Wow that’s even worse for them. I misread the conditions tweet, how the hell do they trigger the 2025 first then?
What 2025 1st? (edit: nevermind added it) It is 2023 1st which becomes a 2024 1st if the Sens pick top 5. If the 2023 Sens make the conference finals, the 2023 1st would obviously be much lower than hoped so, Ottawa has agreed to then turn the 2024 2nd into a 2024 1st in such an occasion. Scenarios ranked for those who can't follow the conditions. Best cases for Arizona/Worst for Ottawa:
(Edited)
The Sens lose badly in both 2023 and 2024 but they win the lottery twice. Arizona would get a high 2024 1st, an early 2024 2nd, and the 2026 2nd.
Second best scenario for Arizona would Ottawa making the Conference Finals this year. They would get a late 2023 1st, a 2024 1st (Top -10 protected) and a 2026 2nd
Third best scenario for Arizona would Ottawa making the Conference Finals this year AND Ottawa getting a top-10 pick in 2024. They would get a late 2023 1st, a 2025 1st, and a 2026 2nd
Fourth best scenario would be a complete collapse in 2023 for Ottawa but they don't win the lottery. The best Arizona can do in this situation is get 6th overall in 2023, and the two 2nds.
The most likely scenario is Ottawa sending the 13th-17th overall pick to Arizona in 2023 and the two 2nds.
Worst case for Arizona would be Ottawa losing in the second round of 2023 and doing well in 2024/2026. Then Arizona getting a bottom-half pick in 2023 and two late 2nds.