Other Sports: NCAA Thread v12

[LegionOfDoom91]

I would be going nuts right now if I was an FSU fan not gonna lie.

Like I took it & understood it in 2016 as a Penn State fan & the committee has generally stuck to the same rational since then until today.

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

I didn’t have Booger McFarland being the one ESPN guy breaking the script & freaking out that FSU got left out.

 

[wankstifier]

 

[JojoTheWhale]

How far out do bookies let you bet on draft selections? Maybe you should throw down a dollar lol.

I already have.

(It's $5. But it counts.)

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

@Captain Dave Poulin @Hollywood Cannon

He nailed the field so far before it was announced even the Orange Bowl too which appears to be confirmed.

 

[Hollywood Cannon]

@Captain Dave Poulin @Hollywood Cannon

He nailed the field so far before it was announced even the Orange Bowl too which appears to be confirmed.

Cap is going to be majorly torn. May even cheer against the Ducks even though he’s a lifetime fan.

 

[JojoTheWhale]

@Captain Dave Poulin @Hollywood Cannon

He nailed the field so far before it was announced even the Orange Bowl too which appears to be confirmed.

That's a really good slate of games. Or at least it will be before the portal and draft opt outs tear it apart.

 

[Captain Dave Poulin]

Cap is going to be majorly torn. May even cheer against the Ducks even though he’s a lifetime fan.

It's a tough one, brother. It may come down to the joy of rooting against Beaux one last time.

 

[CutOnDime97]

That's a really good slate of games. Or at least it will be before the portal and draft opt outs tear it apart.

None of the NIL contracts, etc can prevent the voluntary opt outs right?

 

[JojoTheWhale]

None of the NIL contracts, etc can prevent the voluntary opt outs right?

Functionally correct, yep. NIL collectives can't technically do this. But they can offer money to players without explicitly spelling it out. I's generally only the early round guys that do it, though. That makes it cost prohibitive to do so for even one of them when you can just offer the same money to multiple kids to play entire seasons.

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

Ya’ll aren’t gonna like this analytic model.

1. Michigan
2. Georgia
3. Ohio State
4. Penn State
5. Oregon
6. Texas
7. Alabama
8. Florida State
9. Notre Dame
10. LSU
11. Washington

There’s a noticeable gap in their model with Michigan & Georgia then everybody else. The next tier it’s pretty close together 3 to 8. Then it takes another noticeable drop.

 

[JojoTheWhale]

Ya’ll aren’t gonna like this analytic model.

1. Michigan
2. Georgia
3. Ohio State
4. Penn State
5. Oregon
6. Texas
7. Alabama
8. Florida State
9. Notre Dame
10. LSU
11. Washington

There’s a noticeable gap in their model with Michigan & Georgia then everybody else. The next tier it’s pretty close together 3 to 8. Then it takes another noticeable drop.

This is the best public representation we have of what the "best team" is. SP+ is a consistent positve EV wagering metric.

If you really want to do best team, Oregon and Washington didn't have to play. It was impossible to close that gap in one game.

 

[JojoTheWhale]

@LegionOfDoom91 I love Bud. Most of the replies don't get it.

 

[Hollywood Cannon]

Liberty it is.

 

[JojoTheWhale]

Liberty it is.

I am entirely for all of these teams claiming Natties. All of them.

 

[Hollywood Cannon]

I am entirely for all of these teams claiming Natties. All of them.

What about Alabama?

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

@Captain Dave Poulin @Hollywood Cannon

He nailed the field so far before it was announced even the Orange Bowl too which appears to be confirmed.

So he got it wrong.

 

[JojoTheWhale]

What about Alabama?

Yep, that works. If you win a Conference or have 0 losses, claim it. I'm good with it. It's all made up anyway.

 

[Hollywood Cannon]

Yep, that works. If you win a Conference or have 0 losses, claim it. I'm good with it. It's all made up anyway.

Damn. I wanted an Alonzo gif.

 

[iceman42]

Liberty it is.

Was not expecting that we normally get jobbed. O/U on that bowl game is 110 pts, we have no defense.

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

@LegionOfDoom91 I love Bud. Most of the replies don't get it.

You’re getting a crash course on who really controls this sport going forward today (ESPN & Fox). It’s ESPN pulling the strings today in sake of tv ratings but Fox will do when they get playoff games later too. The two of these entities want to dismantle the college landscape into two big conferences while trimming all the fat as soon as possible.

 

[JojoTheWhale]

I also really don't like the messaging behind picking Liberty over SMU. SMU scheduled hard games.

At least Liberty is good too. But if you're an AD, the choice is clear. Schedule creampuffs.

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

Arizona vs. Oklahoma in the Alamo Bowl is an intriguing non-playoff/ny6 game imo.

 

[LegionOfDoom91]

 

[Flybynite]

FSU probably has the chance to make the strongest case for 'AP split champion votes' of any team that missed out on the 4-team playoff. Playing against Georgia who just lost a 3 point game to Alabama when they were undefeated the entire season and ranked #1 is probably the strongest opponent ever for an undefeated conference champion that didn't get placed into the top-4 by the bowl playoff committee.