Athletic Has Leafs as 3rd best in contract Values

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Nevermind i see its holl

The search criteria i was using on NST wouldnt let 21/22 be added for that long of range

...and just how would folks around here respond to guy who puts up worse defensive numbers than Holl or Ceci in more or less the same roll (his super low hits/60 would leave him open to all sorts of "soft" accusations as well)?

I still think he does a decent job in his role but people around here are just ruthless. (cue our awesome broadcasters zooming in on defensive D whenever a goal goes in).

I think Nylander is far more dynamic and has been the more valuable player but Pesce would have had his perks as a stable RHD partner for Morgan for sure.
 
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...and just how would folks around here respond to guy who puts up worse defensive numbers than Holl or Ceci in more or less the same roll (his super low hits/60 would leave him open to all sorts of "soft" accusations as well)?

I still think he does a decent job in his role but people around here are just ruthless. (cue our awesome broadcasters zooming in on defensive D whenever a goal goes in).

I think Nylander is far more dynamic and has been the more valuable player but Pesce would have had his perks as a stable RHD partner for Morgan for sure.
He is decent yes.. i was not a fan of his playoff but he has been decent

Cause i said hindsight is fun

Rielly Pesce
Brodie Liljegren
Sandin Holl
 
We're probably at our limit now based on current cap and stagnation. If you had six 10m+ forwards, you'd have difficulty filling out an effective team (especially on defense - I don't know where you'd get a bunch of top pairing or top-4 defensemen for 750k), and there isn't really enough space on the roster or ice time to go around to get full value out of 6 elite forwards.
I'd say the bolded is a pretty fair take.

Sounds like we're right up against the edge at three - in your opinion. Since no team has done it yet with more than zero it's quite a stretch too.

With no proven ELC's and Murray in net to start the season I'm not sure we're in a good position to thread the needle here.
 
Dubas guessed wrong on Nylander and potentially cost us another season of winning the cup having Nylander in fat-Thor mode after missing half the season instead of point per game mode.

We could have had Nylander for 8x8 or a number slightly above 8 (8.5 was his starting offer so would have came under that after negotiations), squeeze out ALL of his prime years to the point if he walks at year 9 we can sleep better at night knowing he's on the wrong side of 29, so it's okay.


The people who thought Nylander was overpaid are dead wrong and have been proven to be dead wrong beyond any doubt.

Dubas has been proven dead wrong making Nylander sit and then turning the 8 years into 6. The 8 year deal would have brought massive ridicule to him but time would have proven him correct if he did it.

If Dubas really wants to do something useful moving forward, he needs to convince Marner that he's not Matthews and never will be and make Marner sit instead if he continues to think otherwise. Marners retirement contract in a couple years should be an 8 year deal of what he's making right now barring some consecutive 40 goal 100 point seasons and massive hardware that hopefully includes a conn smythe or stanley cup. In that case give him 20 mil a year for all I care.
Nylander WAS overpaid at time of signing. Significantly.

He was a 20 goal/60 point player and his defenders were using a guy who paced for 37 goals/78 points on final elc year as his direct comparable. Nylander got the Pastrnak contract at the same term, FAR more front loaded, FAR more in signing bonuses, and 1 less ufa year. A disgusting contract that set the tone for the other core players. And Pastrnak also didn't have a literal write-off year where he was literally a disgraceful hockey player like Nylander did.

Remember... GOOD gm's don't pay 20 goal/60 point players on the HOPES they get better. They pay them JUST as a proven 20 goal/60 point player. Everybody in the world knew MacKinnon would be elite. Dubas would have paid him based on that. But MacKinnon's gm was a GOOD gm, paid him ONLY on what he'd proven at that point. That's what GOOD gm's do. Not rookies who literally admit they're "learning as they go".
 
