I understand all that. Nonetheless, there's still a board of governors that Bettman needs to persuade to see his vision I'd it is on fact his ideas going through. It's not as if he can unilaterally implement his ideas. So, the issue is with the entire Board of Governors who agree with his vision and push it forward (or maybe they keep him around because he agrees with their preexisting ideas)?It's called institutional power. The federal reserve sets interest rates, they don't need control over the federal budget to have immense influence and power.
The same thing applies with the league. NHL owners aren't a pluralistic democracy where owners spend 40 hours a week in a room debating about what to do next.
It's far more one on one conversations/ factions of team owners pushing agendas etc.
Gary being in the middle of it all, has the ability to make and break agendas/motivations.
The first thing Gary pushed was set Arena sizes, directly making it so smaller markets can't compete. He sold the owners on being ahead of the NBA and did not deliver. With that he also help steer the league towards territorial rights, stricter expansion criteria, salary caps, He chased the American contract at all costs instead of building growing hockey value in the Midwest. etc all things that steered the league away from Canadian markets.
You don't have to create a mandate of "we hate Canadian teams" to create a perfect storm of conditions where Canadian teams are held back.
Market saturation per the entertainment dollar is a consideration but only as a comparison between or amongst alternative markets for your franchise.That's exactly how it works. Fans in Houston are far far morelikely to be fans of multiple sports/franchises, your entertainment dollars are split amongst franchises.
People are capable of and often are fans of more than one team at a time. Also, as noted above, the only direct overlap is the NBA. To make money, yes you need to develop the core fanbse, but more importantly you need the casual fan's entertainment dollars. So the question comes down to is the QC core fan base large enough that it will produce more revenues than a total fan base in a city with six times the population, a much larger corporate base but also several other sports entertainment options?I get a lot of Americans on this board are hockey only folks, in part because its their identity living in a market where everything else is so popular but that isn't the norm. You're trying to pull fans from other sports, and it's why you'll always have an uphill battle when you have Big 3 + college teams already firmly established in the market.
Branding. Television. If you want to be a "major" league you need the major cities. Is a league that doesn't have teams in two of the top 10 markets a legitimate major league? Some may say yes, perhaps Bettman and the BOG say no and so chase Houston and Atlanta over QC.And it's not just making someone a fan, you need to be a fan that prioritize your merch purchases etc on the team.
As I said Dallas got in at the right time. When sports weren't so money intensive and the NBA wasn't such a big fish.
10% of a market equates to like 600,000 people. And you can just look up team revenues and see the lack of a gap between a market like Calgary and a market like Dallas.
You need 30 years to capture the equivalent of 600,000 fans. 30 years to be on par with QC.
Is 30 years long enough? And in which American markets is the NHL number one in the hearts of its residents? Number 2? Number 3? When did the Red Wings Bruins, Flyers, etc become top revenue generating markets? Did fans in 1966 argue that the NHL should expand to QC, Ottawa, Edmonton etc instead of Philadelphia or Pittsburgh because those markets already has other sports and the Canadian cities had preexisting, passionate fan bases?The southern expansion was entirely based on a Hockey being bigger than basketball. Gary came from Basketball and he thought it was doable and sold that pipe dream to the owners.
30 years later hockey is still primarily a north east-mid west thing.
No, it's not. The potential is in creating a fan base plus reaching out to the casual sports fans. Have you noticed teams- especially in baseball- are building social areas in the stadiums? It's becausenthey realize there's a market for casual fans who enjoy attending games, but enjoy it as a social outing while watching the game. These are the casual fans to whom I am referring.Your "potential" is dependent on hockey being as popular as Basketball in non traditional markets. For that to happen hockey has to take off nationality, if that needs to happen first why not wait until that happens and then expand?
I never brought up Calgary. I was talking about QC, a market half the size of Calgary. Calgary, and Edmonton - and maybe Ottawa- make sense since they are 4th to 6th in metropolitan population and continue growing. They currently are around 1.5 million, which allows them to easily compete with American markets of 2 million or so (maybe even 3 million, hard to say for sure)Just google flames revenue compared to dallas, factor in that the dollar is slight below the ideal 75 cents versus 82ish cents. Add to that the price of tar sands oil is relatively low.
A few dollar rise in oil prices and Calgary revenues would go up if they had the on ice product offered by the stars.
