At minus-1.9 wins Alex Stalock has the largest negative impact of any goalie in the qualifying round. It’s bleak, but it’s technically an improvement over incumbent Devan Dubnyk, from whom Stalock stole the starting job late in the season. Dubnyk, as arguably the weakest goalie in the league over the last three seasons, would be worth minus-3.1 wins.
Over the last three season’s Stalock’s .908 save percentage may not seem too bad, but one has to remember he’s earned that in Minnesota playing behind one of the stingiest teams in the league. That .908 is actually quite paltry compared to the .922 expected of him based on the quality of chances allowed and as a result Stalock has allowed 34 goals more than expected in just 87 games. It’s the fifth-worst mark in the league over the time frame with two of the goalies below him no longer in the NHL. This season wasn’t very different as he finished fourth-last allowing 16 goals more than expected. Dubnyk was last at minus-27, but still, it’s far from ideal. The Wild could really use a goaltending upgrade.