Speculation: Roster Building Thread: Part XLI

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The “don’t sign panarin” crowd seems to mostly be hoping for at least 2 more top 5 picks. I just don’t see that happening even if they don’t sign panarin this summer.

If they don’t sign Panarin and end up trading Kreider, I definitely think they’d be a bottom 5 team.
 
11M dollars a year. Long term. With limited movement options.

Forget whether you’re pro rebuild, or the alternative. Forget about what our needs are now and what they might be in the future.

I ultimately don’t think Panarin is worth 11M a year for the next 7 years..

If we’re investing more than 10% of our teams cap space on 1 player, I want someone better than Panarin.

I realize what the cap is now and how that impacts contracts.. But at the end of the day I just don’t see him being worthy of that kind of contract.
I am really coming around to this take. After watching him in these playoffs, I see the talent level and smarts but he’s really not a driver but a elite level compliment. Certainly can’t handle the heavy checking that the nhl embraces in the playoffs. I want more of a driver for that price.
This is from someone who has been on the free talent side.
 
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Panarin made so many selfish and lazy plays last night.

On the first Bruins goal, Backes strips Panarin of the puck in the Columbus offensive zone and Bruins immediately went on the rush. Panarin skates with no effort into his own zone. The puck goes to Krejci. Panarin is right next to him. Panarin should have checked Krejci and wouldn't have scored but Panarin was too lazy to back check at the beginning of the sequence.

On the Bruins GWG, Panarin loses the puck again the offensive zone. Get the puck in deep. The Bruins immediately transition and go the other way. The puck goes to Pastrnak. Panarin is again a few strides behind Pastrnak. Lazy stick check by Panarin. Game over.



Panarin is a disaster waiting to happen.

The Rangers don't need him. The Rangers have enough quality winger options in Kravstov and Kakko. They say a team needs two elite 1st line wingers to win a championship. The Rangers have them with Kravstov and Kakko.

Panarin is a stupid idea.

I think Pasternak is a closer example of an 11 million dollar ufa, if he was eligible.
 
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i really want to convince myself that panarin makes sense cause he's an amazing player and would be lots of fun to watch...but i think some people are drastically underestimating just how god awful we are gonna be next year...

i hear people talking about how this is the fastest rebuild ever like its anywhere near complete. there is lots of talent and tons of reason for excitement. but if you look at realistic rookie expectations for kravtsov and kakko. please realistic year 2 improvements from chytil, howden, lias, etc (assuming they don't have sophomore slumps), even if you swapped kreider for panarin, I think its optimistic to think we'll be as good as we were last year. we are probably going to be worse...

the idea that you should spend while guys are on their ELC only works if you lucked into that talent and have a team around them...we ripped this thing down to the studs and are no where close to being able to take advantage of that cap situation. and I also don't understand why we can sign panarin to a 7 year deal which means he'd still have 4 years left on his deal when kravtsov and kakko's ELC end, but we can't sign someone in 4 years because their deals have ended? if the 2nd is true, then how are you re-signing them with panarin on the books?

the big time free agent signing or blockbuster trade should be to land what you hope is the final piece to the puzzle, not to make you less crappy during the rebuild. there are others that you can sign on shorter deals to be more competitive next year...right now the puzzle is so far from complete that there is no way to tell what that final piece is going to be. right now the pieces are just thrown on the table scattered about...will we need a center? will we need a winger? will we need a top pair d? well only time will tell based on how the guys we have all pan out and develop...

given all the assets we've acquired and knowing that they won't all fit in ny, we'd be better off waiting till the picture is clearer and giving up assets in a trade for that final piece than signing a guy now and just hoping all the pieces fall into place around them
 
The “don’t sign panarin” crowd seems to mostly be hoping for at least 2 more top 5 picks. I just don’t see that happening even if they don’t sign panarin this summer.

its not hoping for but expecting...this team is going to be awful next year, even if you sign panarin we'd still be looking at a top 5 pick next year imo
 
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We also realize that other than Hossa and Chara, no cup winner had a top free agent. I'm not buying the argument that if we don't act now we will miss the train because it's not a path we should take regardless.

As to the second point, it's a rationale I can concede in theory. The concern I have is how likely is a trade, really? We said the same thing last summer with Zuccarello. We thought there was a good chance he would go. I didn't hear a single rumor on him ultimately. I'm sure gorton could find a take it or leave it trade to clear a spot for Panarin. But there is no guarentee you sign him. That could be another problem if he lands elsewhere. And that is out of character for Gorton to make impulsive trades.
Ducks had Niedermayer, who's cap hit % was 17.31% of the cap when it was signed. Detroit had signed Brian Rafalski before 2007-08 at 11.93% of the cap.
 