Since no team has done it yet with more than zero it's quite a stretch too.
But again, that's pretty much meaningless. Considering that the cap has only recently been at a point where 10m+ contracts exist, it's essentially the same as saying that a handful of teams - most of which weren't even in a competitive phase - didn't win the cup over the last half decade or so. And we've seen teams win with 9.5m forwards, which is not really a significant difference. We've seen teams win with all sorts of cap allocations, build styles, play styles, etc. over the years. There's no one way to win the cup. As long as you're getting good value out of your three 10m+ forwards, there's no real reason it should prevent a team from winning.
With no proven ELC's and Murray in net to start the season I'm not sure we're in a good position to thread the needle here.
Poor drafting certainly doesn't help a setup like this, and our prospect pool was pretty depleted by the time we were entering this stage, but through effective management, we've still been able to add some non-drafted players to give us a similar effect that an ELC would at an ELC price, and we've really improved our prospect pool under Dubas. We have a good chance to add a couple effective ELC forwards this year. As for Murray, you can have your personal feelings about him, but at 4.7m, he's not really an example of not being able to allocate money elsewhere. We got him because we believe in him.
 
As far as I am concerned none of it matters until there is a Cup. Fancy stats, individual awards, all star games, team records, all are nice but only Cups matter at the end of the day.

You could have horrible contracts but they deliver a.ring or two. No fan will care about the down years of the overpaymemts.

Habs are worst but they were in the Finals in covid year. How much wou!d Leaf management give to have a Cup Finals appearance?

Leafs have deserved better, but they need to realize it's them against the world.
 
Imagine think marner for 11mill is better than 2 players for 5m each. Even if he puts up more points than both combined he can only play 20 minutes. You still need to find players to play the rest of the game. Danault at 3m had very similar playoff points to matthews at 11m. How many Champions have just one line score an overwhelming majority of the teams points? What happens if someone can shut that line down for a few games? Did dom write this article? He makes his living selling positive words about the leafs.
How many champions don’t have star players?
 
Matthews (despite playing through an injury) completely wrecked Danault when they played against each other in the playoffs, he had 5 times more points than Danault in that series, and the only reason it wasn't more was because of Price.

Relative to his on-ice impact, he absolutely is. Most elite players are.

He's pretty close, if not.

Crosby signed his contract 10 years ago, and I'd rather have 25 year old Marner than 35 year old Crosby, even if I had to pay him a couple million more.

I'd rather have Marner than Landeskog, and Landeskog makes 7m, for the record.

Our "current cap structure" has resulted in one of the best teams in the league.

We were one of the best defensive teams in the league last year. Another swing and a miss.

The goal of the Leafs organization is to win the cup.

Yes, hockey is a team sport. That doesn't change the fact that elite players like Matthews and Marner add massive impact and value to the team, and are justifiably compensated for that.

That's exactly what our stars are focused on.

Once again you show you don't understand the game of hockey. So I'll explain the Montreal series for you.

Denault was on the ice to stop Matthews from scoring.

Matthews is on the ice to score goals.

Matthews had 0 goals and two points from games 3-7.

Considering what they're on the ice to do saying that Matthews "destroyed Denault" is laughable it was pretty obvious Denault owned him.

Of those 5 points he had in the entire series. 2 came on the power play ( since I know you love to devalue those) and 1 was in garbage time of game 7.

Really destroyed the Habs.

Marner had an impressive 4 assists. Insane that we get "goalied" basically every series.
 
So I'll explain the Montreal series for you.
Seems you're the one that needs the Montreal series explained to you.

Danault got heavily outplayed. It was visible in real time, and literally every metric that measures the flow of play shows that Danault got caved in. No player wants that.
Danault also got outscored while he was on the ice. The Matthews line scored 3 times as many goals as the Danault line. No player wants that.
Individually, Matthews had 5 times as many points as Danault. No player wants that.

The only reason that an injured Matthews didn't embarrass Danault even more than he already did was because Price stood on his head and Matthews hit a bunch of posts.

But tell me more about how you know hockey because you looked up Matthews' point total.
Insane that we get "goalied" basically every series.
Not only is that not true, but also, it's not like the goalies that "goalied" us only "goalied" us. They "goalied" others too in the same playoffs.
 
Anyone actually defending that Montreal series is irrelevant to intelligent discussion. That Game 6 in Montreal, the way we came out, is one of the most embarrassing displays I’ve ever seen. You can paint it all you want with convenient metrics but the canvas is rotten.
It was awful, but it's over and doesn't mean it'll happen every year like people think
 
It was awful, but it's over and doesn't mean it'll happen every year like people think



Don't count your chickens so fast.

