I think it's like a combination of the sunk cost fallacy and the Invincible Ignorance fallacy...
Let's revisit what I believe is the conversational timeline...
Two years ago everybody kept repeating that the "Kings eye dynamic, left-shot D in trade" because they heard someone else say it (Feb 21)
The streaking Los Angeles Kings have won six straight games and it appears general manager Rob Blake is looking to make a splash ahead of the April 12 trade deadline.
www.tsn.ca
"It seems like there's a lot more talk among the NHL general managers right now. Whether or not they can execute, I guess time will tell. Rob Blake of the Los Angeles Kings is another one looking for a defenceman in the category that Pierre (LeBrun) just described – 25 and under," Dreger said. "But he specifically wants a dynamic, left-shot defenceman. When you look at the Los Angeles Kings, they do have an abundance of forwards, particularly at centre ice.
This might be the biggest "no duh" but also "not really" statement you could have made.
The claim was defensible because frankly EVERY team in the NHL is theoretically
always interested in dynamic defensemen. Especially if they're 25 or under...
HOWEVER
anybody that actually looked at the roster and pipeline would tell you (as I and others did at the time) that the real need was more Mikey Anderson type d-men (and they went and got themselves Edler July 21) and their first attempt at that type of move (Maatta Oct 2020) had not worked.
THEN add in the idea that Jakob Chychrun, possibly the only defenseman in the entire league that fits that description that might suddenly become available, was rumored to become available by someone else so THAT got repeated over and over again (Dec 21)
It’s almost impossible to draw any conclusions, because the world as we understand it could change in minutes. Once again, we’re in that aggravating place where COVID’s spread is uncontrollable. What that means for the NHL, and more, in the latest 32 Thoughts.
www.sportsnet.ca
"6. Arizona GM Bill Armstrong refused to comment when asked, but it now sounds like the Coyotes are gauging the market on Jakob Chychrun. I’ve heard the ask is massive, but that doesn’t mean opponents are running away. He’s signed for three more years at a very reasonable $4.6 million AAV and is a terrific player. This is one to watch."
So then what happens? Everybody forgets that hockey futures media is a business and all these guys have clicks to bait you with and then the cottage industry of content creation needs stuff to talk about and you go huh Arizona has the thing the person said the team needs (even tho they don't) and the other person said the the thing the guy said the team needs (even tho they don't) might be available let's do some simple x =x and y = y math and
TAH DAH
the absolute simplest easiest laziest answer comes into view
The Kings are interested in acquiring Jakob Chychrun.
So once that sentence has been written... fans desperate for anything interesting to say about a team that missed the playoffs (2020-21) and seemingly mired in a rebuild made it a part of their narrative about the team.
Team bad, how to make team good? MAGICAL SENTENCE!
fast forward almost two full years... the player in question has not been traded.
the team in question does not NEED a magical dynamic puck moving LHD under the age of 25 with a non-existent team friendly contract
but changing the part of your brain that's already been hard wired around that magical sentence is annoying
AND the magical sentence is repeated ad infinitum in articles, tweets, podcasts, youtube videos, social media etc because magical sentences are way more effective at getting your attention than fun killing mood suppressants like "actually you DON'T need another shiny toy, you need to eat your vegetables, get a good night sleep and excercise more"
Now... maybe I'm wrong, they trade for Chychrun, he's awesome and they win the Cup in a year or two and he's the Conn Smythe winner and I look like a big mean dumb dumb for this rant.
But that is why I believe people are so gung-ho for Jakob Chychrun. Cus magic sentences are more fun than boring sentences.
I should not have written or posted this.