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random thought on the 3 goalie situation and the idea of rotating shesterkin and georgiev between ny and hartford...once georgiev plays 17 games this season, which most likely happens in the first half of the season, he will require waivers to be sent down. so the 2nd half of the year, we are likely faced with a situation of needing to leave shesterkin in the AHL (if he agrees to stay the whole year there), carrying 3 goalies on the roster at times, or making a move. really doesn't give us much time to let things work themselves out
Should give us a shot at assessing whether Shesty can split duties with Hank down the line.
 
I am really coming around to this take. After watching him in these playoffs, I see the talent level and smarts but he’s really not a driver but a elite level compliment. Certainly can’t handle the heavy checking that the nhl embraces in the playoffs. I want more of a driver for that price.
This is from someone who has been on the free talent side.
He has 18 points in his last 15 playoff games, he can't handle the checking? What?
 
If this team can learn to hold like 60% of the leads they had last year, good chance they're a wildcard team. They also need to improve the PK which was awful. That can be done without breaking the piggy bank, just have to find value like they did with Grabner.
 
I know many of you hope they’re a bottom 5 team for the rest of your lives but that’s not happening lol, I’d bet a large sum of money they are nowhere near the bottom 5 this season. And if they get Panarin I would be surprised if they don’t make the playoffs

If they trade Kreider and don't sign any good free agents, I'd put good money they will indeed be a bottom 5 team. At the very least, top 10.
 
If this team can learn to hold like 60% of the leads they had last year, good chance they're a wildcard team. They also need to improve the PK which was awful. That can be done without breaking the piggy bank, just have to find value like they did with Grabner.

That's would be an insane improvement and highly unlikely. I also think people are equating our overall season last year with how we will perform next year, when in reality, we should be looking mostly at how we played after removing Hayes and Zucc, which was significantly worse.

I know many of you hope they’re a bottom 5 team for the rest of your lives but that’s not happening lol, I’d bet a large sum of money they are nowhere near the bottom 5 this season. And if they get Panarin I would be surprised if they don’t make the playoffs

That's just ridiculous, no one hopes for that. But it seems there's a strong amount of people here who seem to believe a rebuild that lasts more than one season is too long, which is equally ridiculous.
 
Regardless of whether the Rangers sign anyone in the offseason, they will be way better off in the long run if they can get another top 10 or top 5 pick next season + maybe an extra first from Dallas and or a Kreider trade. In all likelihood, the team needs one more young cornerstone after this draft. The chances we get 3 cornerstones from Kakko, Kravtsov, Miller are somewhat unlikely. And we still need at least one more. It's possible all will pan out to be high skilled guys, but not nec cornerstones. If we had one more high first rounder that we can devote to a #1D and/or top 3 forward that would go a long way to finishing a real rebuild.
 
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I know many of you hope they’re a bottom 5 team for the rest of your lives but that’s not happening lol, I’d bet a large sum of money they are nowhere near the bottom 5 this season. And if they get Panarin I would be surprised if they don’t make the playoffs

They aren't making the playoffs with this D.

It's much more likely that they finish bottom 5 than they make the playoffs. That could change, but its going to take some pretty significant shit happening in order to change.

They haven't been bottom 5 yet (6th this year, they moved up which is awesome), so what is this about the rest of our lives? They literally started this thing 15 months ago.
 
That's would be an insane improvement and highly unlikely. I also think people are equating our overall season last year with how we will perform next year, when in reality, we should be looking mostly at how we played after removing Hayes and Zucc, which was significantly worse.



That's just ridiculous, no one hopes for that. But it seems there's a strong amount of people here who seem to believe a rebuild that lasts more than one season is too long, which is equally ridiculous.
I would hope guys like Chytil, Andersson, and Howden can improve enough where we don't have to look at after the TD performance as a guideline, not to mention adding in the 2nd overall pick to the lineup. If we are similar to what we were after the TD that's not great news for the development of the guys already with the team.
 
half step back this year. no buyouts, no shortcuts.
2-3 steps forward the year after
staal/smith/shattenkirk/lundqvist free up $25M that offseason.
=
decade of cup equity.

the way is lit, the path is clear. we require only the fortitude to follow it.
 
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Tell me again why Duchene is not the perfect Center for our team? Maybe a better fit than Panarin.
 
its not hoping for but expecting...this team is going to be awful next year, even if you sign panarin we'd still be looking at a top 5 pick next year imo
There are way too many variables. The team hit a major lull with the TDL stuff. The way kids progress is unpredictable.

BUT I think we will be better next year, even without making any moves.

edit - factor in all the close games. That can turn quickly.
 
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Tell me again why Duchene is not the perfect Center for our team? Maybe a better fit than Panarin.

I've watched him closely this playoff year. My issue with him is that while he's a pretty strong 2c/3c he will be paid like a first line center. And I think he's a bit undersized to ever be a 1c in playoff hockey. I don't think spending a lot on him makes as much as sense as developing Kakko or Chytil to be a 2C. If we need another vet center, I'd rather go bargain hunting as a stop gap.
 
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