Blue Jays GDT: 2023 v1 | Fri, Apr 7 | @ LAA | 9:30pm ET/6:30pm PT | Bassitt vs Sandoval

[thinkblue]

Way to get back in it

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

17-16 final

 

[Suntouchable13]

The pitchers will need to do better moving forward. Just 3 games but not a great start at all.

Gausman was fine yesterday.

 

[frizzer1]

There’s always next year!

 

[The Nemesis]

 

[canucksfan]

Concern with Bassitt is his velocity is down by a decent amount.

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

How many HR this inning

 

[canucksfan]

How many HR this inning

Only one he’s getting pulled this inning.

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

R.A. Dickey without a knuckleball

 

[Cleetus]

good inning Bassitt!

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

3 up 3 down phew

 

[canucksfan]

Only one he’s getting pulled this inning.

Definitely not close

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

Well that was pretty bad lol

 

[The Nemesis]

Not wholly relevant and I admit this is a really rough bit of math with a ton of holes in it, but it's kind of worth remembering that people often massively overvalue/overestimate what you should expect out of your starter in each spot in the rotation in terms of ERA.

In 2006 a Fangraphs/Hardball Times writer did a deep dive on what you should expect out of each rotation spot (based on the pitchers used in those spots, not just the 5 guys on the roster with the most starts sorted by ERA)

How Good Is Your #4 Starter?

Hint: Probably not as good as you think.

tht.fangraphs.com

He found the following results for the AL:

#1 - 3.70
#2 - 4.24
#3 - 4.58
#4 - 5.09
#5 - 6.22

I wanted to also adjust this to be more relative to modern ERAs, but it turns out that the difference is actually pretty minimal when you consider the average league-wide ERA from 2020 through 2022 to what it was in 2006 (these include all pitchers, rotation and bullpen alike, but I'm assuming that everything likely adjusts year-to-year on a fairly uniform basis)

So what you might be able to expect out of the average rotation in the current day might be more like:

#1 - 3.67
#2 - 4.21
#3 - 4.55
#4 - 5.05
#5 - 6.17

If we convert that to ERA+ it's:

#1 - 80
#2 - 92
#3 - 101
#4 - 113
#5 - 138

This is likely meaningless, but it's some food for thought and it was something to do over the last 20 minutes or so.

 

[TheBeastCoast]

Bassitt throwing a barrel party today oof.

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

This guy blows

 

[LeafChief]

Bassitt related at all to Tanner Roark? Cousins?

 

[dredeye]

Well this is fun. Yikes

 

[Emerica]

oof

 

[canucksfan]

If Varsho catches the ball it's still 4-3

 

[McFly2544]

What good is throwing 8 pitches when they‘re teeing off all of them lol

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

He throws better to first then he does to the plate

 

[shaner8989]

Completely unacceptable

Going to be the biggest joke signing ever

 

[frizzer1]

Bassitt berrios kikuchi ryu.
This management really knows pitching.

If Varsho catches the ball it's still 4-3

Until the next inning.

 

[ChuckNorris4Cup]

So nothing has changed from last year, Jays still need to score at least 10 runs a game to win