The heavily favoured Leafs who won their Div played the lowest ranked #16 ranked Montreal and lost in 2020-21 with Jack Campbell in net.

The year prior the heavily favoured #5 Pens vs #24 Montreal in the best of 5 play-in rounds 2019-20 lost 3 games to 1 with Matt Murray in net.

The Leafs have just replaced Jack Campbell with Matt Murray the other goalie that lost in epic fashion to the lowest ranked team entering the playoffs.

“Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” Winston Churchill. History never repeats itself. Every single historical moment is distinct from those past. However, we must learn from our mistakes so that we do not run the risk of repeating them.

Leafs just look like their asking for it.
 
Nylander WAS overpaid at time of signing. Significantly.

He was a 20 goal/60 point player and his defenders were using a guy who paced for 37 goals/78 points on final elc year as his direct comparable. Nylander got the Pastrnak contract at the same term, FAR more front loaded, FAR more in signing bonuses, and 1 less ufa year. A disgusting contract that set the tone for the other core players. And Pastrnak also didn't have a literal write-off year where he was literally a disgraceful hockey player like Nylander did.

Remember... GOOD gm's don't pay 20 goal/60 point players on the HOPES they get better. They pay them JUST as a proven 20 goal/60 point player. Everybody in the world knew MacKinnon would be elite. Dubas would have paid him based on that. But MacKinnon's gm was a GOOD gm, paid him ONLY on what he'd proven at that point. That's what GOOD gm's do. Not rookies who literally admit they're "learning as they go".
I think you do pay for potential. I don't think you go into Matthews discussions expecting him to take RNH money. But if there is a disagreement between potential and production, I think that's where bridge deals come into play. If you don't want to bridge the player, then you may just be agreeing with them that they're worth more. If the player just wants too much money and they're not worth it, that's when you trade them. Ultimately the GM is responsible for the outcome.
 
Anyone actually defending that Montreal series is irrelevant to intelligent discussion. That Game 6 in Montreal, the way we came out, is one of the most embarrassing displays I’ve ever seen. You can paint it all you want with convenient metrics but the canvas is rotten.

I think you are spinning an odd narrative here though.

Are you really surpised a Habs team playing back at home coming off an overtime victory with their back still against the wall wouldnt come out hard in the first period? Its literally the norm for these situations no matter the teams and the period still ended at 0-0 after they blew their load. Tampa has had just as many "embarassing" moments but they won right? Why did they? They had multiple games during that cup run where they won games they had no business winning really and if it were the Leafs they would be even bigger "embarassments" than you think game 6 was. Only managing 15 shots in a game against the Canes? Getting almost doubled in shots in a game against the Habs? They won both games so its all good. Both those games were far more embarrassing for Tampa than the Leafs start in game 6 was though. Looked like they took the night off in both games but hey, they could afford to do that right. Got that x-factor.

I mean, in that game 6 after the first, the Leafs then proceded to take over the game, outshooting them 33-16 over nearly a full game of hockey (if you include the overtime). If not for Price, the series was over (the story of the entire Habs playoff run really). If that was a Tampa game with its inevitable 2-1 victory, is the team all of a sudden heroes with the same start? Yup.

Its a sad fact that every Leafs series has literally been a game of "switch the goalies and we win". Maybe Murray with his excellent playoff pedigree can finally change that......and for all the praise over the Habs making the finals, I wouldnt trade that run to be a crap team like they became for the next 5 years A cup? For sure! .......but no one is going to remember the Habs outside of being a poorly coached mediocre team carried by a massive cinderella goalie that still failed to win in the end. Their managment slit their own throats too doubling down on thinking their team was actually good.
 


Don't count your chickens so fast.

The heavily favoured Leafs who won their Div played the lowest ranked #16 ranked Montreal and lost in 2020-21 with Jack Campbell in net.

The year prior the heavily favoured #5 Pens vs #24 Montreal in the best of 5 play-in rounds 2019-20 lost 3 games to 1 with Matt Murray in net.

