Trades and Free Agency - 2022-23 Season Edition

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Kept reading need to fire Dubas, Keefe and even Shanny then trade Willie to wake up the core.
Shanny is at fault for believing in Dubas’s vision and whatever he is selling.
Dubas is at fault for betting on the wrong players.
Keefe is at fault for being too scared to call his top guys out.
And if you want to shake up the core, trading Willie is far from the answer.

To me, Dubas or the new MGT needs to identify who are the guys that can win in the playoffs, who have the mentality to tough it up and elevate his games when the going gets tough. Then those who can’t, trade them away for players who can.
 
3 possible trades to shake up the core and change the culture.

Mangiapane for Nylander is an easy place to start. I proposed this multiple times this summer. They scored at the same rate last year. Nylander is a better playmaker, Mangiapane is a better defensive player. Calgary needs offense, Toronto needs more tenacity. Leafs save 1M on the cap for the next two years and get a third year.

Rielly for Lowry would be smart business. Rielly is being paid like a #1 defenseman but he is quite literally terrible at defense. Dubas would be smart to move on from his money while he still can. Everything that Rielly brings can be replaced by free agents for cheap. Leafs save 4.25M for the next 4 seasons.

Marner for Dobson might fix the 1RD position for the next 10 years. Leafs save 7M on the cap for the next 3 years while picking up one of the best young RHD. Marner is obviously a huge price to pay but it's much more difficult to find young top pair RHD than it is to find point per game wingers. Leafs can use the 7M to backfill a large portion of Marner's production in UFA.

All three trades are a loss of value in a vacuum but the Leafs save cap on all 3 while picking up players that play a different style.
 
Gavrikov would be the best target, true shutdown physical dman. Still haunts me how amazing he was against us in the playoffs
 
3 possible trades to shake up the core and change the culture.

Mangiapane for Nylander is an easy place to start. I proposed this multiple times this summer. They scored at the same rate last year. Nylander is a better playmaker, Mangiapane is a better defensive player. Calgary needs offense, Toronto needs more tenacity. Leafs save 1M on the cap for the next two years and get a third year.

Rielly for Lowry would be smart business. Rielly is being paid like a #1 defenseman but he is quite literally terrible at defense. Dubas would be smart to move on from his money while he still can. Everything that Rielly brings can be replaced by free agents for cheap. Leafs save 4.25M for the next 4 seasons.

Marner for Dobson might fix the 1RD position for the next 10 years. Leafs save 7M on the cap for the next 3 years while picking up one of the best young RHD. Marner is obviously a huge price to pay but it's much more difficult to find young top pair RHD than it is to find point per game wingers. Leafs can use the 7M to backfill a large portion of Marner's production in UFA.

All three trades are a loss of value in a vacuum but the Leafs save cap on all 3 while picking up players that play a different style.
Yeah no to all 3 of these.
 
3 possible trades to shake up the core and change the culture.

Mangiapane for Nylander is an easy place to start. I proposed this multiple times this summer. They scored at the same rate last year. Nylander is a better playmaker, Mangiapane is a better defensive player. Calgary needs offense, Toronto needs more tenacity. Leafs save 1M on the cap for the next two years and get a third year.

Rielly for Lowry would be smart business. Rielly is being paid like a #1 defenseman but he is quite literally terrible at defense. Dubas would be smart to move on from his money while he still can. Everything that Rielly brings can be replaced by free agents for cheap. Leafs save 4.25M for the next 4 seasons.

Marner for Dobson might fix the 1RD position for the next 10 years. Leafs save 7M on the cap for the next 3 years while picking up one of the best young RHD. Marner is obviously a huge price to pay but it's much more difficult to find young top pair RHD than it is to find point per game wingers. Leafs can use the 7M to backfill a large portion of Marner's production in UFA.

All three trades are a loss of value in a vacuum but the Leafs save cap on all 3 while picking up players that play a different style.

All 3 moves would be big downgrades and make us a far worse team. And honestly, your rationalizations for these moves are nutso.
 
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3 possible trades to shake up the core and change the culture.

Mangiapane for Nylander is an easy place to start. I proposed this multiple times this summer. They scored at the same rate last year. Nylander is a better playmaker, Mangiapane is a better defensive player. Calgary needs offense, Toronto needs more tenacity. Leafs save 1M on the cap for the next two years and get a third year.

Rielly for Lowry would be smart business. Rielly is being paid like a #1 defenseman but he is quite literally terrible at defense. Dubas would be smart to move on from his money while he still can. Everything that Rielly brings can be replaced by free agents for cheap. Leafs save 4.25M for the next 4 seasons.

Marner for Dobson might fix the 1RD position for the next 10 years. Leafs save 7M on the cap for the next 3 years while picking up one of the best young RHD. Marner is obviously a huge price to pay but it's much more difficult to find young top pair RHD than it is to find point per game wingers. Leafs can use the 7M to backfill a large portion of Marner's production in UFA.

All three trades are a loss of value in a vacuum but the Leafs save cap on all 3 while picking up players that play a different style.
And then who scores?

Marner and matthews are top in the league
Their support is just aweful

When Muzzin and Murray come off the books we’ll have space to improve

When tavares contract ends we’ll really have space to upgrade

Question is what gm makes these upgrades? We can have space but still sign bad contracts or bad trades

I would bet the future to upgrade defence now with aggressive hard playing d men

1 for right and another for left

Robertson and sandin can go cause good players but not what we need. Wouldn’t mind giving Robertson abit more time but we have our goal scorers what we need is a hard playing support roster
 
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And then who scores?
This is a good question. I didn't mean to imply that all 3 of those moves together is the way to go. I think either of them on there own would shake up the core. If the Leafs did execute all 3 they would be looking at

Bunting-Matthews-X
Mangiapane-Tavares-X
Kerfoot-Lowry-X
Engvall-Kampf-X

Where Robertson, Jarnkrok, ZAR, NAK can fill in this season and you use the combined ~12M in cap savings to sign or trade for another winger in the off season.
 
