OK OK OK, HERE IT IS!! I'VE GOT IT, YOU GUYS GET DIBS BEFORE BIG BOARD...
Per my usual, best hope for at least 1 if not multiple cups = EXTEND the window
this means deal vets for youth, few exceptions notwithstanding.
The out of nowhere Zib meltdown has complicated things with great negative forces. Even a premium payment to remove him must be acceptably profitable to a trade partner and that is not readily visible other than gutting nyr to an intolerable degree.
I cannot 111% completely fix probs w/coupla moves, but I can better reposition us.
VAN disputes JT Miller is at odds w/Elias Petterssen, which is ordinarily only real reason for a trade. We are targeting VAN b’c it is a possible relocation for Zib, based only on the thought that as a reclamation project zib and fellow swede EP could not just speak the same language, but get on the same wavelength. This, plus deteriorating nyr situation, plus VAN being a legit cup contender, should induce zib to waive.
Now Zib is gonna have to be max retained, so his 8.5 = 4.25, and if the above scenario does not work out, then VAN can eat another 2-ish and move Zib to a cap floor dweller. But ‘nucks are also gonna need ‘too much on the table to turn down’ to choose a deal. So here goes...
1. Rs-‘nucks
Fox is at 9.5 for 4 additional seasons taking him to age 30 [31?], currently not showing trade protection clauses. He will be asked to make the ultimate sacrifice [even tho his permission is not required], knowing he has zib to thank, along w/fact R mgmt wrongly has not listened to bern on refusing NMCs.
Add Zib max reduced 8.5 to 4.25 + Jones .800+
to ensure this deal, kicker is NYR 2025 1st [which may not be late given current dive]
cap total is around 13.3
For
JT Miller (we will assure him if he likes it, fine, if he wants out, we will accommodate to preferred relocation as best as we reasonably can) = 8 per
Raty= .800+
Juulsen = 775k
+ Forbort = 1.5 expiring [listed as IR]
VAN gives next 2 2nds 2025 + 2026
cap total is around 11.2
VAN will juggle to get cap compliant
This ^ gives ‘nucks a solid RD first pair complement to 1LD Hughes at a time when Hronek is out long term, and Forbort is np atm. Zib is the x factor. He was fine til he lost his chemistry w/Kreider and now this stretch is particularly bad. But if he can get back on track – and not seeing any physical reason that is not so – they have a bargain for 2C on their hands.
Jones also younger, better than Branstrom, plays either side, is a good immediate and long term fit.
Rs get out from under the Zib nmc at great cost.
Raty is interesting as a young pivot.
More on how everything fits after other deals...
2. Rs-Devs
had hoped to max retain on bread for Nemec and Silayev but not getting that vibe on the boards, some indication maybe one or the other [for unretained bread] but not both
so, bread 11.6+ for
Nemec [recent 2OA] elc, +
cap dumps Palat [presumes he waives] 6 per x 3 + Haula 3.15 x 2 and Tatar 1.8 expiring ufa
So Jersey is deep at RD atm, so much so that nemec is in the A.
Palat and Haula are solid, but bread is special, and this gives them inside track to offer an extension and if so at what rate going forward. Obv he would help w/scoring.
For NY Nemec is useful flip [discussed below] and avoids discussion about extending Panarin salary. Palat, Haula, Tatar likely flipped
3. NYR-LAK
While surrender of Byfield is a major concession, Kings win this deal, but it is still a fit for Rs.
W/LA in on discussions, Shesty extended 12.2 x 5, no NMC, limited ntc, which as an extension kicks in next season. Rs eat 2m per beginning this season and continuing.
Add KAM rfa - new deal after this season
add Nemec elc
Now there is too much on the plate for Kings to refuse. Obv Byfield is heir to Kopitar and now that has to have plan b alternate, but Ks still have good pivot depth and too many issues solved by this to decline.
The above 3 for Byfield
NOTE: with this trade now, Shesty’s current salary is not 12.2 - 2, but 5.6 -2 = 3.6, so add KAM + Nemec elc it is ballpark to Byfield’s #.
We can take back Rittich 1m expiring ufa if they don’t prefer to sell him elsewhere
4. Rs - Ds
Palat, Haula, Tatar, Robertson + Vesey
for
Dumoulin, Helleson + pick(s)
rationale: Ducks looking for F support, are good at pivot regardless of Zegras and Huala by now = good option to upgrade, phase out Strome, get something selling him somewhere now given Huala arrival. Tatar is just a try me F, Robertson a prospect not properly developed w/good size, etc. Palat is proven PO scorer, has value. Helleson has shown signs but is far enough down they can let him go. Dumoulin would be a small wince but worth it.
5. Rs-Bs
Broberg just now off LTIR
for
acceptable prospect assets Sykora + Bryce McConnell Barker + Groulx + Ruhwedel + pick(s)
Idea is Sykora close to ready was a 2nd rounder, projects as a mid 6 F; Groulx drafted high by Ducks (2nd round), not certain to hit but shows upside in the A. BMB is extra. Ruhw is stopgap placeholder for backline. Pick(s) balance out.
Broberg helps at LD now and we see if we can tap his visible/invisible potential while we wait for Fortescue, Emery, and whoever else shows up.
To demonstrate complete shedding of old core except Kreider, who deserves to stay, deal Trouba + Lindgren for best offer.
Having already retained on Shesty + Zib, if Lindy retained if retention is nec Trouba will have to wait til Lindgren’s retention is finished. Otherwise if he wants out now, he can go now. (LI?) Maybe possible to deal Lindy no retention.
____________
So what does all this leave us?
Kreider - Byfield - Miller
LaF - Tro - Berard
Cuylle - Chytil/Brodz - Kakko
Eds - Brodz/Rempe -Rempe
Raty is your 13th F getting into some games now, keeps everybody fresh.
Carrick + Smith = forward depth, add Gabe P next year
Othmann is a wild card, pushes Berard loser traded for D help
G remains Garand heavily supported by Quick + Domingue
D (for now)
Broberg - Schneider
Dumoulin - Mancini
stopgap below or otherwise __________ - Juulsen/Helleson
Forbort once available
usual suspects for LD depth: Scanlin/Harpur/Mackey
Rasmus Larsson and Hank Kempf may be close enuf for cup of coffee if available
til later peeps