The Leafs have just replaced Jack Campbell with Matt Murray the other goalie that lost in epic fashion to the lowest ranked team entering the playoffs.

“Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” Winston Churchill. History never repeats itself. Every single historical moment is distinct from those past. However, we must learn from our mistakes so that we do not run the risk of repeating them.

Leafs just look like their asking for it.

What about Helle getting swept by the Habs in the 2nd round....or Lehner?

I think Price was more of a factor than the goalies he was facing. Just an insane playoff elevation we may not see again for a while. Vasy at least had an elite team in front of him.
 
Nylander WAS overpaid at time of signing. Significantly.

He was a 20 goal/60 point player and his defenders were using a guy who paced for 37 goals/78 points on final elc year as his direct comparable. Nylander got the Pastrnak contract at the same term, FAR more front loaded, FAR more in signing bonuses, and 1 less ufa year. A disgusting contract that set the tone for the other core players. And Pastrnak also didn't have a literal write-off year where he was literally a disgraceful hockey player like Nylander did.

Remember... GOOD gm's don't pay 20 goal/60 point players on the HOPES they get better. They pay them JUST as a proven 20 goal/60 point player. Everybody in the world knew MacKinnon would be elite. Dubas would have paid him based on that. But MacKinnon's gm was a GOOD gm, paid him ONLY on what he'd proven at that point. That's what GOOD gm's do. Not rookies who literally admit they're "learning as they go".
This is not accurate. He had 2 61 point seasons in his ELC. His PPG was actually higher than both Draisaitl and Pastrnak. Not to mention, Clayton Keller got 7.15 not long after Nylander signed and had far worse numbers with more TOI.
Your Mackinnon comment is odd given Nylander had a better ELC than Mackinnon did. The cap had risen a lot. Mack got as much as he could with seasons of 63, 53 and 38 points. How is he getting paid what he was worth but Nylander what he would become? Nylander had 2 60 point seasons. Significant. It's almost like you're saying Nylander is only worth 6.9 right now. He's underpaid.

This idea Mackinnon took a discount is garbage. No truth to it whatsoever.
 
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Seems you're the one that needs the Montreal series explained to you.

Danault got heavily outplayed. It was visible in real time, and literally every metric that measures the flow of play shows that Danault got caved in. No player wants that.
Danault also got outscored while he was on the ice. The Matthews line scored 3 times as many goals as the Danault line. No player wants that.
Individually, Matthews had 5 times as many points as Danault. No player wants that.

The only reason that an injured Matthews didn't embarrass Danault even more than he already did was because Price stood on his head and Matthews hit a bunch of posts.

But tell me more about how you know hockey because you looked up Matthews' point total.

Not only is that not true, but also, it's not like the goalies that "goalied" us only "goalied" us. They "goalied" others too in the same playoffs.

He did not dude he did his job significantly better then the job Matthews did the job he's assigned to

It's like if we're in a series and Kampf holds mcdavid to 4 points and gets one and oilers fans are on here saying that mcdavid got 4 times the number of Points so he dominated him.

Hilarious that you keep using 3 times the number of goals etc because of how few that line scored. Shows you know you're incorrect. One line was there to stop the other from scoring they were successful at it it's not that hard to see who had the better series

Maybe our stars shouldn't get locked down so easily or we should be built better and we wouldn't get "goalied" so easily
 
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He did not dude he did his job significantly better then the job Matthews did the job he's assigned to
Danault's job was not to get a top-line role, score nothing, get heavily outplayed and outscored by an injured player, and pray that Price stands on his head and a bunch of posts are hit, so that he can limit the bleeding to it only being bad and not an unmitigated disaster.
Maybe our stars shouldn't get locked down so easily or we should be built better and we wouldn't get "goalied" so easily
We didn't get "goalied" easily, and anybody that "goalied" us "goalied" others, suggesting that it had a lot more to do with the goalie going on a run than the team they were facing being built wrong. Anyway, we scored well on one of the best goalies in the league this past year, so not sure why you're still talking about this.
 
Danault's job was not to get a top-line role, score nothing, get heavily outplayed and outscored by an injured player, and pray that Price stands on his head and a bunch of posts are hit, so that he can limit the bleeding to it only being bad and not an unmitigated disaster.

