Age X Salary X Term, Divided by position 1 for forwards, 2 for defence = Negative year by year curve of the future viability.
Just sort of ... a new fun stat. Forwards on average effectiveness decline quicker than defence.
Mostly because defence is much more structured whereas forward has to be much more creative.
Necas, he is arbitration eligible too. So his trade value might be diminished a bit, but he is a forward, one of 9 on a normal team.
Hronek is the same but one of 5 and which side is much more valuable.
Canucks might be able to get him for Podkolzin and Karlsson then sign him to a decent bridge contract of 3/4 years. 6.5/7 mil.
There are a lot of RHD FA's this year
The Canucks could use a defensive type, Tanev/Schenn to partner with him. Hughes production whether 90 pts or 75pts doesn't sink the team. coming from the back end is a huge plus but is 10 to 15 points worth 8 million a year?
Hughes should be good enough to raise the point total of any dman he plays with.
Even with the number of RHD's available this year Myers is the #2 point producer BUT if looking for a more defensive dman then there are many to consider.
The idea being that Hronek's rights get traded either before or after arbitration.
As the biggest point producer with the bonus of him being a RHD the team should be able to get a very healthy return. Many teams would be interested. Some teams want to make a splash in the market, some tuning up for the easy season and some for the real season.
It is fairly obvious that Hronek will never get a fair shake from the media and media led fans in this market.
With that said Columbus is a media quiet market, his signing and introduction might be the only intense exposure he faces.
And they are a "win now" team so they flip a RHD, Jiriecek and a younger forward, one of the five, Sillinger, Johnson, Voronkov, Marchenko or Chinakhov, maybe if the Canucks add a small sweetener based on a conditional trade if needed.
Hronek with them would likely set their defence needs for years, if he worked out, skill and contractually. Who is better Jiricek or him? Right now Hronek although Jiricek might in the future.
Utah needs everything BUT Hronek would be a BIG name trade and signing making big news to help ignite that market's interest.
They have all kinds of prospects, picks and future assets to entice the Canucks to fill some of their holes at the draft OR a player, forward and a pick. Hronek for Crouse and a 1rst, 2nd's or combination of picks, they have 20 picks in the first three round over the next three years.
They also need to sign a couple of big contracts for cap reasons. Not ALL high priced FA's will want to go to a clearly rebuilding situation.
I dream of these kind of deals, cap saving, won't degrade the defence too much but will upgrade the forwards and depth considerably. So Fantasy.
Crouse - Pettersson - Necas
Boeser - Miller - Marchenko/?
Hoglander - Marchenko/? - Garland
Joshua - Suter - PDG
Hughes - FA signing, Kesserling, Pesce, Skejri,?????
Zaodorov - Jirieck
Soucy - Myers
Juulsen - FA - Dillion, Deharnais,
Bigger, younger, faster, cheaper
Maybe Boeser or Garland get moved as well. BB would need more than the cap space they will have, if not careful the team could be looking to shed cap every year instead of using space to improve.