The Great Weal
Phil's Pizza
- Jan 15, 2015
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Does he still have troubles with the same shoulder?
One of those players that passes the eye test, he's very noticeable on the ice, he just doesn't translate it into a lot of points. Probably a little overpaid, but a guy most teams would take.
He'd have some value for a competitor, but I suspect Montreal would need to take a contract back. Vegas with Dadonov going the other way as part of the deal was the first that came to mind
You're assuming he continues to perform at that level as he gets older. Given his style of play and his injury history, said assumption is a pretty significant risk - and one the Jackets weren't about to go for.It's the other way around. His $5.5M AAV is going to look very good in the back half of that contract when the cap rises significantly in 2/3 years.
Pay attention to the terms that are being awarded recently. NHL GM's who sign guys past 2/3 years are going to pay big time for those UFA years when the cap is north of $90M.
Signed from age 27-32. Prime years and people think this will not age well?
Bookmark it.
When the cap rises in 2 or 3 years (after the NHLPA pays of their outstanding balance), That Anderson contract will age well when other contracts that are expiring will require hefty raises. Good luck getting a power forward like Anderson in 3/4 years at that cap hit.
A lot of people don't understand that if you sign someone past the flat cap years, the Agent is going to make you pay for those years with a much higher cap hit. This is basically why we gave him $5.5M for 7 years where if we settled for 4 years, it would have been less. But then he's getting more than $5.5M when the cap is $90M+
Remember this... cap was projected to be $84M - $88M (depending on escrow) before Covid came along. And now we have one more team generating revenue with new US TV deals. It's basically why Jones and Nurse got massive long term deals. The agent is not going to play nice in the 3+ years of term.
Fair. Overpaid today but not in the back half of that contract when the cap rises. That's basically what you got to do when you go for term.
You're assuming he continues to perform at that level as he gets older. Given his style of play and his injury history, said assumption is a pretty significant risk - and one the Jackets weren't about to go for.
Makes sense to me, but I'm not someone that needs convincing of his value
That's your prerogative. Just saying that it is a definite risk, and one that his drafting team didn't want to do. Deciding that said risk is worth it is entirely valid (and frankly, I hope he does manage to stay healthy and committing acts of badassery that long), but it's still going to affect market value unless there's someone else out there who's more bullish on his chances than Montreal is.Age 27-32 is very good mature years. I'm willing to bet on those years
I had not seen much of his play prior to the trade, so I think I had the same reaction as most that it was bad overpayment. Having seen more of him now, I can understand more of why they wanted him. Maybe with the coaching change we'll see the chances turn into more points. The potential is there.
First and last post I will make in this thread. It won't give you the true value on Anderson IMO.
That's your prerogative. Just saying that it is a definite risk, and one that his drafting team didn't want to do. Deciding that said risk is worth it is entirely valid (and frankly, I hope he does manage to stay healthy and committing acts of badassery that long), but it's still going to affect market value unless there's someone else out there who's more bullish on his chances than Montreal is.
You sure about that? You’ve been the most active repeat poster in this thread by far.
Just teasing you a bit, no biggie.
Yes. But I have a low opinion of UFA chasing in general, really.Nah... just a typical contract where you overpaid in the 1st half and benefit in the 2nd half when the cap rises. Age 27-32 years is not 30-36. We have Anderson for prime years and he's not going to fade from 27-32.
Do you think the Oilers are dumb for signing Hyman from age 29-35 at $5.5M?
Did you know that there has been a global pandemic that shortened the NHL's last two seasons?40-50 points per season…When?
He broke 40 points, once, 3 seasons ago and only broke 30 one other time, in 2017/18. Every other season has been below 30.
5.5m AAV, for 5 more seasons, for 20+ points, is a bit high
One of those players that passes the eye test, he's very noticeable on the ice, he just doesn't translate it into a lot of points. Probably a little overpaid, but a guy most teams would take.
Yes. But I have a low opinion of UFA chasing in general, really.
Knights have nothing in their pool left for us to value. The price for Anderson is high and other fans can call us crazy all they want. We are not shopping Anderson like we were with Toffoli. We could take a contract back but that increases the price tag if it's a guy like Dadonov
Some context:
* Hughes has said that Anderson is a keeper. Will take pry away value for us to consider trading him
* MSL has said he wants the Caufield / Suzuki / Anderson like to stay for a very long time.
Don't get confused. There are some Habs fans who want to trade Anderson but they are a minority
Don't get me wrong, Montreal shouldn't trade him, keep him and help the younger guys develop until the last year of his contract then trade him. At present I could see him getting a 1st or good prospect back in a deal but without retention he'd not be getting a haul.
Yzerman quote when the Blue Jackets upset them... "We had no answers for Anderson". Then you come along and look at his 3 pts in 10 games and say he is a ghost in the playoffs.
Just face it, you don't even watch him in the playoffs. You know what this reminds me of? Patch sucks in the playoffs so his value sucks. Remember those obsessive posters when the Habs were shopping Patch?
I said he was a ghost production wise in the playoffs. He has 8 goals/14 points in 43 playoff games.
My own team faced Anderson when he was with the Blue Jackets and he was a non factor.