Will Ovechkin hit 20 goals this season?

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Dessloch

DOPS keeping NHL players unsafe like its their job
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There was contact and the goalie was in the crease. I don't think it matters if the player who made contact was outside the crease.

The contact with the body parts was all inside the crease, I mean just because you have one skate outside the crease does not mean you can lean into the goaltender inside the crease with your body momentarily. If he had not bumped him I think it would have counted even if his one skate was in the crease.

I understand how Dowd played the situation though, it was very close to being the perfect play!
 
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Woodrow

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The contact with the body parts was all inside the crease, I mean just because you have one skate outside the crease does mean you can lean into the goaltender inside the crease.
Maybe I wasn't being clear but I think we are in agreement. You can't interfere with the goalie whether you are in the crease or not.
 
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Dessloch

DOPS keeping NHL players unsafe like its their job
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Maybe I wasn't being clear but I think we are in agreement. You can't interfere with the goalie whether you are in the crease or not.

Yeah, I know we agree :)

What would have happened if the league determined the puck would have gone in regardless of the bump on the goaltender? Could they have allowed the goal then anyway? Like saying it was a bump but the puck would have gone in regardless. I tend to lean on this one perhaps it would have been a goal even without the bump, although I cant be 100% certain.
 

Woodrow

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Yeah, I know we agree :)

What would have happened if the league determined the puck would have gone in regardless of the bump on the goaltender? Could they have allowed the goal then anyway? Like saying it was a bump but the puck would have gone in regardless. I tend to lean on this one perhaps it would have been a goal even without the bump, although I cant be 100% certain.
Who knows. Pretty sure the NHL refs are just making up the rules on the fly most of the time anyways. :laugh:

From the hockey canada rulebook this is the actual rule interpretation here.

Rule 8.5 (a)


Any goal scored on a play where an attacking player initiates contact with the goaltender will be disallowed, regardless of whether the contact occurs inside or outside of the goal crease. The only exception to this is where the attacking player is fouled by a defending player and, as a result, is unable to avoid contact with the goaltender.​

Not sure if the NHL rules are different.
 
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george14

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That's the old Ovi we've been waiting for on the PP (well just after but still basically a PP goal). I think he still gets up to 25-30 goals this year, the slow start will keep him from getting 40-50 but I do still think he breaks the record easily before his current contract expires, still possibly next year too.
Easily? I get that you think he will break it, but he would need 25 more goals this season then another 41 goals next season. He has 7 goals in his last 39 games, which is a 15 goal pace. Will he even be playing in 25-26 given how he looks this year? Another 15 this year + 25 next year + ???? the final year?

I don’t see how anyone can think he will “easily” break it. If he does, he will probably struggle and barely break it in the 25-26 season.
 
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AhosDatsyukian

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Easily? I get that you think he will break it, but he would need 25 more goals this season then another 41 goals next season. He has 7 goals in his last 39 games, which is a 15 goal pace. Will he even be playing in 25-26 given how he looks this year? Another 15 this year + 25 next year + ???? the final year?

I don’t see how anyone can think he will “easily” break it. If he does, he will probably struggle and barely break it in the 25-26 season.
Reading comprehension, my friend. He has 2 years after this season on his current contract. Yes I think he will easily break it in that timespan. And next year is possible, but a stretch. And yeah it definitely makes sense to completely read into a tiny sample size where his shooting percentage has been an incredibly low outlier vs looking at his career and how he looks on the ice. He’s slowed down a bit but not as much as numbers this year suggest.
 
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beardawg

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Hockey has been destroyed by these reviews. You cannot celebrate a big goal anymore. Get rid of this shit.
Nashville also had possession on the delayed penalty but it didn't get blown dead. Multiple reasons to bring that goal back and interference was Toronto's way of doing it
 

Dessloch

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Hockey has been destroyed by these reviews. You cannot celebrate a big goal anymore. Get rid of this shit.

We have this debate in Sweden for soccer/football when fans in sweden claim that VAR (Video Assistance Referee) will ruin the best part of the sport, celebrating goals and therefore swedish football is the only league in the world who refused to use VAR.

I am in the minority who thinks you just celebrate as usual and then if 2 out 100 reviews ends up with a goal disallowed thats just something you have to live with to get correct calls.
 
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Toby91ca

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Reading comprehension, my friend. He has 2 years after this season on his current contract. Yes I think he will easily break it in that timespan. And next year is possible, but a stretch. And yeah it definitely makes sense to completely read into a tiny sample size where his shooting percentage has been an incredibly low outlier vs looking at his career and how he looks on the ice. He’s slowed down a bit but not as much as numbers this year suggest.
See, that’s the thing…if you are watching how he looks on the ice, you should conclude that he is looking very slow and not incredibly agile these days.

