bold: I concede nothing there to you or anyone else. We are each of us accountable for what we have said. Whether that is worse, better, or ultimately proven superior to how any actual GM rolled as to any specific deal on his track record remains to be seen on a case-by-case basis.
underline: well duh. But if it is not close enuf to be an almost lock, that should be enough to give one pause.
I remember the '69 Orioles on paper could not lose to the Mets. A couple of matchups were legit close. Some being generous to the NYers were close. But end of the day, you had like Frank Robinson vs Swoboda in RF and a couple of other doozies. And yet they lost. So sure, no sure thing. But I still need the benefit of doing a deal to outweigh the cost, and usually vets for youth do not justify the cost.