2022/23 Roster Thread XX: Heading into the Homestretch

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Beef Invictus

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See I don't actually care about that aspect. The NHL lineup for the foreseeable future to me is irrelevant. Nothing matters, as long as they don't put themselves in a spot to draft actual elite level talent. Nothing matters until that is in place, sure as shit not Farabee, York, Frost, or Cates, or Tippet.

What they need to have is a fire sale to accumulate draft assets, and more importantly more favourable draft positioning. That means moving Konecny, along with others. I think Torts is going to strongly oppose such an approach.

He's going to force his GM to cater to his wishes, because right now he does have carte blanche in this organization. Hayes, and TDA have already had any trade value nuked - but he's going to want them off the team no questions asked. Hayes is the perfect tank commander for the next x amount of years. TDA is a guy a team could sell off at the next deadline, and try to work with the player until then.

Well, it means quadrupling down on the all-defense, zero-offense, zero-skill, max-grinding approach to hockey this team has embraced since they panicked when Bryzgalov flopped. Which as we've seen, has massive negative impacts on players development (both as prospects and pros, with skill maintenance). Dropping all that youth into this wood chipper is just a waste of time. That's the thing I care about. In a vacuum the makeup of the team doesn't matter in the present, but the big picture is bleaker than Scandinavian films.
 

FlyerNutter

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Well, it means quadrupling down on the all-defense, zero-offense, zero-skill, max-grinding approach to hockey this team has embraced since they panicked when Bryzgalov flopped. Which as we've seen, has massive negative impacts on players development (both as prospects and pros, with skill maintenance). Dropping all that youth into this wood chipper is just a waste of time. That's the thing I care about. In a vacuum the makeup of the team doesn't matter in the present, but the big picture is bleaker than Scandinavian films.

Get what you are saying, I just dont care about any of the youth currently on the team.

Someone has to score, and they are a bunch of secondary filler as far as I am concerned were you to put them up against solid playoff teams for a series.

It's not that I don't care about development, development of more than just "playing hard" - but the draft positioning for the next few years, and selling off of prime level assets needs to happen here. Otherwise even with great development this is a waste of time. Another core of primarily secondary players we hope over achieves to win a playoff round?

Find a f***ing superstar or two. They are introduced into the league every single year, just never for this team.
 
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Beef Invictus

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Get what you are saying, I just dont care about any of the youth currently on the team.

Someone has to score, and they are a bunch of secondary filler as far as I am concerned were you to put them up against solid playoff teams for a series.

It's not that I don't care about development, development of more than just "playing hard" - but the draft positioning for the next few years, and selling off of prime level assets needs to happen here. Otherwise even with great development this is a waste of time. Another core of primarily secondary players we hope over achieves to win a playoff round?

Find a f***ing superstar or two. They are introduced into the league every single year, just never for this team.
Here's a fun exercise. What superstars exist in the league that the Flyers wouldn't find a way to ruin, dampen, or squander? How long is the list?

I was gonna say McDavid, but they'd absolutely squander him harder than Edmonton is doing while trying to make him into a grinder to boot.
 

FlyerNutter

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Here's a fun exercise. What superstars exist in the league that the Flyers wouldn't find a way to ruin, dampen, or squander? How long is the list?

I was gonna say McDavid, but they'd absolutely squander him harder than Edmonton is doing while trying to make him into a grinder to boot.

I think talent finds a way.

I don't excuse poor development, I've harped on it for years even pre the hiring of our own Napolean. You have to be given the chance at ruining said level of talent, and yes this team needs to ensure a bottom level pick to find it.

They aren't coming across a Brayden Point or Roberston.

They had a perfect chance to do so the last 2 years, but decided to not sell - and draft 5th + 7th. Maddening.
 
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flyersnorth

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I think talent finds a way.

I don't excuse poor development, I've harped on it for years even pre the hiring of our own Napolean. You have to be given the chance at ruining said level of talent, and yes this team needs to ensure a bottom level pick to find it.

They aren't coming across a Brayden Point or Roberston.