In terms of breaking record, I still think he does it, but some small doubt has started to creep in. To break it next season, he’d have to score at a 42 goal pace the rest of the games this year and next and this assumes he plays all the games…he’s at sub 17 goal pace so far this year. To break it before end of contract, he needs to play all the games and score at 26 goal pace over those games. Some doubt certainly starts…will he pick up the pace? Will it get even worse as time goes by? He can always play longer than current contract as well…he’d be 41 though and if he didn’t break the record by then it probably means he’s limping along…time will tell
 

Crosbyfan

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I think it was the right call given that it was in the blue paint but if the exact same contact had been outside then no. Sucks for the Caps but on topic Ovie managed to hit the back of the net twice tonight regardless of the call.
 
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SherVaughn30

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I think it was the right call given that it was in the blue paint but if the exact same contact had been outside then no. Sucks for the Caps but on topic Ovie managed to hit the back of the net twice tonight regardless of the call.
What were you seeing. It didn't happen in the blue. Nothing in the rule book about the players butt bumping the goalie. Players skates were outside the blue crease, so legal by the rule book. TO office stepped and not the refs, as they had called it a good goal on the ice!
 

SherVaughn30

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To answer this question bluntly, hopefully he ends with more than 20, but the refs, TO office, League, etc sure are taking away goals from him and making it a lot harder to catch Gretzky. In combination with GI/Offsides(I haven't even included the amount of posts and crossbars OV has hit), OV has now had 10 GOALS DISALLOWED in his career! I don't think any player is even close to that amount in their career!
 

NikolaTesla

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Aug 2, 2009
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To answer this question bluntly, hopefully he ends with more than 20, but the refs, TO office, League, etc sure are taking away goals from him and making it a lot harder to catch Gretzky. In combination with GI/Offsides(I haven't even included the amount of posts and crossbars OV has hit), OV has now had 10 GOALS DISALLOWED in his career! I don't think any player is even close to that amount in their career!

Gallager is might be even higher.
 

Dessloch

DOPS keeping NHL players unsafe like its their job
Nov 29, 2005
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What were you seeing. It didn't happen in the blue. Nothing in the rule book about the players butt bumping the goalie. Players skates were outside the blue crease, so legal by the rule book. TO office stepped and not the refs, as they had called it a good goal on the ice!
It clearly happened in the blue, its not even debatable.

76gF8F6.jpg
 

Holtbyisms

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Goalies should just push out from the crease and bump every screener in their way now. Can get any goal wiped out. :thumbu:

Ah, also if you slow it down the puck crossed the line with over a minute left in the game. 1:00.08 Situation room shouldn't even have been able to initiate a review based on the rulebook.
 
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Dessloch

DOPS keeping NHL players unsafe like its their job
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It would help to draw the lines that matter...

View attachment 793167
Dowds right skate is partially inside the crease and that means the goaltender cant defend his crease. If Dowds skate is partially inside the crease and the bump is arguable inside the crease or on the line, then it means the goaltender cant move freely within his crease since there was contact in this case despite the goaltender staying inside the crease at all times.

It was ruled out quickly rightly by the rules. Its possible other goals that should have been disallowed have been allowed to stand and this was judged according the the rule book. It would help if the rules could be made even clearer.

muXe3ds.jpg


"This rule is based on the premise that an attacking player’s position, whether inside or outside the crease, should not, by itself, determine whether a goal should be allowed or disallowed. In other words, goals scored while attacking players are standing in the crease may, in appropriate circumstances be allowed.

"Goals should be disallowed only if: (1) an attacking player, either by his positioning or by contact, impairs the goalkeeper’s ability to move freely within his crease or defend his goal; or (2) an attacking player initiates intentional or deliberate contact with a goalkeeper, inside or outside of his goal crease. Incidental contact with a goalkeeper will be permitted, and resulting goals allowed, when such contact is initiated outside of the goal crease, provided the attacking player has made a reasonable effort to avoid such contact. The rule will be enforced exclusively in accordance with the on-ice judgement of the Referee(s), but may be subject to a Coach’s Challenge"

 

TheSmokingMan

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Nov 20, 2006
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Hockey has been destroyed by these reviews. You cannot celebrate a big goal anymore. Get rid of this shit.
I agree. As a fan, It seems like every time my team scores, I'm holding my breath waiting for it to get called back for offsides, goalie interference or something else. I know I can't be alone in feeling this way. What makes it worse, is that the reviews are extremely inconsistent. We have all seen plenty of goals just like the disallowed Ovie goal that weren't reviewed and were counted. It seems completely arbitrary and just pisses the fans off. I think it would be very difficult to make the argument that these reviews have improved the game from a fans perspective.
 

