Rangers are finishing higher than this. They are not a bottom 10 team imo.
Time will tell.
I think they have a lot of talent but a lot of unknowns that are a bit hard to predict. I know people try to predict how points may translate across leagues and how players may develop but it still seems pretty imprecise to me.
If it all magically came together and...
Zibanejad meets or exceeds his last season
Panarin does his thing
Kakko is a calder candidate
Kravtsov is a legit top 6 creative player
Kreider sticks around and does his thing
Chytil improves to be in the 40+ point range
Howden also flirts with 40 points
DeAngelo continues his play from the end of the season
Trouba and Skjei form a solid top pairing
Fox and whoever else on the third pairing (Rykov, Hajek?) perform well against software competition
Lundqvist is at least solid and gets good backup help
Rangers could surprise
But that's a ton of things to go right and we could just as easily see glimpses of talent from Kakko and Kravtsov that don't pan out yet and a defense that struggles and an aging goaltender who can't prop up the team