What incentive is there for Matthews to do that? His NMC kicks in July 1st, why would he do a sign and trade when the ability to choose where to go would soon be available to him? Plus the team he wants won't have to gut their roster of assets
What team would Matthews want to go to that could afford him (a UFA Matthews) against the cap *without* losing some of their own salary?
Also, I don’t think matthews gives two shits about how many draft picks a team does or doesn’t have, and probably would be replacing their #1 center anyways. Matthews waiting for UFA makes zero sense for anyone.
He signs or he gets traded, and if he gets traded it won’t be to win, it’ll be for money.
If he wants to win and get paid, he stays in toronto
Sure - but what team is going to trade for Matthews if he won't re-sign for 14-15M a year?
In your imaginary scenerio, he's untradeable and stays in Toronto.
In a lot of these scenarios, Matthews will not be playing hockey anymore, because no one can afford him, or he’s terrible and only worth a late 1st, or he’s a rental and no one will trade for such an expensive rental, etc etc
Bottom line is matthews will sign for over $12.5 and be playing somewhere (likely Toronto) or he will be traded for a huge haul