As it stands today I like their chances of getting in. As for beating those teams, I don't think it's likely but we've seen crazier things happen. The 128 point Lightning got swept by CBJ. I think adding a guy like Domi would go a long way for this team and wouldn't break the bank.
I'd like to go into the playoffs with better hope than, "We've seen crazier things happen." When can we be a top 3 seed and actual favorite so we're not pinning our hopes on longshots?
Let's be honest...The only shot the Isles have at the Cup is Sorokin.
That CBJ/TBL series you referenced was literally all Bobrobsky. I talk about that series all the time. The Lightning were shelling CBJ out of the gate and it was like 3-0 10 minutes into the 1st period of game 1 and it could've been like 7-0, but Bobrovsky stood on his head, frustrated TB, settled his team down, and then they played with no fear.
I think the only goalie performance I saw better than that in the past 10 years was Binnington when he literally won the Blues the Cup.