Outside fan coming in peace (honest!), but since this is a Toronto Blue Jays thread I figured I'd ask for those who follow baseball a lot more closely.
Why isn't Vladdy Guerrero the runaway favorite for AL MVP? Is it because people are putting a lot of importance on Ohtani also pitching well? I get the uniqueness of the situation, but is that what's outweighing Guerrero having better numbers across the board offensively?
What Vladdy is doing is amazing, but Ohtani is doing something that's never been done before. He's basically been an all-star caliber player on both sides of the ball in the same season. People like to talk about how Babe Ruth pitched and hit, but the reality is that he never did both well at the same time. He was a good pitcher, then he started hitting full time and became a great hitter but that occurred as his pitching output worsened, dwindled, and stopped.
It's the combo of uniqueness and overall performance level that is pushing Ohtani up the ballots. It's not like he's hitting .260 with 20 HR while pitching like a #4/#5 starter.
AL ranks as of right now (pitcher stat ranks are limited to starters only with >120 IP)
HR - 2nd
RBI - 13th (disclaimer: the Angels are a trashbag team playing much of the year without Trout
SB - 5th (I didn't even realize he was this good)
OBP - 14th
wRC+ - 2nd
fWAR (hitter only) - 11th (remember he takes a massive demerit in the calculation on account of being a DH)
Wins - 22nd
ERA - 9th
FIP - 13th
K% - 5th
opponent Avg - 3rd
WHIP - 8th
fWAR (pitcher only) - 17th (largely down to workload. Almost every pitcher ahead of him except Carlos Rodon has pitched 20+ more innings. If you were to scale everyone's pace to consistent innings he would be somewhere around 10th)
If you combine Ohtani's hitter fWAR (4.5) with his pitcher fWAR (2.7) he clocks in at a total of 7.2, which puts him almost half a win above Vladdy (6.8) in the overall standings.
So he's pretty much a top 10 hitter in the AL and he would be about a top 10 pitcher in the AL if he had made like 5-8 more starts to put him on the level with his peers (knowing that the Angels have been super extra cautious with him as a pitcher because of his hitter value)
That's the pitch for Ohtani for MVP. I do think that it should probably be closer than it is in terms of people saying that Vlad has no chance or little chance because of the historic nature of Ohtani's performance, but I also think Ohtani has a better case than some of the denouncers tend to credit him for when his performance is framed as "he's only getting lauded for uniqueness" when it's really "he's getting lauded for uniqueness at a level we've literally never seen before in the history of the sport"