They are 2-8-1 right now, their 1st RD pick (RIGHT NOW) holds the 2nd best odds. It alone is worth a boatload. We aint getting 3x 1st for such a package of mid-player.
You're looking at a snapshot intime and extrapolating it as the final standings for the regular season when the reason for a trade such as this one is to drastically alter the standings by seasons end.
Your assumption is terribly flawed when analyzing the quality of the cost for EDM.
EDM does not need elite talent (they already have three 100-point forwards), but they desperately need quality depth which they can fit in under the cap ceiling!
Monahan would add the skilled, physical play they need at 2M, either on the wing or at C. It adds a veteran presence with an exemplary attitude that can also take important F/Os, even if playing on the wing.
Montembeault, for a team with the potential to be a high scoring team, can keep you in games long enough for you to take the lead and run away with it. All for a paltry 1M.
At 4.875M, Matheson provides a smooth skating D that can follow the pace set by McDavid and provide offensive support better than 40 points (likely better than 50) with those forwards. Matheson can play both the left and right side.
If Matheson is traded at half the cost (2.4375M), the total cost for the three players traded to EDM would be
5.4375M.
With Ceci coming to Montreal at full cost, Campbell clearing waivers and being sent down to the AHL, EDM would only need to bury another contract in the minors to fit all three players.
3.25M (Ceci) + 1.125M (saved on Campbell) + 1.125M (saved on other buried contract) =
5.5M!
Ceci for two years + holding back 2.4375M for Matheson over three years + Montembeault at only 1M for the remainder of this year and the likelihood he can be re-signed at a reasonable cost would be valuable depth at C/W, LD/RD and G which EDM could realistically fit underthe cap ceiling for a genuine shot at a Cup run.
It adresses all three needs which EDM has in one trade.
It might sound prohibitive to trade three 1st round picks for any team, but the first of those three picks, once the Oilers gain momentum with the new players, will likely be a late first round pick. Keeping all three players in this trade a reasonable prices also doable for the future and the remaining two first round picks should also be late first round picks.
I'd hold back 2.4375M for three years with Matheson and taken two years of Ceci's contract at 3.25M because I don't see Montreal being on the fringe of competing fora Cup over the next three years andin need o Cap space Ceci takes or that the Matheson hold back represents in the timeframe those two contracts, even if we are looking to add impact players.
What Montreal pays easily represents three late 1st round picks, IMO, especially if you are factoring in the Cap facilitation by taking on Ceci's contract and holding back on Matheson's contract for three seasons.
That's 5.6875M Cap help for at least two years. Considering what CAL hadtopay forone year of Monahan at 6.375M,you can consider it worth a late first round pick on its own.
Monahan (1 yr at 2M) + Matheson (3 yrs at 2.4375M) + Montembeault (1yr at 1M, but RFA) is arguably worth the other two 1st round picks.