HockeyPops
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- Aug 20, 2018
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Windsor sent 35 goal scorer Kyle McDonald to Windsor North Bay last season, and was still playing in May.
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To North Bay, but I get your point haha. That was a head scratcher at the time too. He seemed like a good piece in their T6 & was having a really solid year.Windsor sent 35 goal scorer Kyle McDonald to Windsor last season, and was still playing in May.
I agree with most of your points expect that they're behind London. London is losing 4 key contributors. Luke Evangelista (111 points), Antonio Stranges (84 points), Cody Morgan (71 points), and Camaryn Baber (20 points in 36 games with LDN). It's unlikely that London is going to be at the top of the Western Conference this upcoming season.Like your reasoning.
Your D corp is suspect at best in being a Mem Cup Contender. Goalie is proven.
We dont know how the 2 imports will translate to the American game, and where Martone will slot? Martone is not a bottom 6 guy and there may not be room in the top 6 because of talent and seniority/maturity.
I agree that you should have kept Dann who is an 03. Unless GM wanted the 2x 2nds and 5th for a future much needed addition?
As of now, without knowing ability and production from 2 imports and Martone, I believe they are still behind Windsor, London, Owen Sound, Flint and Guelph.
Definitely fair. I imagine they hope Voit, Burke, Vilmanis, Namestnikov, Sikic & Lantz all score 20. I dont think thats unreasonable given their goal totals last season. Obviously we don't know with the imports but Vilmanis best trait is scoring & is drafted so you'd fricken hope he can score consistently. Lantz we'll see.Another reason why I currently do not like the Dann trade is because heading into a season where we feel like we should be contending, we do not really have the formula it seems to take to make a run and win a championship. If you look back on past OHL championship winning teams, there's a common theme. They all have six or seven 20+ goal scorers, with an average 4-5 guys who are 30+ goal scorers. Those teams usually posses a D man that produces above average offensive type numbers as well, typical a QB PP d-man type player.
Going into next season, we currently have 3 players who scored over 20 goals last season (Burke,Voit,Hill). Next closest to 20 goals were Namestnikov (16) and Sickic (15). We didn't posses that D man who had above average offensive numbers, but indications showed Ritchie could very well be that for us this year (36 pts in 53 games in Sarnia) and Mast was coming around towards the end offensively and reportedly had a great camp with the B's. We all know we have the goaltending, so this should not be an issue.
I understand guys will take steps this year and with the additions of the imports and the immediate impact potential of Martone, will this be even remotely close to enough to envision that roster having six to seven 20+ goal scorers at minimum, by playoffs????
Edit - please note that I'm not saying that this is the only requirement to winning a championship. Just a key piece to the puzzle.
Windsor as well. Lose Cuylle, Zito, D'Amico, Perrot, Henault, Ribau & have to trade one of Maggio/Currie/Renwick. Defence looks just ok & Onuska is average at best.I agree with most of your points expect that they're behind London. London is losing 4 key contributors. Luke Evangelista (111 points), Antonio Stranges (84 points), Cody Morgan (71 points), and Camaryn Baber (20 points in 36 games with LDN). It's unlikely that London is going to be at the top of the Western Conference this upcoming season.
And what happens if London lands Nazar and Haltunnen?I agree with most of your points expect that they're behind London. London is losing 4 key contributors. Luke Evangelista (111 points), Antonio Stranges (84 points), Cody Morgan (71 points), and Camaryn Baber (20 points in 36 games with LDN). It's unlikely that London is going to be at the top of the Western Conference this upcoming season.
Windsor has a deeper team than you think and will sign some US kids to fill roster.I expect OS and Guelph to be the top 2 in the West. If Sarnia want to be that 3rd team this is the key:
Daviault: 40-50 pts.
MacDonell: 25 goals, 55pts
Martone: 15-20 goals.
Max: 25 -30 goals.
If this happens and all the other players (Voit, Burke, Gaudreau, Mast, new Imports) play to expectation, then you have a real good shot.
We'll have to wait & see if LDN signs either, the Finnish kid is starting the yr overseas. Same thing for WSR. Michigan is in turmoil & we have Seamus Casey there who's very highly touted.And what happens if London lands Nazar and Haltunnen?