Meh a knee jerk reaction trade isn’t what’s needed now. The issues run deeper than that. Let the core drown this team and look to shake it up in the off-season, while drafting as high as you can.
Agreed. Cant make a desperation trade now, you're gonna lose it.

And its not like trading Holl or Kerfoot or some other depth guy is gonna make a difference.

Dont bail these players out, let them try to figure it out. And if they cant, take your lottery pick and the new gm can decide where to go from there.
 
Meh a knee jerk reaction trade isn’t what’s needed now. The issues run deeper than that. Let the core drown this team and look to shake it up in the off-season, while drafting as high as you can.

Not necessarily advocating for a kneejerk deal, but if one had to be made, I'd look at dealing Kerfoot first. He seems well enmeshed in the room, so it would likely be a 'shock' to the system, while at the same time he's replaceable (arguably Jarnkrok is his replacement one year early) and kind of meh all-around. Agreed that any Big 4 trade needs to wait until the off-season (for a wider array of potential suitors if nothing else).
 
I think any moves start at the top.
Not just MGT but also the players.
Really wish Masai can be the President of the Leafs.
 
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Making a stupid trade because we are desperate would make our situation worse not better

I wouldn't fire the coach, this core has already quit on one and going through an endless cycle of coach firings isn't going to solve our problems either

If they continue to suck don't invest in them, sell at the deadline, get the highest pick possible and let's try to inject this organization with new talent while Matthews is still in his prime
 
Making a stupid trade because we are desperate would make our situation worse not better

I wouldn't fire the coach, this core has already quit on one and going through an endless cycle of coach firings isn't going to solve our problems either

If they continue to suck don't invest in them, sell at the deadline, get the highest pick possible and let's try to inject this organization with new talent while Matthews is still in his prime

To be honest, I'd definitely punt players right now to bring in a couple Marlies. Will anybody want them? Who knows.
 
Meh a knee jerk reaction trade isn’t what’s needed now. The issues run deeper than that. Let the core drown this team and look to shake it up in the off-season, while drafting as high as you can.

Yeah agreed. Right now that 1st round pick is the most important asset in the organization. Just let time dictate the right tear down approach.
 
To be honest, I'd definitely punt players right now to bring in a couple Marlies. Will anybody want them? Who knows.

Yeah, we could punt anybody from the revolving cast for anything, but when you think of the last round of Ritchie, Mrazek dumps did it really materially change anything?
 
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Making a stupid trade because we are desperate would make our situation worse not better

I wouldn't fire the coach, this core has already quit on one and going through an endless cycle of coach firings isn't going to solve our problems either

If they continue to suck don't invest in them, sell at the deadline, get the highest pick possible and let's try to inject this organization with new talent while Matthews is still in his prime

Maybe the right punishment is to do nothing and let them live with it through all 82. You can turn off the games. They still have to play them.
 
Not necessarily advocating for a kneejerk deal, but if one had to be made, I'd look at dealing Kerfoot first. He seems well enmeshed in the room, so it would likely be a 'shock' to the system, while at the same time he's replaceable (arguably Jarnkrok is his replacement one year early) and kind of meh all-around. Agreed that any Big 4 trade needs to wait until the off-season (for a wider array of potential suitors if nothing else).

For the right deal, you can probably afford to move a Kerfoot or Engvall. Wouldn't just take anything for them though, and I think that is a December move at the earliest.

On the PK, Engvall has always had good underlying numbers, but worse actual numbers. He's been more of the same this year with ZAR on the 3rd unit. Kerfoot has been one of the better PKers in the league since he has started PKing and has maintained that so far this year (both in actual and expected). Jarnkrok was a below average PKer the past few years but has done fairly well with Kerfoot on the 2nd unit. It has been the top unit (Kampf-Marner) which has been decimated thus far, but both had solid results last year.

Our PK could easily weather an Engvall loss, since his actual numbers are rarely spectacular and he is a 3rd unit PKer, but he has made our shutdown line significantly better in the few games since joining it. Kerfoot is tougher to replace in every regard since he is an important PKer and a top 9 forward. We'd need one of Nylander/Malgin/NAK/Robertson to step in as a full time #6 PKer in either scenario, and Engvall to step up as a 2nd unit PKer if we trade Kerfoot. We may also have some PKers on the Marlies, and Anderson specifically has 8 SH goals in his 83 game Marlies career, but the Marlies' PK has generally been trash since Keefe has left so IDK how effective those guys would be (or if it is more on coaching, which has been subpar since Keefe has left).

I doubt the Leafs trade either and replace them internally though, so it would be more than just moving them out for picks and switching things up for the sake of switching things up.
 
To be honest, I'd definitely punt players right now to bring in a couple Marlies. Will anybody want them? Who knows.

Jesus, most of our bottom 6 is so meh it's hard to imagine anybody wanting them, I certainly don't but if it's like this at the TDL I'd trade everything expiring for literally anything and guys with term if the deal makes sense

If these guys can't win it's time to find guys that can
Maybe the right punishment is to do nothing and let them live with it through all 82. You can turn off the games. They still have to play them.

Sounds like a very fitting punishment, if they are going to play like this they deserve some pain
 
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