I'm illustrating that Calgary is perfectly large for a team, it's not a small market. It's the ideal market as you have a monopoly on entertainment, you never have to worry about an NBA team sneaking into the market and chocking your revenue, heck not even the MLS is a threat.
I am from Ottawa and I have no idea where you get these notions from. Talk to Senators fans and there's a good chance they weren't born nor raised in Ottawa but moved here as adults but they adopted the local team.Transplants alone are not a problem, Calgary has "attitude" //collective identity in spades. It has working class/upper middle class etc all existing as a unified city. The problem with Ottawa for simple identity has to do with a lack of unifying force. If you don't like government you're not all jazzed up about parliament. If you don't speak french Gatineau feels like a whole other city. There's not a ton of working class industry in Ottawa. A lot of the locals identify with the general area(rural cottages etc) then they do the city proper. And because of this a whole not of noobies don't care to integrate as there's nothing to get behind.
As if an NFL fan is skipping away games? As if NFL games aren't watching marquee matchups with Green-KC etc. Not to mention the college football.Someone may think Houston isn't viable because it has too much going on so Quebec it is. Others may think Houston is the better option because it has a huge population to market and tap into and think the Texans only play 9 times a season,
This is where we can just bring the conversation to a halt.Branding. Television. If you want to be a "major" league you need the major cities. Is a league that doesn't have teams in two of the top 10 markets a legitimate major league? Some may say yes, perhaps Bettman and the BOG say no and so chase Houston and Atlanta over QC.
Things were wide open back then, radically unlike now, where the MLS is screaching into any possible market they can.Is 30 years long enough? And in which American markets is the NHL number one in the hearts of its residents? Number 2? Number 3? When did the Red Wings Bruins, Flyers, etc become top revenue generating markets? Did fans in 1966 argue that the NHL should expand to QC, Ottawa, Edmonton etc instead of Philadelphia or Pittsburgh because those markets already has other sports and the Canadian cities had preexisting, passionate fan bases?
Not sure what your point is? You don't think people going to an Ice Hotel in QC are gonna pass up a nordiques game?No, it's not. The potential is in creating a fan base plus reaching out to the casual sports fans. Have you noticed teams- especially in baseball- are building social areas in the stadiums? It's becausenthey realize there's a market for casual fans who enjoy attending games, but enjoy it as a social outing while watching the game. These are the casual fans to whom I am referring.
You get my father literally grew up in Sherbrooke-Ottawa? My cousins live in Hawkesbury half the sisters drive to Ottawa the other half drive to Montreal. You're describing Sens fans who've by your definition overcome the barrier.I am from Ottawa and I have no idea where you get these notions from. Talk to Senators fans and there's a good chance they weren't born nor raised in Ottawa but moved here as adults but they adopted the local team.
I never said a foreign land, but another city. Similar to Manhattan versus Jersey. It's not that it's forbidden, but one side follows the QMJHL team the other follows the OHL team.It's only a matter of time before Gatineau is overtaken by anglophones much like Orleans, Rockland, Cumberland, etc were, and even still, Gatineau doesn't feel like some foreign land.
You're describing exactly and I mean exactly what I mean. People "feel" very differently about what Ottawa is and is not.Many if not most that live there work in Ottawa; the cities are intertwined (many francophone there don't even necessarily identify as Quebecois in any ethnic identity sense since Montreal and QC may as well be in an altogether different province- much like how Ottawans feel about Toronto)
A) Canadian teams want the Canadian division back if it guarantees the winner 3rd round hockey. There's zero teams who'd do anything less than put all of their might behind that. Regardless if it's taxes/weather or just bad mangement, Canadian teams know they'll always have trouble competing with Americans.I understand all that. Nonetheless, there's still a board of governors that Bettman needs to persuade to see his vision I'd it is on fact his ideas going through. It's not as if he can unilaterally implement his ideas. So, the issue is with the entire Board of Governors who agree with his vision and push it forward (or maybe they keep him around because he agrees with their preexisting ideas)?
That's just absurdly false. Most businesses are interested in smaller markets they can monopolize than large markets where every inch has to be fought for and you're always one shift in fandom away from losing 30-40% of your income. It's why walmart makes billions operating springfield Texas and posh big fashion brands in Paris aren't even listed by Forbes.And what business keeps itself smaller for the sake of small markets having access to the business?
