They actually had identical PPG
Okay good point. I guess they were equal. Just like Kane and McDavid were equal in the OHL while both playing on powerhouse teams.
Kane and Bedard were very similar in that they were "generational"
junior hockey scorers who very obviously lacked the size and/or elite athleticism required to be generational
NHL players. You could probably lump Tavares into this group as well - these 3 guys were all
much better CHL players than guys like Mackinnon or Draisaitl, but if I'm trying to build a cup contender, I'm taking the latter 2 over any of the prior 3. Kariya and Lafontaine are two other great examples of generational junior players who "only" became an elite NHLer because of physical or athletic limitations.
This was explained to you guys over and over again during Bedard's draft year, but you seemed intent on appealing to his numbers instead of his actual play. To be a truly generational NHL prospect, you need more than just generational junior production.
Bedard has since failed to meet even my more modest production expectations for his rookie season (despite constantly cheating for offense), while having a terrible World Championships, where he was demoted from the top line all the way to 13th forward for his poor play. And we're still trying to compare him to the two guys who won NHL scoring titles as teenagers?
I do believe there is a very good chance that Bedard will be better than Kane, they have a lot of similarities and are both big game players. But that's still very much up in the air - Kane's skating and agility were a fair amount better than Bedard, while Bedard's release was obviously better. I also think Bedard probably sees the ice a bit better, but they're both obviously elite playmakers.
Regardless, he's going to be much closer to Kane than to McDavid or Crosby. And that's nothing to be ashamed of.
To this point, Bedard's play vs men has supported my analysis from his draft year, and I've had multiple Bedard supporters from those threads come back and admit that I was actually right all along.
If anything, I was probably
too generous in my initial projections, especially relating to his ability to translate his goal scoring to the NHL. I did have some well documented doubts about his ability to get to high danger areas, and questioned how often he'd be able to beat NHL goalies clean with his mid range wrister. But I still thought he'd pace for 40g as a rookie even with minimal support. Unfortunately, he struggled to get to the middle of the ice even more often than I expected. I do think he'll close in on 40g this year if he sticks with TT - its a lot easier to get open looks in the mid slot when you're receiving a pass instead of trying to skate it there.
Just curious, when did you come to that determination? Not disagreeing btw
Probably 2-3 years ago, there's receipts in my post history.