Roster thread: Get To Work (2022-2023 Season)

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What u described is exactly Parayko. And he’s not gonna cost an arm and a leg…..I can promise u Vince Dunn is the opposite of what u guys need on D. Gavrikov would probably be the next best next to Parayko in terms of being the Samuelsson partner for power
He's close. But the suggested cost to acquire him is too high, and he's just beginning his 7 year contract at age 29. If he were in year 2 or 3 of his contract and cost a bit less in a trade I'd be way more interested.

As it stands, why would we give up that package of 1st, Kisakov, olofsson and Novikov for Parayko when Gavrikov likely costs a similar package and is 2.5 years younger?
 
What u described is exactly Parayko. And he’s not gonna cost an arm and a leg…..I can promise u Vince Dunn is the opposite of what u guys need on D. Gavrikov would probably be the next best next to Parayko in terms of being the Samuelsson partner for power
When I think about what Buffalo's defense needs, Parayko is the spot on, perfect answer.

Experience
Size
Toughness
PK
Champion

That part is perfect. The problem is he's 29 and most of the core is like 20-22. I fear he'll be Josh Gorges by the time championship aspirations come. The contract as stands is just too risky.
 
Guys like Dunn, Soucy, Dumba, Severson, Graves, Gavrikov. All pending UFAs of the right age who play in the top 4.

That is a good list of guys to target, but I would make the note that Dunn is actually a RFA and is having a break-out year as an all around defender for Seattle - he would cost a fortune to pry away from Francis.
 
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When I think about what Buffalo's defense needs, Parayko is the spot on, perfect answer.

Experience
Size
Toughness
PK
Champion

That part is perfect. The problem is he's 29 and most of the core is like 20-22. I fear he'll be Josh Gorges by the time championship aspirations come. The contract as stands is just too risky.
The contract seems like an issue if you don't account for cap increases that are going to be pretty significant after next season by all accounts. Locking up Dahlin and Cozens long term will also give more cost certainty. They can easily make that cap hit work short term as well as long term.

I get looking at cap implications in the next 2 maybe even 3 years. Trying to figure out how a contract like that affects you in 5 or 6 years however is just throwing darts. You really have no idea who is going to earn big increases except for the players already on your roster. You can try to project, but if you did that then they'd have $120 million in cap hit because every prospect is going to become a point per game player. This isn't an albatross like Karlsson, 6.5m is a lot more manageable.

If he helps in the short term, and is a vet leader in the long term like say Erik Johnson, I see no issue with that. If he becomes Brent Seabrook, fine he's on LTIR and is a non issue.
 
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Also, while it isn't necessarily how it turns out but I have this thought that if they trade Rosen, it winds up being the "new" Filip Forsberg deal.

dont see it….

buffalo actually picked him knowing who he was. Caps had not scouted Forsberg much and only took him because of the ranking on draft lists. Thry didn’t e en follow him much during the season post draft.
Comrie's had all of 2 games with our top 3.....and he looked rock solid in those 2 games.

I'm not saying he's our long-term starter............but I'm also not saying he's not. We don't know.

need to fix the defense before even looking at the goalie.
 
dont see it….

buffalo actually picked him knowing who he was. Caps had not scouted Forsberg much and only took him because of the ranking on draft lists. Thry didn’t e en follow him much during the season post draft.


need to fix the defense before even looking at the goalie.

How is the possibility of trading away a high-skill scorer-playmaker from Sweden after minimal time in a team's system not similar to Forsberg? :laugh:
 
Let me clarify, because you are mixing multiple posts in your replies and not understanding my messages while out of context.

I‘ve had zero problems understanding your points. Maybe you don’t realize you keep moving the goalposts.
With Power, the extra icetime tends to cause mental mistakes in young D that are working on positioning, communication, tracking, and their part within the team structure.

Power is a teenager that is dealing with learning a lot while carrying a substantial load for a team that the pressure is increasing due to the strings of losses. Looking at his icetime average does ignore the fact that he is probably playing too much for a player of his age and experience in a lot of the games. Here are some of his icetime totals from some games, I looked at half the season so far.

25:12
24:04
23:54
23:43
23:51
24:13
24:43
28:14
29:35
26:49
25:03

Now a lot of that time is PP time, which is substantially different than ES or PK time, so it is not as bad as it looks, but I have noticed that his mistakes lessened with his ice load, so it goes to suggest that the team would be better if they lightened his icetime a bit.
I’ve already posted in various debates about Power that I understand the concern over him breaking down physically. Since its his first time playing the grind of a pro season. But he’s the only one of the top 4 dmen I could see this concern cropping up.

But that said Power is NOT carrying a substantial load for this team. I’m not saying he has easy minutes but its like you forgot the other top 4 dmen on the roster. Even if you don’t like his total mintues played. He’s hardly playing the toughest minutes. He’s stepped into a pretty good situation, especially for someone with his pedigree.

Posting 11 of his 29gms is a pretty good way to misrepresent his overall workload.

