Thank you!
I think they'll do better but even if they do this, why would you think that's awful?
Under your scenario here, the second line will produce a cummulative total of 130 points. The average 2nd liner will land you somewhere around 50 points in an 82 point season. Let's give those guys an average of 44 points... (it's a little lower but let's go with it) That's hardly a terrible line.
I also think you're underrating those guys. Newhook had 35 in 55 last year despite a huge injury. Dach was pacing for close to 60 a while back and there was every indication he was going to have a monster year last season. Roy at 35 is pretty light but let's go with that. I'd say it's 140 minimum. That's right in line with an average second liner and I see a lot more upside than that.
So if we're not that far apart, why is this a "horrible" line? How is Newhook awful if he's going to put up 45 points? Dach is a strong two way player. Newhook isn't a liabilty. Roy's a rookie. At worst it'd be a slightly below average line even under what you have here.
First, the points, just threw them out there, didn’t give any deep thought to it, who knows, there are so many variables.
Here is what I think they have top 6 right now:
CC - a gifted goal scorer, great shot (improving due to surgery) lots of upside.
NS - does everything well if not excellent and plays big.
Slaf - a beast with all kinds of tools.
Dach - size, skill, and a lot of upside but he is a massive question mark.
Demidov - if he pans out (im sure he will) he will be a star.
3rd Liners
Newhook - he’s got skill, plays well both ends, can contribute but not big 5-11, not physical.
Roy - honestly, I can’t say, sample size too small. Skilled but he isn’t physical nor does he play big like Nick. He has to work on playing in his own end, he needs time to for us to really now what he is.
Then they have a whole bunch of scrap parts that I’m not interested talking about.
Newhook isnt awful, Roy isn’t as well but to me they are third line guys. One has a lot to prove and the other I just don’t see it (Newhook) Nothing wrong with third line guys.
My ideal top 6 has size, is highly skilled, can play both ends of the ice, etc, does something very well. It’s not about the points, it’s about the attributes of the player, his complete game. A top 6 to me has to do something really well (excellent), I see it in everyone of the 5 guys I listed in top 6. They need to add another.
For example, a guy who isn’t high end skill, and isn’t big is Sam Bennett, big but plays like a beast, that one exceptional attribute. To me neither Newhook or Roy have those physical attributes nor are they superskilled and that’s why I don’t consider them to be a second line guy. CC is small but he has it, skill, he brings a different dimension to the top 6, as does every other guy I listed.
To be brutally honest, I don’t care if that line could produce 140 points. I don’t see them as being a second line on a serious playoff contending team. Just don’t see that line being tough to play against in playoffs when the games matter.
I do see them on the third line, which they could really take advantage of the match ups and move up the lineup when needed. Who knows, maybe I’m wrong, time will tell.
In 2025, when Demidov comes, and if they add a top 6, they can put together a very formidable top 9.
I don’t know if this articulates my position but it is my opinion.