Canada is a small population compared to the U.S., it sucks but that's the way it is.
You get the vast majority of Canadians don't watch and are barely aware it exists? If Canada was passionate about football you'd have a 32 team league. Regina is basically the only place it's popular and they have 265,000 people.The CFL can barely go beyond 9 markets.
KWC has 600,000 people a much much stronger economy, and is surrounded by similarly sized cities. Canada could support 12-16 teams. Some of them shaky sure, but it isn't that Canada is up against a population wall.After Quebec, the markets are so small that they can't even host a mom and pop (relatively speaking) business like the CFL.
The frustrating thing about HF is that you can make a post like this but if I reply with the truth then I'll be the one who gets the infraction.Ah yes, the "high powered labor unions." The boogeyman of billionaires. I guess they couldn't pin it to illegal immigration?
People are focusing on money spent to lobby on this, but maybe they should have done better with some actual community outreach as well? Try and involve the neighborhoods and communities affected by the new stadium.
sure, sure the "truth."The frustrating thing about HF is that you can make a post like this but if I reply with the truth then I'll be the one who gets the infraction.
I'll just leave it like I said in my earlier post. Most voters could care less about hockey, especially for a team that has been a cellar-dweller. As such, I think they made a rational choice for themselves. I think the money spent probably didn't matter either way.sure, sure the "truth."
I was replying to an actual tweet trying to pin the failure of the stadium on "high-powered labor unions" where when you look into what went down in Tempe, it was mostly about public sentiment having shifted against billionaires getting a city to build a stadium for them in the promise of all it will do for the citizens. This one was largely going to be privately funded but still got a massive tax break for 30 years, was going to have to pay for hazardous waste cleanup and another $200 million for infrastructure. And the face of this stadium deal doesn't exactly have a good reputation in the area.
A family member who lives in Tempe echoed a lot of what I read on the issue. The prevailing mood seems to be against any sort of giveaways for a sport that you correctly state the local citizens care very little about. Bettman's threat to move the team doesn't scare anyone but the owners. But when the people actually vote down a billionaire, it's not the democratic process at work, it's the "evil unions from California."
The failure of American hockey is pretty dam simple.I'll just leave it like I said in my earlier post. Most voters could care less about hockey, especially for a team that has been a cellar-dweller. As such, I think they made a rational choice for themselves. I think the money spent probably didn't matter either way.
Ah yes, the "high powered labor unions." The boogeyman of billionaires. I guess they couldn't pin it to illegal immigration?
People are focusing on money spent to lobby on this, but maybe they should have done better with some actual community outreach as well? Try and involve the neighborhoods and communities affected by the new stadium.
If the Nordiques made so much money why did they leave? Who abandons a cash cow?
The NFL had no team in LA for how long but had a team in Green Bay. You go to where it’s stable and profitable period. The prospects of a better Tv deal was the excuse for years. Well the TV deal happens and it still sucks.Branding. Television. If you want to be a "major" league you need the major cities. Is a league that doesn't have teams in two of the top 10 markets a legitimate major league? Some may say yes, perhaps Bettman and the BOG say no and so chase Houston and Atlanta over QC.
It's more like they could become a cash cow. Easily. Quebec is more wealthy now. They have a rich owner waiting in the wings with his own channel and a NHL arena.
As an european in can Tell you that that won't Happen. Like ever.MLS is literally bigger in a whole lot of markets and that's while being committed to having rosters of ahl equivalents. What happens when MLS starts signing all of the biggest names in the world? How on earth to people fantasize about hockey being in the picture.
Even in Canada you meet a massive number of people who are soccer first.
LolThe NFL had no team in LA for how long but had a team in Green Bay. You go to where it’s stable and profitable period. The prospects of a better Tv deal was the excuse for years. Well the TV deal happens and it still sucks.
The PM? The Prime Minister?It's more like they could become a cash cow. Easily. Quebec is more wealthy now. They have a rich owner waiting in the wings with his own channel and a NHL arena. I was at my grand-mother birthday a few days ago. Big family. People were talking about the Coyotes. A lot of them were saying they would buy season tickets if the Nords returned. I'm telling you, it would be mad.