Dahlin is a great player, but he should not be logging huge minutes all season if they don't want to see him crash mid-season, which historically is common with players logging the types of minutes he has seen.

28:22
26:21
28:39
28:08
26:43
27:37
26:58
29:25
25:57
26:23
27:48
26:07
27:05

Looking at those numbers, in Buffalo's non-OT wins, Dahlin played less than 25 minutes in 8 of the 11. And he has not played more than 26 minutes in any of those wins all season. Small sample size, but it is not surprising the team results are better when the defensive load is more balanced.
Whether the team is better or worse when Dahlin plays those minutes doesn’t answer if he can handle them. You claimed he would burn out. I pointed out that ice time is normal for a player of his caliber and it is.

So you moved the goal posts to how good or bad the team is when he plays those minutes. Which is not the same discussion and doesn‘t answer the question.

Specific to that question of whether they are better or worse when Dahlin’s playing that much. You have it backwards. Why he plays that much in any game is what matters. The minutes themselves don’t tell us enough.

I mean half the games you listed are from the 8gm losing streak. Which means he played that much due to Sammy/Joker/Boosh being out injured. To state the obvious the team isn’t as good with them out, regardless of how much Dahlin plays.
As far as Samuelsson and Jokiharju, what I was implying was that there is no way they should be playing 24-26 minutes with huge penalty kill responsibilities in a specific game. Yes, that is a limited case, but still reflects the depth problem.

Jokiharju 23:59 TOI 5:09 PKTOI
Samueslsson 26:04 TOI 7:06 PKTOI

Anyone that doesn't realize there is a monumental difference between PK icetime and ES and PP icetime has never played competitive hockey.

I understood what you said.

As I said previously, its perfectly normal for players like Joker/Sammy to play minutes like that in an individual game. Which is dictated by the circumstances of said game.

There is nothing remotely unusual about it. I’m confused as to why you think its a big deal.
What this all suggests is that this team has had major D depth issues this season. Looking at the season averages, it is easy to think that there is no problem, but with a few injuries, and looking at game specific numbers, it is clear that the team needed help.
Again moving the goalposts to a discussion about depth now. I haven’t talked about depth. I’ve also never claimed “there is no problem with our defensive depth”.

Hopefully the massive defensive injury bug is past, and we won't see the heavy loads continue, as the icetime balance was actually great when everyone was healthy to start the season, but I responded to your seasonal averages post just to point out that we can't ignore that there have been icetime issues during this injury stretch.

Not quite. I pointed out Dahlin, Sammy and Joker are playing normal workloads relative to the players they are. Something that can’t really be disputed.

So instead you‘ve attempted to use one of two games to say something normal (players playing a lot in one game) is somehow not normal. Plus conflating other things like depth and how good/bad we are when they play more with the original topic.
 
While I can understand the concern if Power starts averaging 25 minutes a night as a rookie, I don't get some people complaining about Power or Dahlin logging a couple of 28 minute games.

Chris Pronger was averaging over 30 minutes a game early in his career, and throughout his career regularly averaged 27+, Lidstrom used to average 28+ a night regularly. Suter had years over 29, Karlsson had years at 28+.

Doughty as a rookie averaged almost 24 minutes a game, he turned out pretty good. His career average is over 26 minutes. Yea he's not what he was in his prime, he's also 31 with a couple of cups and a lot of mileage on him.

Point is, if guys are playing too much Granato is gonna see it. Plenty of Dmen can handle big minutes, and have for a long time.
I think the issue is posters are conflating how good/bad we are when they play that much with whether or not they can handle it as players.
 
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There could be a little correlation/causation issue on the Win/Loss part. Power does seem to get extra minutes with Dahlin when we are trailing. I'm not sure that any site has stats broken down by period, but it would be interesting to see if this is the case.
Power also gets extra minutes on the bottom pairing when they’re worried about who is on it (As do others in the top 4). So playing a lot on any given night may not be just about a specific game state.
 
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The contract seems like an issue if you don't account for cap increases that are going to be pretty significant after next season by all accounts. Locking up Dahlin and Cozens long term will also give more cost certainty. They can easily make that cap hit work short term as well as long term.

I get looking at cap implications in the next 2 maybe even 3 years. Trying to figure out how a contract like that affects you in 5 or 6 years however is just throwing darts. You really have no idea who is going to earn big increases except for the players already on your roster. You can try to project, but if you did that then they'd have $120 million in cap hit because every prospect is going to become a point per game player. This isn't an albatross like Karlsson, 6.5m is a lot more manageable.

If he helps in the short term, and is a vet leader in the long term like say Erik Johnson, I see no issue with that. If he becomes Brent Seabrook, fine he's on LTIR and is a non issue.
The contract itself could be the issue for a front office like ours who are focused on value. Its not necessarily about the cap space per se.

He’ll be 30 at the start of next season with 7yrs left (at 6.5mil) and full NTC for the 5 of those years. That doesn’t seem like very good value or a smart add for our 4th dman. Thats without even getting into the cost to acquire him.
 
