Eastern Conference playoff picture: Leafs HOST Tampa Bay

  • Xenforo Cloud will be upgrading us to version 2.3.5 on March 3rd at 12 AM GMT. This version has increased stability and fixes several bugs. We expect downtime for the duration of the update. The admin team will continue to work on existing issues, templates and upgrade all necessary available addons to minimize impact of this new version. Click Here for Updates
But the Leafs do control their own destiny in this game.

Win and they play Tampa Bay !!!

Leafs are doing everything in their power to dress a roster not to win tonight, giving Boston every opportunity so Leafs can avoid TB.


Dressing 34/16/91 et al tonight and having them go through the motions / avoid injury might not add up to a better result. When the team wants to take a night off (see 8-1 drubbing to Tampa) they don't need to sit players out to do so.
 
But the Leafs do control their own destiny in this game.

Win and they play Tampa Bay !!!

Leafs are doing everything in their power to dress a roster not to win tonight, giving Boston every opportunity so Leafs can avoid TB.
You know Boston is also not dressing their big guns right?
 
High Danger areas rankings:
Boston #1 in xHDGA/60, #1 in xHDGF%
Toronto #9 in xHDGA/60, #4 in xHDGF%
Tampa #10 in xHDGA/60, #8 in xHDGF%

Even for the regular xG fans out there:
Boston #1 in xGA/60, #1 in xGF%
Toronto #6 in xGA/60, #4 in xGF%
Tampa #8 in xGA/60, #9 in xGF%

*whispers* Leafs should prefer Tampa in round 1.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Blowfish
Eastern Conference Standing in terms of Goal Against defensively

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Rank[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
GP​
[/TD]

[TD]
W​
[/TD]

[TD]
L​
[/TD]

[TD]
OTL​
[/TD]

[TD]
PTS​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
GF​
[/TD]

[TD]
GA​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
1​
[/TD]

[TD]Carolina Hurricanes[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
82​
[/TD]

[TD]
54​
[/TD]

[TD]
20​
[/TD]

[TD]
8​
[/TD]

[TD]
116​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
278​
[/TD]

[TD]
202​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
2​
[/TD]

[TD]New York Rangers[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
81​
[/TD]

[TD]
51​
[/TD]

[TD]
24​
[/TD]

[TD]
6​
[/TD]

[TD]
108​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
251​
[/TD]

[TD]
205​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
3​
[/TD]

[TD]Boston Bruins[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
81​
[/TD]

[TD]
51​
[/TD]

[TD]
25​
[/TD]

[TD]
5​
[/TD]

[TD]
107​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
252​
[/TD]

[TD]
215​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
4​
[/TD]

[TD]Pittsburgh Penguins[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
81​
[/TD]

[TD]
45​
[/TD]

[TD]
25​
[/TD]

[TD]
11​
[/TD]

[TD]
101​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
267​
[/TD]

[TD]
226​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
5​
[/TD]

[TD]Tampa Bay Lightning[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
81​
[/TD]

[TD]
50​
[/TD]

[TD]
23​
[/TD]

[TD]
8​
[/TD]

[TD]
108​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
281​
[/TD]

[TD]
229​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
6​
[/TD]

[TD]Florida Panthers[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
81​
[/TD]

[TD]
58​
[/TD]

[TD]
17​
[/TD]

[TD]
6​
[/TD]

[TD]
122​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
338​
[/TD]

[TD]
236​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
7​
[/TD]

[TD]Washington Capitals[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
81​
[/TD]

[TD]
44​
[/TD]

[TD]
25​
[/TD]

[TD]
12​
[/TD]

[TD]
100​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
273​
[/TD]

[TD]
242​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
8​
[/TD]

[TD]Toronto Maple Leafs[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD]
81​
[/TD]

[TD]
53​
[/TD]

[TD]
21​
[/TD]

[TD]
7​
[/TD]

[TD]
113​
[/TD]

[TD][/TD]

[TD]
310​
[/TD]

[TD]
251​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Play the better Offense or Defensive teams is on the line for Boston and Tampa either Toronto or Carolina?

Going through the Metro means the toughest defensive teams and going through Atlantic gets Matthews and Barkov and the top offensive teams.

I'm a big believer in .... "Defense Wins Championships"

a big believer? how much are you betting on NYR or CAR winning the conference then?



here's how the teams rank in goals against with their starters in net btw:

1. NYR 2.07
2. CAR 2.17
3. PIT 2.42
4. BOS 2.45
5. TBL 2.46
6. TOR 2.64
7. WSH 2.67
8. FLA 2.67


And if we remove goalies from the equation by looking at expected goals against:

1. BOS 2.49
2. TOR 2.63
3. WSH 2.73
4. PIT 2.77
5. NYR 2.79
6. TBL 2.82
7. CAR 2.83
8. FLA 2.91
 
High Danger areas rankings:
Boston #1 in xHDGA/60, #1 in xHDGF%
Toronto #9 in xHDGA/60, #4 in xHDGF%
Tampa #10 in xHDGA/60, #8 in xHDGF%

Even for the regular xG fans out there:
Boston #1 in xGA/60, #1 in xGF%
Toronto #6 in xGA/60, #4 in xGF%
Tampa #8 in xGA/60, #9 in xGF%

*whispers* Leafs should prefer Tampa in round 1.