They had a perfect chance to do so the last 2 years, but decided to not sell - and draft 5th + 7th. Maddening.

I just had a quick look at picks #5 and #7 over the past decade or so.

Interesting mix of star players, middling players, and busts.

From what I remember, Pettersson, Q. Hughes, and Shiefele stand out as the stars.
 

flyersnorth

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deadhead

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Even if you tank, you're not drafting in the top 3 for more than a couple seasons unless you're totally incompetent, in which case it's going to take a decade (Edmonton, NJ) and ONLY if you're lucky enough to win the lottery 2-3 times AND in the right seasons. Wanna take bets on that?

So you're not building a team around two top 3 picks, you'd better turn Frost and Tippett into 2nd line forwards, develop guys like Foerster and Brink, hope Farabee rebounds from his neck surgery to be a top 20 scorer and so forth.

The whole point of the lottery is to reduce the odds of succeeding through tanking. And it works.
 
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Beef Invictus

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Even if you tank, you're not drafting in the top 3 for more than a couple seasons unless you're totally incompetent, in which case it's going to take a decade (Edmonton, NJ) and ONLY if you're lucky enough to win the lottery 2-3 times AND in the right seasons. Wanna take bets on that?

So you're not building a team around two top 3 picks, you'd better turn Frost and Tippett into 2nd line forwards, develop guys like Foerster and Brink, hope Farabee rebounds from his neck surgery to be a top 20 scorer and so forth.

The whole point of the lottery is to reduce the odds of succeeding through tanking. And it works.

Ah, so, they should be having a youth movement right now to get guys no-pressure experience? Good idea, I'm on board. When does it start? Someone told me it would be happening from Day 1, then amended it to December, then changed it to post-TDL. Will it beginning soon, do you think?

It's such an obvious thing to be doing that surely, it would merit criticism for not happening, yes? Especially from anyone who thought such a course would be likely and best for the whole season?
 

FlyerNutter

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Even if you tank, you're not drafting in the top 3 for more than a couple seasons unless you're totally incompetent, in which case it's going to take a decade (Edmonton, NJ) and ONLY if you're lucky enough to win the lottery 2-3 times AND in the right seasons. Wanna take bets on that?

So you're not building a team around two top 3 picks, you'd better turn Frost and Tippett into 2nd line forwards, develop guys like Foerster and Brink, hope Farabee rebounds from his neck surgery to be a top 20 scorer and so forth.

The whole point of the lottery is to reduce the odds of succeeding through tanking. And it works.

So the status quo eh? There will be no rebuild, because I'd bet my life that thinking like this is alive - and well in the Flyers org.

It's all a charade.

Button on a pod with Myrtetus/Meltzer.

They tried to get him to side with tanking not being worth it. He shot that down pretty quick.

"Yeah it is worth it"... "You never want to be in that cushy middle, that 7-11 spot". Talks about the impact a Crosby, and Ovechkin have had on their markets for 15+ years. This horseshit viewpoint that tanking should be avoided is such a nonsense Flyer belief.

:laugh:
 

kudymen

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No, it's been a theme for months around here.

Torts is playing Cates over Frost (except the last few months Frost has more 5x5 time than Cates)!

Torts is sticking Frost with 2nd rate forwards (except JVR has outscored Farabee until the last couple weeks), and Frost plays as well with Tippett as with TK!

Or maybe Torts has shuffled lines for most of the season, except for a couple months after Cates moved to center, b/c he wants to see who potentially fits with whom for next season.

Some people here get woodies for offense, and don't even think defense matters.

I recall people laughing at Cates having Couturier IQ. That’s what happened. Majority mob laughing at idea of Cates not being Frost on offense? Bullshit.
 

VladDrag

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The silly thing is people for some reason want to trash Cates for not being Frost.

Apples and oranges, both are key players going forward, top teams need both offensive centers and elite defensive players.