I hope you’re right and you usually are but I’m not. I think if someone values him like you do, you move him as a chip for a legit Dman

If you have a chance, watch him in Rochester. He may be a couple years out still but he's only 19 and very much as advertised in terms of skill, speed and ability.
 
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I‘ve had zero problems understanding your points. Maybe you don’t realize you keep moving the goalposts.

I’ve already posted in various debates about Power that I understand the concern over him breaking down physically. Since its his first time playing the grind of a pro season. But he’s the only one of the top 4 dmen I could see this concern cropping up.

But that said Power is NOT carrying a substantial load for this team. I’m not saying he has easy minutes but its like you forgot the other top 4 dmen on the roster. Even if you don’t like his total mintues played. He’s hardly playing the toughest minutes. He’s stepped into a pretty good situation, especially for someone with his pedigree.

Posting 11 of his 29gms is a pretty good way to misrepresent his overall workload.


Whether the team is better or worse when Dahlin plays those minutes doesn’t answer if he can handle them. You claimed he would burn out. I pointed out that ice time is normal for a player of his caliber and it is.

So you moved the goal posts to how good or bad the team is when he plays those minutes. Which is not the same discussion and doesn‘t answer the question.

Specific to that question of whether they are better or worse when Dahlin’s playing that much. You have it backwards. Why he plays that much in any game is what matters. The minutes themselves don’t tell us enough.

I mean half the games you listed are from the 8gm losing streak. Which means he played that much due to Sammy/Joker/Boosh being out injured. To state the obvious the team isn’t as good with them out, regardless of how much Dahlin plays.


I understood what you said.

As I said previously, its perfectly normal for players like Joker/Sammy to play minutes like that in an individual game. Which is dictated by the circumstances of said game.

There is nothing remotely unusual about it. I’m confused as to why you think its a big deal.

Again moving the goalposts to a discussion about depth now. I haven’t talked about depth. I’ve also never claimed “there is no problem with our defensive depth”.



Not quite. I pointed out Dahlin, Sammy and Joker are playing normal workloads relative to the players they are. Something that can’t really be disputed.

So instead you‘ve attempted to use one of two games to say something normal (players playing a lot in one game) is somehow not normal. Plus conflating other things like depth and how good/bad we are when they play more with the original topic.
I said that "here are some icetime totals" that were problematic in icetime, I didn't mean to cherrypick and imply all games were like that, and I thought I made that clear. Sorry for the misunderstanding. I also did not go through the entire season because I got a bit over half way and decided I had already wasted enough time, but I thought that showed that it was more than just a game or two.

I honestly don't disagree with you on a large part of this discussion, and you are right that some of the overall icetime concerns are probably overblown, but lost in that debate were the differing points that I feel are problematic when this team has injuries.

The one issue we disagree on is Dahlin. If you think Dahlin can effectively play 27+ minutes often and not suffer, that is your opinion. When I watch him log those heavy minutes and see him sucking wind at the end of those games compared to the games he plays 22-23, it makes me feel that he is not the type of player that has the stamina for that workload. We can disagree.

My issue with Power's workload is actually not that he is breaking down physically. It is that the icetime is effecting his ability to learn the game mentally. We know that players tend to make more mistakes when tired, and Power is learning a ton on the mental aspect of the game right now that he has to focus on processing those concepts every shift outside of just meeting the physical demand of playing a lot.

As for the SHTOI, honestly, no player should ever play 26+ minutes with 7 minutes of PK time. That, imo, is just a recipe for losing games.

Bottom line, with the injuries I agree with Chainshot who started this debate, and I feel that there have been icetime issues. I posted the icetime when the top six were healthy, and I think those numbers are more in line with where this team's D should be playing

Dahlin 24-25
Samuelsson 19-20
Power 20-21
Jokiharju 20~
Bryson 12-13
Lyubushkin 14-15

I wouldn't even be sad to see Dahlin drop a minute or two (especially on the PK) and have that icetime picked up by Lyubushkin, assuming he gets healthy and comes back and plays as effectively as he did at the very start of the season.
 
I never said they never happen.

I said that when compared to the two big windows where a lot of moves happen, this is a quiet time of the year.

If last year doesn't show how hard it is to make a significant move at this time of the year, I don't know what to tell you.
So much for that,"There is no trades cause its christmas"
 
That is a good list of guys to target, but I would make the note that Dunn is actually a RFA and is having a break-out year as an all around defender for Seattle - he would cost a fortune to pry away from Francis.
You’re right, he’s got one year of RFA left. And I agree we probably don’t want to target an RFA on a breakout year either.
 
A #4/5 dman should not be impossible to acquire mid season. That is the minimum we need to add right now and that's assuming Power is fine. Goalie unfortunately will not be addressed and we can wait for a 4C face-off specialist in free agency. We need whoever is this eras version of Yanic Perreault.
 
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