That's probably no ZAR and no Ceci then, and there might be another player outside of that four taken by Seattle. How much turnover do we want here?
That's fair but we have decent turnover every year and we have some guys knocking on the door - Angello, Zohorna, Poulin, Legare, POJ and then possibly a free agent. I would like to keep Ceci for 1-2 more years. I think in 2 years, we may be out of it, so he may be a good UFA TDL target for other teams assuming he keeps up his level of play. That said, given the players I listed, I'm not convinced we are THAT much worse off if the turn over involves the likes of ZAR, Ceci, Petts, Zucker considering the cap space we get and the players we have to backfill. At a minimum with some assumptions:
Jake-Sid-Rust
McCann-Malkin-Kapanen
Tanev-Bleuger-Carter
BigZ-GOAT-Angello
Dumo-Letang
Matheson-Marino
Freidman-Rudwedel
POJ-Riikola
With the resulting cap space. Not a terrible base.
LA's been the one mentioned most out west and I think it makes a fair deal of sense. I could possibly see them not going as high as other bids due to having a lot of high end C prospects, and maybe thinking they're a better bet than going top heavy.
I think there's a few other teams that'd make sense depending on how ready to go for it they feel - I think Ottawa could be surprisingly aggressive there, I think they've hit the stage of their rebuild where a star 1C would make a huge difference if actually willing to spend to the cap - but I look at Minnesota as a team that looks ready to contend other than their 1C. Not great assets there mind.
I mean, the moment you're trading a guy like Eichel you're losing the trade and starting the rebuild, but I think there's enough teams looking for a 1C they'll get an okay boost. I mean, it's not like there's many other actual 1Cs out there to get, is there?
Big question for me is whether they give it one last shot at making it work, or blow it up now - bye Eichel, bye Risto, bye Reinhart. The next two years do look pretty good years to try a tank...
I think Buffalo is going to get killed on the neck surgery as well. I doubt they get full value for him and it makes me feel bad for them. I would be trying for something like a low-tier 1C or high end 2C, a good young roster player, and a 1st+prospect. Something like Monahan+Mang/Dube or Trocheck+Pesce.
Burakovsky got a 4.9m two year bridge straight to FA for a 63 point pace season, and Strome 4.5m x 2 for a 69 point pace (nice) - first time anywhere near it for either. Labanc did a Pettersson, and got 4.725m x 4 (a year late) for a 56 point season. Kapanen and McCann are both pacing for 61 points this season. I think that if they're in that neighbourhood again next year then, depending on negotiations and term, a little under 5m seems pretty likely.
I swear I'm not singling out your posts, lol. I think both around $4mil would be great. Maybe duel 3yr x 4mil per deals?