....but Vasi.
 
  • Like
Reactions: leafsfan5 and Pi
Boston will win tonight.
Team wants to play Boston.

Tampa should beat NYI, but we'll see.

We probably play Tampa.
 
High Danger areas rankings:
Boston #1 in xHDGA/60, #1 in xHDGF%
Toronto #9 in xHDGA/60, #4 in xHDGF%
Tampa #10 in xHDGA/60, #8 in xHDGF%

Even for the regular xG fans out there:
Boston #1 in xGA/60, #1 in xGF%
Toronto #6 in xGA/60, #4 in xGF%
Tampa #8 in xGA/60, #9 in xGF%

*whispers* Leafs should prefer Tampa in round 1.

5v5

BOS #9 xgf / #1 xga / #2xgf%
TOR #3 xgf / #4 xga / #3xgf%
TBL #10 xgf / #8 xga / #10xgf%

5v4 / 4v5

TOR #2 xgf / #3 xga
BOS #14 xgf / #5 xga
TBL #13 xgf / #8 xga


On paper, plenty of arguments to prefer TB based on this year's performance. BUT, there's HUGE caveats - namely that maybe the biggest reason TB has been less than dominant this year is just ok years from Kucherov Point and Vasi, when those 3 have arguably been the biggest reasons for their cups - so its quite easy to see all three of them stepping right back up to cup level, which means a whole lot more finish up front and a whole lot more saves at the back.
 
....but Vasi.
No matter who we face the other team is going to have the better goalie than us:

Vasi: .821 HDSV%, -0.04 HDGSAA/60
Swayman: .820 HDSV%, -0.04 HDGSAA/60
Ullmark: .819 HDSV%, -0.05 HDGSAA/60
Campbell: .786 HDSV%, -0.30 HDGSAA/60

Swayman/Ullmark however have arguably the #1 team in the NHL in front of them.
 
  • Like
Reactions: trellaine201
No matter who we face the other team is going to have the better goalie than us:

Vasi: .821 HDSV%, -0.04 HDGSAA/60
Swayman: .820 HDSV%, -0.04 HDGSAA/60
Ullmark: .819 HDSV%, -0.05 HDGSAA/60
Campbell: .786 HDSV%, -0.30 HDGSAA/60

Swayman/Ullmark however have arguably the #1 team in the NHL in front of them.
There's a difference between Swayman/Ullmark and Vasi

One is the best goalie in the NHL coming off a Conn Smythe...the other two barely play starter workloads
 
  • Like
Reactions: Mess
Hopefully no injuries tonight for both teams (I know both are keeping big names out of it but. . .) I honestly think the Bs have a better shot against Carolina then Toronto lol. If I were a Leaf fan I don't know which team I'd want... TB doesn't look like the same team they used to be. I know they have Vas but Bruins have had their luck pretty easily as of late against TB I honestly wish the Bruins could have drawn them.
Anyway. I figured I'd lurk and read you folks' opinions. Coming in peace, you all have a good night!
 
No matter who we face the other team is going to have the better goalie than us:

Vasi: .821 HDSV%, -0.04 HDGSAA/60
Swayman: .820 HDSV%, -0.04 HDGSAA/60
Ullmark: .819 HDSV%, -0.05 HDGSAA/60
Campbell: .786 HDSV%, -0.30 HDGSAA/60

Swayman/Ullmark however have arguably the #1 team in the NHL in front of them.

Yeah I mentioned already that Vasi has just been ok this year, which is a big reason why the bolts have been a tick below their usual level....but i'm far far more scared of Vasi stepping it up in the playoffs than Swayman or Ullmark.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Tufted Titmouse
It doesn't matter who we play. This team couldn't get past Montreal last covid season when it was set up perfectly for us. We have history with both teams. We can beat both teams. Until post season. The Leafs need 100% focus regardless the competitor.
 
Not even when they were tanking for Matty ??

I recall being quite happy they were losing for a shot at #1 in their rebound. If everyone knew how good Matthews was going to be, I'm sure the Leaf brass would have done their best to ice an even worse lineup.
 
  • Like
Reactions: ToneDog
Isles are going to get smoked tonight... thats a sad team over there.... with that being said bring on Tampa
 
The NHL should fine the Bruins for holding out all those players. Every other league would and does. Poor fans who big bucks to see the players. But Batman is a clown.
 

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad