it up the boards vs. trying to make a better breakout play, or overthinking when he does try to make a play and screwing up/turning it over. It doesn’t look like he’s out there playing loose, instinctive hockey, looks like he’s really in his own head too much.
If he can start playing with more confidence again, more instinctively, I think he’s a legit 2nd pairing dman. But at the moment he’s more bottom pairing.
I also think some of his weaknesses have been exposed a bit by Gio’s decline. He’s played primarily with Gio for a few years now, and Gio has declined quite a lot vs. 2 years ago. This means Lily is trying to pick up the slack, trying to carry the pairing, and that’s a dangerous combo when paired with a dip in confidence.
He’s only 24, and he’s not far from being a quality 2nd pairing dman. I like his chances to get to that level at some point, even if his play this season has been a bit rough.