Over the last 3 years Matthews averages 1.29 P/GP, over 82 = 105.7
Over the last 3 years Nylander averages 0.97 P/GP, over 82 = 79.5
Over the last 3 years Marner averages 1.27 P/GP, over 82 = 104
Comparatively I'm using these 3 players, they are similar level of players who all recently signed big deals
Over the last 3 years McDavid averages 1.74 P/GP, over 82 = 142.6
Over the last 3 years Pastrnak averages 1.32 P/GP, over 82 = 108
Over the last 3 years Mackinnon averages 1.43 P/GP, over 82 = 117
Pastrnak is making $104166 per point
McDavid is making $88028 per point
Mackinnon is making $107692 per point
Average they are making $99962 per point
Using that average of $ per point, fair value for our 3 core guys based on production, using their peers/competition as the reference point, they should be earning the amount listed below, to provide the same value that their peers do. Now obviously McDavid is an X factor and skews the stats, so I'll do one comparison without McDavid after this one.
Matthews $10.5M
Marner $10.39M
Nylander $7.95M
Pastrnak is making $104166 per point
Mackinnon is making $107692 per point
Timo Meier averages 0.91 P/GP over the last 3 years, over 82 GP = 74.6. Meier is making $117962 per point
Using these 3 players they average $109940 dollars earned per point. That would equate to our guys making,
Matthews $11.5M
Marner $11.4M
Nylander $8.7M
If our core guys want to take team friendly deals while still earning a fair amount, those bolded numbers are the deals they should be signing. Those are perfectly fair and on par with what their peers/competition are making for the exact same amount of production. In a cap world, nobody cares about just your skill, it's production. It's points scored per dollars spent.
I believe in a cap world we should be looking at player valuations in this way. Obviously there are other x factors and intangibles as well, like physicality/hitting/leadership/defensive skill etc, which become very difficult to measure on just a stat sheet. But looking at just points alone, those are very fair numbers.
EDIT: adding to my long ass essay, I'm gonna work on an excel sheet at some point with the entire league at some point. It will give the truest evaluation of a players value, the best bang for your buck. It evens the playing field, you can properly compare something like a 3rd liner to a 2nd liner, you can see how rare a certain level of scorer is, like an 80 point guy, and how many middle of the pack 30-40 point guys there as well.