And they left cause Aubut didn't want to share the pie. He was told by the PM, he wouldn't be the man and in charge of the Nords. And then he turned around and was offered beautiful US dollars. He sold the people out.
The NFL had no team in LA for how long but had a team in Green Bay. You go to where it’s stable and profitable period. The prospects of a better Tv deal was the excuse for years. Well the TV deal happens and it still sucks.
You'd get more weight if you told me you were from South America. It doesn't happen all at once, it'd be a gradual process.As an european in can Tell you that that won't Happen. Like ever.
"best leagues"Atleast Not when they are in their Prime.
And afterwards they Go where the Money is best.
But beforehand they want to compete in the best leagues in the world and compete for in the best competitions.
The Ottawa bid has proven there's plenty potential owners along the st lawerence sea way.An owner the NHL would not accept at all, thats one of the huge hurtles for QC. Paladeau made his bed, now he has to sleep in it.
They play more or less one day a week. If your argument held water the NBA would be seeing a huge hit to their attendance and ratings overall as well.As if an NFL fan is skipping away games? As if NFL games aren't watching marquee matchups with Green-KC etc. Not to mention the college football.
This "9 games a year" bit is a joke. For most even casual fans it's 40-50 games a year.
There is a difference between cultural significance and market size as it relates to economic matters. The two should not be conflated.This is where we can just bring the conversation to a halt.
You think QC isn't a major city in the province of Quebec? Rome is more important to Europeans than the Cologne-Rhein metro despite having triple the population. The same thing applies to QC. It's reach is far beyond raw population numbers. It's the heart of historic-french Canada.
Like I personally don't know a single person who thinks Detroit is a more impressive city than QC.
Believe it or not a ton of Canadians really don't care to know the difference between Houston-Atlanta-Baton Rouge-Des Moine. If you're from Algeria and speak only french America is a whole other distinct country.
The point is sports leagues aren't sports leagues alone, they're entertainment industries. Both of my sales reps for my season tickets don't ask me about the team, they ask me about the atmosphere of the game, what they could do to make it more entertaining because teams realize catching the casual fans and getting those additional dollars is about entertainment. Hence, the kiss cam, mascot, loud music, games...and now social areas where people can hang out, socialize and maybe take a peak at the game every so often.Not sure what your point is? You don't think people going to an Ice Hotel in QC are gonna pass up a nordiques game?
It's not another city. It's no different to going to Wrstboro, Orleans, Silver City. Just another neighborhood in the city.You get my father literally grew up in Sherbrooke-Ottawa? My cousins live in Hawkesbury half the sisters drive to Ottawa the other half drive to Montreal. You're describing Sens fans who've by your definition overcome the barrier.
I never said a foreign land, but another city. Similar to Manhattan versus Jersey. It's not that it's forbidden, but one side follows the QMJHL team the other follows the OHL team.
The no side was feeling pretty good when this was the outreach.People are focusing on money spent to lobby on this, but maybe they should have done better with some actual community outreach as well? Try and involve the neighborhoods and communities affected by the new stadium.
Sports isn't retail. They intentionally keep the number of franchises low for valuation purposes (and maybe even quality purposes). As such, they have a limited number of options and an opportunity cost when they choose one market over another.That's just absurdly false. Most businesses are interested in smaller markets they can monopolize than large markets where every inch has to be fought for and you're always one shift in fandom away from losing 30-40% of your income. It's why walmart makes billions operating springfield Texas and posh big fashion brands in Paris aren't even listed by Forbes.
You get the vast majority of Canadians don't watch and are barely aware it exists? If Canada was passionate about football you'd have a 32 team league. Regina is basically the only place it's popular and they have 265,000 people.
Name me the potential 16 markets for hockey.KWC has 600,000 people a much much stronger economy, and is surrounded by similarly sized cities. Canada could support 12-16 teams. Some of them shaky sure, but it isn't that Canada is up against a population wall.
The CFL has zero relevance in Eastern Canada, the few local kids who play football don't even play 3 down Canadian football but instead play the American variant.
Just go around Toronto and ask them if Hamilton or QC has a CFL team. Watch them scratch their heads. It's not because Toronto is too good for football, nobody in the province really follows the CFL. It's a prairie thing.
Jesus Christ, man. Hate to see anyone losing their team like this.