We didn't get "goalied" easily, and anybody that "goalied" us "goalied" others, suggesting that it had a lot more to do with the goalie going on a run than the team they were facing being built wrong. Anyway, we scored well on one of the best goalies in the league this past year, so not sure why you're still talking about this. Tl

That was 100% his role and was his role all playoffs.

We didn't hit that many posts we were shutdown by a line with the specific task of shutting us down. Denault was one of the main reasons they made the runs.

As I said if Kampf shuts down mcdavid and oilers fans were coming on here to brag that he had 4 times as many points as kampf with a point total of 4 you'd think it's a stupid comment as well.

A bunch of posts were hit is 100% a made up comment. Guess that happens when you don't actually watch the games though

I'm bringing it up because 3/4 of your excuses are bullshit about goalies. We got "goalied" by a jackets team that won 1 game against Tampa so obviously you're taking out of your ass

Every year got "goalied" this year you decided to claim "it was basically the conference finals" and whine about an obvious pick by Holl because it was the one year the top line actually showed up
 
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That was 100% his role and was his role all playoffs.
No, that was not his role. That is just getting massively outplayed. If you think his job was to get massively outplayed in every way, and that was the best they could possibly hope for, then you're really just arguing how amazing and massively valuable and impactful Matthews is.
We didn't hit that many posts
I'm pretty sure it was reported that Matthews hit more posts than any other player in the 1st round of that year's playoffs.
Denault was one of the main reasons they made the runs.
If I remember correctly, Danault did have better moments in the playoffs after getting crushed by us, but the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd reason they made their run was Price.
We got "goalied" by a jackets team that won 1 game against Tampa
Columbus continued getting hot goaltending into the Tampa series. Through the same amount of ice time, the SV% was almost identical. Korpisalo set the all-time playoff save record in that series. 0.950 goaltending is obviously not sustainable. Eventually, it runs out and often rebounds the other direction. Columbus actually still ended with a better series goal differential than any other team Tampa faced on their way to the cup.
 


Don't count your chickens so fast.

The heavily favoured Leafs who won their Div played the lowest ranked #16 ranked Montreal and lost in 2020-21 with Jack Campbell in net.

The year prior the heavily favoured #5 Pens vs #24 Montreal in the best of 5 play-in rounds 2019-20 lost 3 games to 1 with Matt Murray in net.

The Leafs have just replaced Jack Campbell with Matt Murray the other goalie that lost in epic fashion to the lowest ranked team entering the playoffs.

“Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” Winston Churchill. History never repeats itself. Every single historical moment is distinct from those past. However, we must learn from our mistakes so that we do not run the risk of repeating them.

Leafs just look like their asking for it.

"Playoffs!" then ignores Murray's multiple cups and great playoff record to point out a small blip in his record.

How is our mod so anti-Leafs?
 
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No, that was not his role. That is just getting massively outplayed. If you think his job was to get massively outplayed in every way, and that was the best they could possibly hope for, then you're really just arguing how amazing and massively valuable and impactful Matthews is.

I'm pretty sure it was reported that Matthews hit more posts than any other player in the 1st round of that year's playoffs.

If I remember correctly, Danault did have better moments in the playoffs after getting crushed by us, but the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd reason they made their run was Price.

Columbus continued getting hot goaltending into the Tampa series. Through the same amount of ice time, the SV% was almost identical. Korpisalo set the all-time playoff save record in that series. 0.950 goaltending is obviously not sustainable. Eventually, it runs out and often rebounds the other direction. Columbus actually still ended with a better series goal differential than any other team Tampa faced on their way to the cup.

Denault had 4 points the entire playoffs. You need to stop making shit up. He was their version of Kampf. The post thing is completely made up by you. The only thing close to that was Keefe claiming we had good chances to justify another loss. It was neither the narrative nor after a Google search anything that I could find reported

Columbus gave up 3/3/2/5 goals vs the lightning and averaged less then 30 shots the last 4 games he faced 47 shots the last two games and gave up 0 goals. His game one juiced his save percentage.

The lightning didn't get goalied in any game besides game one that they won
 
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