Mulletman

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Feb 23, 2013
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Easily? I get that you think he will break it, but he would need 25 more goals this season then another 41 goals next season. He has 7 goals in his last 39 games, which is a 15 goal pace. Will he even be playing in 25-26 given how he looks this year? Another 15 this year + 25 next year + ???? the final year?

I don’t see how anyone can think he will “easily” break it. If he does, he will probably struggle and barely break it in the 25-26 season.
Jagr scored 120 goals in the NHL after turning 38, Selanne scored 132 goals in the NHL after turning 38. Ovechkin has only scored 7 goals so far after turning 38, but everybody on HF Boards agrees that Ovechkin is a better goal scoere than Jagr and Selanne. So realistically Ovechkin should have atleast another 140-150 goals in him before it's all said and done.
 
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norrisnick

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Dowds right skate is partially inside the crease and that means the goaltender cant defend his crease. If Dowds skate is partially inside the crease and the bump is arguable inside the crease or on the line, then it means the goaltender cant move freely within his crease since there was contact in this case despite the goaltender staying inside the crease at all times.

It was ruled out quickly rightly by the rules. Its possible other goals that should have been disallowed have been allowed to stand and this was judged according the the rule book. It would help if the rules could be made even clearer.

muXe3ds.jpg


"This rule is based on the premise that an attacking player’s position, whether inside or outside the crease, should not, by itself, determine whether a goal should be allowed or disallowed. In other words, goals scored while attacking players are standing in the crease may, in appropriate circumstances be allowed.

"Goals should be disallowed only if: (1) an attacking player, either by his positioning or by contact, impairs the goalkeeper’s ability to move freely within his crease or defend his goal; or (2) an attacking player initiates intentional or deliberate contact with a goalkeeper, inside or outside of his goal crease. Incidental contact with a goalkeeper will be permitted, and resulting goals allowed, when such contact is initiated outside of the goal crease, provided the attacking player has made a reasonable effort to avoid such contact. The rule will be enforced exclusively in accordance with the on-ice judgement of the Referee(s), but may be subject to a Coach’s Challenge"

"In other words, goals scored while attacking players are standing in the crease may, in appropriate circumstances be allowed."

Saro's touched Dowd with his stick as Dowd moved across the edge of the crease. There was no bump. There was no hindrance. Saros got beat.

This play is as egregious as some of the goals waved off that Holmstrom was adjacent to back in the day...
 

Dessloch

DOPS keeping NHL players unsafe like its their job
Nov 29, 2005
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"In other words, goals scored while attacking players are standing in the crease may, in appropriate circumstances be allowed."

Saro's touched Dowd with his stick as Dowd moved across the edge of the crease. There was no bump. There was no hindrance. Saros got beat.

This play is as egregious as some of the goals waved off that Holmstrom was adjacent to back in the day...
At 00:12 the body of the Caps player bumps into the goaltenders shoulder, just before Ovie shots. Its the same time the right skate of Dowd is in the crease.

 

kranuck

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Mar 11, 2023
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Yeah, I guess we’re finally wrong about the guy coming off a 50 and 42 goal season, and we had 0 reasons to believe he would succeed.

Somebody should go tell him that the great minds of HF think he’s worthless and he should hang them up right now
He's 38.

Did you think he was just gonna keep scoring 50 until he died at age 98? Maybe on the bench after scoring his 50th goal of the season?
 

Crosbyfan

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Nov 27, 2003
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Goalies should just push out from the crease and bump every screener in their way now. Can get any goal wiped out. :thumbu:

Ah, also if you slow it down the puck crossed the line with over a minute left in the game. 1:00.08 Situation room shouldn't even have been able to initiate a review based on the rulebook.
What were you seeing.
Not from the crease but within the crease. Goalies have been doing this for some time now to prove their intent to use that space. If they don't they generally won't get the call unless the screener bumps them. This tactic will not work outside the crease as the screener is entitled to that space if they get there first. Outside also incidental contact even initiated by the player might not be called, and even inside it might not be called if considered not to have impaired the goalie or inhibited their use of space in their crease. So goalies do use tactics like that but need to be cautious not to be scored on as they might be deemed to have had time to recover if the screener moves away.
What Dowd did was not a penalty it simply prevented allowing the goal in the refs final opinion. If he had moved out and the puck went in after it would surely have been allowed. (Which is commonly why screeners do that to some degree but in this case the timing was off or Dowd's positional awareness wrt the crease just slightly off)
It won't be Ovie's last disallowed goal on the way to 894 whether he makes it or not. It's part of the game under the current rules.
 
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