An all in scenario (not as ridiculous as my previous proposals in this thread, from my POV at least lol):
1. Hank retires, buy-out Staal and trade Smith with full retention.
2. Lemieux, Buch @50%, Nils Lundkvist and Carolina 1st for William Nylander
3. Acquire Sergachev through an offer sheet, 5 years and 7.5m per. Compensation 1st round pick, 2nd round pick and 3rd round pick.
4. Lock-up TDA long-term.
5. Resign Fast
6. Auction Strome for picks
7. Bargain hunt 4th line depth. Guys that can play.
Line-up:
Kreider-Ziba-Kakko
Laf-Nylander-Panarin
Howden-Chytil-Gauthier
TBD-TBD-Fast
Serga-Trouba
Lindgren-Fox
K’Andre-TDA
Protect:
Kreider
Ziba
Nyls
Panarin
Serga
Trouba
Fox
TDA
+
Shest
(Chytil and Lindgren among availables)
Comments:
Nyls being available is of course dependent if Pieterangelo wants to return home to Toronto. If he is, I like him. Didn’t think he was a fit at all recently, but I’ve changed my mind. Look, 6.9m is basically a bargain for a top 2 line center nowadays. He makes us less dependable on Ziba.
We really provide strong support for Laf and Kakko. And listen, they need that. This is a tough league to play in. Sure we pay through the nose and make sacrifices. But these two lines for them, they are close to optimal from my POV.
Getting Sergachev at 7m is a big add cap wise over what we potentially could get by with. At the same time, a Serg-Trouba pairing would over the coming 5 years be as solid as they get.
We would be tight against the cap with Shesty’s RFA deal next summer and Fox and Kakko’s RFA deals in the summer of 22’ and Laf in 23’ and Ziba’s UFA deal in 22’. But the buy-outs are coming of the cap and we wouldn’t be completely without mobility.
Nyls, Panarin, Ziba and Kreider totals 30.5m. Let’s say that Serga, Trouba and TDA totals 22m. 7 players. 14 roster spot left and 30m to spend. We aren’t getting under 1m per on average for any fillers. That leaves 16m to dish out in raises along the way to Shesty (21’), Fox (22’), Kakko (22’), Ziba (22’) and Laf (23’) for as long as the cap remain flat. Long-term that is not sustainable. But at the same time, the cap can’t remain flat forever.
And note, through the summer of 23’ none of Sergachev, TDA, Fox and Shesty can have NMCs/NTCs in their contract. And William Nylander’s NTC doesn’t even kick in before June 30, 2023. So Gorton would keep a lot of doors open so to speak. The deciding factor with these two deals for me is, we aren’t commiting to anything before Laf resigns the first time. We add Nylander and Sergachev with contract and term, yes, but we should be able to get back what we paid for them (quite possibly more) in the summer of 23’ if we want to. Just more options, we spread the risk.
What this break down also shows is what a tremendous risk it is to add someone — that cannot be moved. Those contracts mentioned have to be handled and we won’t have much to work with.