GDT: Training Camp Discussion PART II

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Ma if/when Rielly leaves it'll probably be the saddest day for me as a leaf fan. I only became a leaf fan in the 2010/2011 season, and he along with Gardiner were the two guys I was most hyped/excited for. Rielly is a beautiful and great player. Going to suck seeing him walk but its understandable if money doesn't make sense and the pressure is too high with results not being there
One of the nicest strides in the game, and a gamer to boot.
 
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I think I might have been one of the bashers especisally in 2017 and 2018. I remember a poster here who got destroyed for that take, his name was VinceVega I believe. I thought he was being crazy wrong, and his take was Lilijgren wouldn't be a top 4D until his D+4 year, which he got flamed on.

Lilijgren is in his D+5 and will likely be on the bottom pairing defender should he make the team. People definitely fell into his pre-draft hype and had wrong expectations thinking he'd be a McAvoy-level player. He should still become a top 4 RHD but it'll be in his D+6 year if we get him into the lineup this yea consistently

That guy VinceVega was right on Lilijgren but horribly wrong on Marner. He argued multiple times he'd be a bust and in the 16/17 preseason shitted on marner saying he wouldn't be a top 6er or much more until a year or two from then, before we saw Marner put 61 in 77 as a 19 year old rookei
He wasn’t ready and I thought he just needed time. When you said that in the Marlins thread it was mocked, which was crazy. Then again we’ve had #freelil arguments since his draft year so not exactly serious critiques.
 
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I like what's happening, but I don' expect too much too soon. There's a long way to go.
 
Is the leafs blue vs white game going to be on tonight (Friday night) on TSN. I saw a comment from someone the other day commenting on an intersquad game being on TSN, I thought they were referring to a game of a different team that night.
 
My opinion for opening night so far

Ritchie Matthews Marner
Mikheyev Tavares Nylander
Bunting Kampf Kase
Simmonds Kerfoot Spezza

Rielly Brodie
Muzzin Holl
Sandin Dermott

Campbell
 
They are significantly better at hockey than Orr and McLaren who played on the same line a few years ago (although I understand the game has gotten more skill dependant).

The game got more skill dependent?

Huuuhhh?

Is that why montreal went to finals? They outskilled us?
 
Something tells me that if we were to re-do the 2021 Leafs Board prospect rankings Kral would come in a little higher than 16th or whatever he was voted at this year.

Always thought his WHL numbers were very interesting, but points don't always tell the story. Getting to play in a men's league last year really helped his development as well. I wouldn't say he reminds me of Kaberle yet because Kaberle was an excellent offensive defenseman and I haven't seen that from Kral quite yet.

Hoping he plays the year on the Marlies so I can watch him most every game
 
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Can someone give me a summary on guys who impressed this preseason?

I haven't watched a single game yet.
 
Can someone give me a summary on guys who impressed this preseason?

I haven't watched a single game yet.
Of the new guys

Very impressive:
Bunting

quite impressive:
Mrazek
Kampf
Brooks
Semyonov

good showing:
Amadio
Lily
Ho-Sang
Kral
Kase
Menell

meh:
SDA
Sandin
Ritchie (had a fight so maybe should place higher)
Gabriel (same as Ritchie)

underwhelming:
Robertson
Seney
Gusev
 
Of the new guys

Very impressive:
Bunting

quite impressive:
Mrazek
Kampf
Brooks
Semyonov

good showing:
Amadio
Lily
Ho-Sang
Kral
Kase
Menell

meh:
SDA
Sandin
Ritchie
Gabriel

underwhelming:
Robertson
Seney
Gusev

Move down - Brooks, Amadio

Move up - SDA, Ritchie (limited showing)

Otherwise, I think it is mostly accurate.

I've actually been really impressed with SDA.
 
Move down - Brooks, Amadio

Move up - SDA, Ritchie (limited showing)

Otherwise, I think it is mostly accurate.

I've actually been really impressed with SDA.
SDA has made some slick plays for sure. He definitely hasn’t been bad.

I thought Brooks was great in his game, looked like a solid nhl player. Held his own with Marner and Ritchie.
 
I also think you have Ritchie too low, not much issue otherwise. I thought, in the limited time he’s played so far, he had some nice chances, showed some early signs of chemistry with marner and looks quicker than last year
 
just wanted to check see how the analytics compare to the eye test so far.

i'll only look at the leafs that have played in 2gms so far.

CFRel

1. Bunting +24.5
2. Semyonov +18.9
3. Liljegren +15.0
4. Dermott +9.7
5. Mikheyev +6.0
6. Kampf +6.0
7. Kase +5.8
8. Simmonds +4.7
9. Gusev +3.1
10. Kerfoot -2.0
11. Brooks -4.0
12. Robertson -6.0
13. Dahlstrom -8.8
14. Sandin -15.7
15. Kral -16.6
16. Gabriel -24.8
17. SDA -38.3


xGFrel

1. Semyonov +35.6
2. Bunting +23.3
3. Simmonds +18.8
4. Mikheyev +18.7
5. Dermott +11.9
6. Brooks +9.1
7. Liljegren +3.4
8. Sandin +0.4
9. Kampf -2.8
10. Kerfoot -7.1
11. Gusev -7.4
12. Kase -10.3
13. Robertson -11.6
14. Kral -17.5
15. Gabriel -24.3
16. Dahlstrom -28.1
17. SDA -51.0


Generally this seems to go along with the boards' impressions, especially at the extremes - i.e. Bunting/Semyonob/Lilly/Mikky/Dermott impressing, Gusev/Robertson/Gabriel/Dahlstom not so much.....but with a couple notable outliers.

1. the (small sample) numbers suggest that Simmonds has been much better than most think.
2. they suggest that a couple kids who people have liked - Kral and SDA - have actually been getting run over a bit. this might just be a result of low expectations and maybe just not noticing them much except when they make a good play.
 
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