It's bad extensions to guys like Foligno and Zuccarello before they even demonstrate what they deserve, Middleton falls into this category too, extended him for 2.5M before he noticed he's a bottom pairing defenseman.
It's handshake deals to Goligoski that if Guerin overpays him at 5M for one year, he'll then overpay him at 2M for the next two, with a full NMC, now Goligoski is the press box guy every night because we can't get rid of him and he's not that good (I legit forgot he was on the team because they refuse to play him).
It's telling people you're trying to win now, but trading Fiala for futures, while simultaneously not trading guys like Foligno and Zuccarello for futures.
It's the fact that everyone on the team has some degree of trade protection (if they're eligible) except for Middleton and Merrill, making it really hard to move guys who don't fit anymore. These are guys who shouldn't have anywhere close to the level of protection they have.
- Zuccarello has a NMC
- Foligno has a NMC
- Gaudreau has a 15 team no trade list
- Johansson has a full NTC
- Hartman has a NMC
- Spurgeon has a NMC
- Brodin has a NMC
- Goligoski has a NMC
- Fleury has a NMC
- Kaprizov has a NMC that's going to come back to bite us in the ass the next two years when we're trying to figure out if an extension is going to happen or if we need to trade him
Behind the scenes it's the fact that he came in talking about tearing down the country club feel this organization had when he started, and he wanted guys who were hungry, and he wanted to move towards youth and speed, and four years later, we're actually more of a country club than when he started, but now it's his guys instead of Fletcher's.
Over the past few years, the success has come on the backs of guys like Kaprizov, Boldy, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Zuccarello. Guerin didn't play a part in bringing in any of those guys, they were all Fletcher and Fenton. Guerin has had a hand in extensions of some of the guys Fletcher and Fenton brought in, and they're 50/50 on whether they're good deals (Eriksson Ek), bad deals (Foligno), or TBD (Boldy).
The guys Guerin has brought in, to a team he insists is trying to win, are Frederick Gaudreau, Marcus Johansson, Jake Middleton, Alex Goligoski, Jon Merrill and Filip Gustavsson (and you could make the case that Gustavsson was something he stumbled into by chance, considering his original plan was to keep Talbot, and he only traded Talbot because him and his wife went public against Guerin).
Credit goes to him for listening to his scouts and getting Faber in the Fiala return, but that trade still isn't even for us yet. Also it's nice to have pieces like Rossi and Yurov coming into the fray, but that's because he relinquished most of the control of the draft to Judd Brackett. This most recent year he made the decision to take Stramel with their 1st (against what the scouting staff would have done) because he wanted more size and centers in the prospect pool, and now Stramel looks like he's a long shot to be a bottom six player in the NHL, and as of this weekend he's not even playing center in college because he wasn't good there.
He's been on record as saying he won't try to find the best deal in a trade, he'll just accept the first deal that he thinks is fair. Just before trading Fiala, he got on a radio show and was asked about moving Dumba or Fiala, and his response was something to the effect of "we really like Dumba, and Fiala only had three good months (which was not true, as he'd been good for much longer, but Guerin and Evason had him playing with bottom six players expecting him to score at a first line rate). He then let Dumba walk for nothing.
He has an outdated vision for what a Cup team looks like, which is why he chooses to fill his roster with meatheads like Foligno and Middleton when he can. Maroon and Bogosian were his big acquisitions this season. Because they're big and tough mind you, not because they're good at hockey. He clearly prioritizes that kind of stuff, and the reason Evason got to stick around is because he agreed with Guerin on that.