Confirmed Signing with Link: [BOS] Brad Marchand extension (8 years, $6.125M AAV)

[Ladyfan]

8 years is a little loco if you ask me.

As a B's fan and STH I am fine with this. Brad is a blast to watch and I am thrilled !

 

[57special]

Big slow players tend to hit a wall early, say around 32-33. Small fast players tend to remain highly effective to around 36 (St. Louis, Datsyuk, etc.).

Just a general observation, of course there are exceptions to both.

Just look at how well Pominville has aged!

 

[Bruin4Life]

Look at his past contracts

FIrst four years as a rookie: 900k (rookie contract so thats not bad)
Next 2 years @ 2.5mil <-- WAY underpaid
Next 4 years @4.5mil <-- Underpaid
New contract @ 8 years-6.1 <-- Underpaid

Who cares about term at this point. The kid has taken a hometown discount every contract hes signed. Those last 2 years will be his reward for saving this team $$$ for 14 years.

Lets see a show of users who ask to be paid less to get 1-2 years extra to help your company profit?

 

[TrillMike]

Good player. Might be a bit too long though. Only time will tell.

 

[Mr Positive]

The AAV is right, but I can't help but feel the term is 2 years too long.

Marchand is super effect right now and coming off a great year, but it was also his first 30 goal year.

If you remove last years career highs in goals (37) and points (60) heading into a contract year, his career per 82 game averages were 25 goals and 49 points

I just think 8 years might have been too much term at $6+ to give a guy whose production line outside of last year was good, not great for a non center.

He is also is 29 when the deal starts, its not like he has yet to enter his prime either. He probably has 2 years left of his prime when the contract kicks in before his numbers start trending downward, another reason why I think the 8 year term is too long. You can tolerate buying 2 years of prime and 3-4 years of start to decline. I am not sure you want to buy 2 years of prime and 6 years of decline

Boston likely has exit strategy for Backes and Marchand. They will likely aim to dump them off on a team aiming for the cap floor or something like that once they start to fall apart.

Also in hindsight, I think it's fairly obvious that of all these summer deals for veteran forwards (Ladd, Okposo, Marchand, Backes, Nielsen, Eriksson, Lucic), Lucic is the best one. I think he was the first one so the Oilers got a lot of flack for it, but his deal ends at the youngest age, and he's got the cleanest injury history of them all, which suggests he won't decline as bad.

 

[NyQuil]

I think it's a pretty good deal.

There's a little risk given his career season and penchant for physical play, but his skating is elite and that keeps a player productive for longer.

 

[Bruin4Life]

Just look at how well Pominville has aged!

Didnt he score 55+ points since coming to the wild each season? Last year was a downturn.. 1 year makes a career .


Guys, Crosby is on his downswing and will be useless in a few years. He is now an 80 point player instead of a 110 point player. In 3 years hell drop another 30 points per season.... Is this the way you think?

 

[Ryuji Yamazaki]

Absolute freakin' steal.

Congrats B's fans.

 

[Fire Sweeney]

Just look at how well Pominville has aged!

That's actually a prime example of why you don't sign an old player to a long term contract.

 

[Ladyfan]

He's not scoring 37 goals again this year, why pay him big boy money and lock him down for 8 years now?

No .. He will score 45 this year !

 

[Mr Positive]

I think it's a pretty good deal.

There's a little risk given his career season and penchant for physical play, but his skating is elite and that keeps a player productive for longer.

isn't skating the trait that degrades the worst over time though? Things like shooting skill age the best.

 

[BruinLVGA]

Love this deal as a Bruins fan. Marchand + Bergeron locked up long term at a combined AAV of $13M.

Amen to this!

Wow I thought that there was zero chance he would come in below 7m per... So happy!

 

[CupofOil]

Solid deal but a bit risky only because you don't know if you're getting the 25 goal, 50 point player that he has been most of his career or the breakout player that he was last season. Should be a good deal though even if he resorts to his normal career stats because he brings so much more to the table.

 

[NeedleInTheHay]

49 million dollars for a player that's hit 30 goals once and 60 points once, both in the same year before he's eligible for a contract.

I mean he literally had 42 points the year before that, seems pretty fishy.

 

[Tim Vezina Thomas]

Its long, but what are you supposed to do let him go because its 1 year too long?

I'm thrilled.

 

[SI90]

That's about right

 

[KingsFan7824]

Fortunately for players, and unfortunately for GM's, talent isn't always available. When you have a guy, you want to keep him. Most GM's won't be around 5 or 6 years after they get these contracts done, so it's tough to worry about things you don't have to deal with in the right now.

Nobody can say for sure how, if, or when Marchand will outlive his cap hit. He might break down in 3 years, or he could be good for 8 years. The Bruins might be able to trade him at some point if they feel a need to do it, or they might be stuck with him until 2024 when he has just 1 year left on the deal.

All this deal does is quiet any rumblings leading up to what would've been his free agency in July. Can Boston keep him? Do they want him? Does he want to stay? Beyond that, there's nothing definitive about it. The future will play out in whatever weird way it usually does.

 

[Paradise*]

Marchand brings a lot more than just points. He's great defensively and his agitating ways provide another element too.

 

[leafsfan1234]

Pretty solid deal for the Bruins, some might not like his term, but Marchand is a guy who takes his fitness seriously so I doubt we'll see a fast decline from him.

 

[burstnbloom]

Solid deal but a bit risky only because you don't know if you're getting the 25 goal, 50 point player that he has been most of his career or the breakout player that he was last season. Should be a good deal though even if he resorts to being his normal career stats because he brings so much else to the table.

Brad Marchand G/60
2015 - 1.55
Last 5 years - 1.30

If you regress his 2015 number to career averages and use his icetime last year as a barometer, he scores 31 goals. He gained over 2 min TOI last year and increased his shooting % by 1%. You can expect some regression but a good portion of his increase in production was just because he was on the ice more.

It's a pretty great contract for the Bruins. Bergeron, Krejci and Backes all expire in 2021 or 2022, when Brad will be 32/33 so I don't anticipate a cap issue unless the cap tanks and/or the Bruins grow a bunch of homegrown superstars that need huge 2nd contracts. Given their track record lately, I'd bet against that.

 

[BergyWho37]

I remember when Bruins fans insulted me because I said that Marchand will probably be getting the same contract as guys like Eriksson and Okposo. Those were good times.

Hilarious ..

U said nothing about him resigning in Boston. It was all about him signing for 6 mill as a penguin he would not sign for the same price on the open market and you still haven't got what everyone told you back then.

 

[AtlantaWhaler]

Great player and contract. Long term, but he's really looking like the face of the franchise along with Bergeron.

 

[M2Beezy]

I remember when Bruins fans insulted me because I said that Marchand will probably be getting the same contract as guys like Eriksson and Okposo. Those were good times.

Great steal for boston marchy is a all star level now. Id of been soooo happy to have got him instead of eriksson

 

[SI90]

People who say it's too long are delusional. That's what it takes to lock him up. If he was an UFA he would easily get 7 years 7.5aav

 

[CanadienShark]

Very fair deal. He's worth it.