And trades away as usual for a top 6 player.
Windsor has a deeper team than you think and will sign some US kids to fill roster.
Owen Sound and Guelph have depth but no Superstars to carry the load like Johnston, or Othmann.
Flint loses Keppen and Bertuzzi, and has all their forwards coming back. Their D corp all returning. If Cranley can be similar to Cavallin, then they are the front runners in the West. More than half their team were rookies last year.
I think 3/4 of that are possibilities. MacDonell jumping to 25G/50+ PTS playing 3rd line, no PP will be tough. I love the kid & everything he brings but he isn't an offensive guy.I expect OS and Guelph to be the top 2 in the West. If Sarnia want to be that 3rd team this is the key:
Daviault: 40-50 pts.
MacDonell: 25 goals, 55pts
Martone: 15-20 goals.
Max: 25 -30 goals.
If this happens and all the other players (Voit, Burke, Gaudreau, Mast, new Imports) play to expectation, then you have a real good shot.
American game ? lolLike your reasoning.
Your D corp is suspect at best in being a Mem Cup Contender. Goalie is proven.
We dont know how the 2 imports will translate to the American game, and where Martone will slot? Martone is not a bottom 6 guy and there may not be room in the top 6 because of talent and seniority/maturity.
I agree that you should have kept Dann who is an 03. Unless GM wanted the 2x 2nds and 5th for a future much needed addition?
As of now, without knowing ability and production from 2 imports and Martone, I believe they are still behind Windsor, London, Owen Sound, Flint and Guelph.
I disagree a bit on this. I've been procrastinating at work today so here is where I researched a bit on potential offence for a couple players:I think 3/4 of that are possibilities. MacDonell jumping to 25G/50+ PTS playing 3rd line, no PP will be tough. I love the kid & everything he brings but he isn't an offensive guy.
IMO his role will be a checking C. Play other teams top lines, late game, PK & hopefully chips in 15-20 goals. Same with Filak. They could form a real pesty, annoying, in your face 3rd line & I'm all for it. Need those type of guys to win when it matters.
My dream scenario would be they become like our 3rd line was in 2018. Josling-McGregor-Hugo. Filak like Josling, MacDonell like McGregor then Martone like Hugo.
Their point totals that year~
McGregor - 13 Goals, 19 Assists in 50GP
Hugo - 19 Goals, 28 Assists in 68GP
Josling - 21 Goals, 17 Assists in 68GP
Might not hit quite that level of production but they should come close as long as they continue to progress & Martone is legit.
There definitely could be! U provide valid points. I'm just not sure he has that offensive touch. Has to work hard for his goals. Isn't a gifted passer. But never know what he's improved on this summer. At the U18 camp he looked lightning fast. That'll be a big weapon for him.I disagree a bit on this. I've been procrastinating at work today so here is where I researched a bit on potential offence for a couple players:
Filak had 11 pts in his last 17 games and 3 goals in playoffs, good projections for this year. My concern is his defence (-13).
MacDonnel had 14 pts in his last 20 games, aprox. 43 pt full season pace w/out any PP time (and was only forward on plus side). Played 4th line until Feb. Barlow of OS was top 2005 rookie w 47 pts, 10 on PP. Not a perfect comparison but you get the idea. Maybe there is more offensive upside w these guys then you think??
If Johnston doesn’t return I don’t see Windsor as more than a mid-pack team unless they make significant trades. Johnston-Cuylle drove that team. Subtract Perrot, Heneault and Zito too? That’s major subtraction. OS might not have superstars but Guidon, Petrovski and Barlow are baby stars and I think the Attack are gonna be a handful for any team. I haven’t really paid as much attention to Guelph’s roster over the last few months to see what’s been subtracted. Like Windsor, Flint really needs Othmann to return. They actually are gonna be losing/moving two important D in Terry and Mayotte and I find it highly.....HIGHLY unlikely Cranley replicates Cavallin’s performance. If Othmann returns, they add a D and Cranley develops into solid reliable tender they will be very good. I just like Sarnia’s depth and some of their youth. If coached properly with a healthy Gaudreau in net, they’re gonna be legit. Maybe the cupboard has to be emptied to get there but that’s the same reality most teams in the West are looking at.Windsor as well. Lose Cuylle, Zito, D'Amico, Perrot, Henault, Ribau & have to trade one of Maggio/Currie/Renwick. Defence looks just ok & Onuska is average at best.
