This website is obsessed with draft picks, but having a plethora of young players means nothing if there is no culture for them to come to. Almost as important as drafting is development. You're going to have a really beaten down Chychrun and possibly Crouse and then who?
So you will have a bunch of 18 year olds coming in who you are hoping will build their own culture.
Also, even if you bottom out, the odds are far greater that you pick 4th than 1st so thinking you will have Michkov, Bedard, or Wright is possible, but banking on it is wishful thinking.
I think the 'Yotes only chance is for Matthews to sign there when he is a UFA. If that doesn't happen and they are still spinning their wheels they will probably move. I think they probably should move, but I take no glee in that, I think it's tremendously cruel to wish for fans to lose their favourite team.
How would moving the Coyotes alter their building strategy? Does Houston have anti-tanking laws or something? It would be the same organization. Teams move because the owners want to move them for financial reasons. If there’s any chance they can get their own arena built in Arizona then that’s the best case scenario, it’s certainly better for the team financially than becoming tenants in someone else’s arena.
And getting 1OA would be a pretty big deal because the Coyotes have gotten jack shit in the draft, they likely have fewer top picks than just about any NHL franchise.
The Coyotes have had a top 5 pick a grand total of four times in their history (starting in 1996): 2018 #5 Barrett Hayton, 2013 #3 Dylan Strome, 2007 #3 Kyle Turris and 2005 #5 Blake Wheeler.
That’s absurd. In contrast, Tampa has had 8 top 5 picks and 3 1OA since 1992: 2013 #3 Jonathan Drouin, 2009 #2 Victor Hedman, 2008 #1 Steven Stamkos, 2001 #3 Alexandr Svitov, 1998 #1 Vincent Lecavalier, 1995 #5 Daymond Langkow, 1993 #3 Chris Gratton and 1992 #1 Roman Hamrlik. Not all of these picks are winners but a bunch are pretty critical players.
And the Coyotes’ recent poor luck with lottery is due in part with the NHL changing the lottery odds. The lottery only expanded to all 14 non-playoff teams in 2013. In 2015 the odds for the four worst teams were decreased while the odds for the better teams were all increased. In 2016 the lottery slots expanded to the top three picks.
The NHL apparently had it’s fill with the chaotic fun of this juiced lottery because they’re switching the odds back to favor the bottom four teams more as well as cutting the lottery back to two spots. This is actually a really good time to tank.
I’m not saying their scorched earth approach is flawless or not without it’s drawbacks but tanking does work in the sense that you significantly increase your odds of getting elite players by doing it. The fact that tanking teams have then screwed up the team building around those players is a different issue. (For example, the Griffin Reinhart trade wasn’t part of any Oilers tank.)