If Johnston is back they'll score goals (he has a real shot at making DAL) but not nearly as much as last yr. They won't be bad by any means but I don't see them being better. Could be wrong but I don't see enough there.
Agree with all your points. Even if Johnston returns Windsor will have to determine if they have a roster good enough to go on another run (I'd say they don't) because they won't just keep Johnston to be a 2nd round team. He'd be sold for 100 picks & some teams 1st Round from the prior draft.If Johnston doesn’t return I don’t see Windsor as more than a mid-pack team unless they make significant trades. Johnston-Cuylle drove that team. Subtract Perrot, Heneault and Zito too? That’s major subtraction. OS might not have superstars but Guidon, Petrovski and Barlow are baby stars and I think the Attack are gonna be a handful for any team. I haven’t really paid as much attention to Guelph’s roster over the last few months to see what’s been subtracted. Like Windsor, Flint really needs Othmann to return. They actually are gonna be losing/moving two important D in Terry and Mayotte and I find it highly.....HIGHLY unlikely Cranley replicates Cavallin’s performance. If Othmann returns, they add a D and Cranley develops into solid reliable tender they will be very good. I just like Sarnia’s depth and some of their youth. If coached properly with a healthy Gaudreau in net, they’re gonna be legit. Maybe the cupboard has to be emptied to get there but that’s the same reality most teams in the West are looking at.
I pretty confidently Agree with Voit & Lantz. I can see Namestnikov, Sikic hitting those if they hit the ground running. Consistency will be huge for the both of them. I could see 55-70 for both. I'm hopeful that's what Vilmanis puts up especially if he plays with Voit. Excited to see him at WJC tho he may spend most of the games in his own end lol. Id probably lower Burke to 75-85 but that kids works his but off so wouldn't surprise me if he hits ur numbers. I don't see either of MacDonell or Filak hitting high 40s. Just won't get enough ice time & don't possess high-end skill. 35-45 For me but make up for it elsewhere (PK, Late game)Slow day at the office......
This is what I am personally hoping for in regards to point total production from the likely top 9 as of now.
Voit: 100-110+
Burke: 80-90
Namestnikov: 70-80
Vilmanis: 60-70+
Sikic: 60-70
Limpar-Lantz: 45-50
Filak: 40-50
MacDonnell: 40-50+
Martone: 35-50
I think we see Seca move Hill and keep the captain on the back end. I could see Hill playing the first 10 games or so with the club until they find him a home.
Voit obviously has the potential to go well over 100 points. Nothing more to be said.
Burke as an OA should easily reach those totals. Pretty standard league wide for a player in his position.
Max has to take this leap. It's double his production but I think he has the tools and will benefit from more consistent time in the top 6. PP1 time consistently is also highly likely.
Vilmanis is a wild card because of the Import status, but I think we are going to see an immediate impact. We will get a taste of what we can expect from him, starting tonight at the World Jr's. He will be in tough vs the FINS and then CAN tomorrow night.
Sikic came on strong at the end of the year. He will be given a permanent shot at a top 6 spot and i think he runs away with it. Big year coming out of him. He's my dark horse this year.
Limpar-Lantz = Hugo Leufvenius so I'm gonna roll with that lol.
Filak/Martone/MacDonnell, either one of these 3 could easily slip onto the 2nd line over an underperforming Sikic or a "not ready" Limpar-Lantz. I do think Lantz will get an immediate shot at 2nd line based off the whole import status.
Agree/Disagree/Thoughts?
If we take the lower number on your guestimates of only the players you mentioned above, that would entail 200 Goals scored just amongst those 9 players. Thats almost 3 goals per game scored by just those 9 players. IF you take the higher numbers, that approximately 225 goals for those 9 players and over 3 goals per game.
Leading teams in each conference scored 300 goals for the season. What would the remaining 13-14 players on the team, albeit lower level offensive players add to the goals. Maybe you are close or maybe far.
Time will tell.