I think people want to trash Tippett b/c CF traded for him. The guy has limitations, but he's scored 26 goals his first season as a full-time starter, and has the 2nd best xGFrel among all Flyer forwards (JVR is 1st, but in a much more sheltered role). He plays hard, makes things happen with his size and speed, back checks consistently, and showed improvement all season. What's not to like?

Yes, Frost might have scored slightly more with TK instead of Tippett, but he'd have also been on the ice for more goals against. So what's the point? Only scoring matters? Defense doesn't help to win games?
Now this is a topic I don't mind discussing with you.

No one is specifically trashing Cates, let me rephrase. I'm not trashing Cates. I think he's a perfectly fine middle 6 player. I prefer him at LW, but he's done well at center, defensively. He's been a good, and has positive value. One of the few guys in the league whose defensive metrics actually outweigh his offensive metrics to the point of a positive player. That's very hard to do and he should be applauded for that. I have significant worry that much of his offensive metrics are tied his linemates, but he still performed well.

When it comes to Frost vs Cates, (which again, I don't know why we have to do it this way but we do...) the issue is that Frost came in with the offensive pedigree, basically at both the AHL and juniors. One thing about development is whatever plus skill a player exhibits at lower levels, you want to see that at the next level. Once you stop seeing, that that's a cause for concern. So when it comes to Frost, you want to see his positive playmaking, and offensive acumen. He was never going to be able to show his ability playing with the NDs and the Zack MacEwen's types.

Cates never had that high-level offensive game Frost had, but when it came time to make the lineups, Cates was gifted better offensive linemates (we can agree to disagree there, you're wrong, but we can agree to disagree). TK and Farabee are better linemates than Tippett and JvR - they just are.

When it comes to Tippett, I've grown to like him as a complementary middle-6 forward. He is one of the fastest players with puck on his stick, particularly at his size. He doesn't look like he's moving that fast, and then just blows right by defenders. I do like his compete and his effort. My current 'issue' with Tippett is that he's not the most aware player. Once the puck gets in the zone and they setup, his athletic skill set kind of gets lost. He can't use that acceleration or speed. Maybe he needs a bit more time, and maybe he can develop more of that skill - not holding my breath on that, but maybe. There reasons to believe a regression may happen with him next season, but there are also reason to suggest he'll continue his production. It's nice to have him a 1.5M for one more year to confirm. I'll say this tho, if he doesn't show more development in the in zone portion of the game, I'm not looking forward to giving him a long term contract. His impact is directly tied to his plus athleticism, once that goes you're looking at diminished returns. We can talk contract next season.

Finally, no one knows what the net impact would have been if Frost was given Cates' linemates, and you can't pretend you do.
 

deadhead

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When it comes to Tippett, I've grown to like him as a complementary middle-6 forward. He is one of the fastest players with puck on his stick, particularly at his size. He doesn't look like he's moving that fast, and then just blows right by defenders. I do like his compete and his effort. My current 'issue' with Tippett is that he's not the most aware player. Once the puck gets in the zone and they setup, his athletic skill set kind of gets lost. He can't use that acceleration or speed. Maybe he needs a bit more time, and maybe he can develop more of that skill - not holding my breath on that, . . .
Truth is, TK isn't the most aware player either, how many times have you seen him try to force a pass on a 2 on 1 when the defender was in position instead of taking the shot? That's a lack of vision. He's more polished than Tippett in terms of setting up shots and seeing plays develop, he's also far more experienced. Tippett may be even faster, but he's still learning how to use his speed. He's more consistent as a back checker than TK.

Like I said, I don't see 1st line talent in Tippett, but he's already a solid 2nd line player - how many teams have six forwards with 20 goals? He should get better, but his ceiling is probably an above average 2RW. TK scores like a 1RW, but his so-so defense and turnovers negate some of that value.

Cates could play at 2LW right now, he's better offensively at LW as he showed last season. But in terms of team building, having him play center until they build up center depth provides additional value, both in terms of injury insurance and roles - even if he moves back to LW, he'll play center in certain situations (3rd period with a lead) or if they put together a Goodrow - Guorde - Coleman type energy line down the road. He's a better version of Laughton, which is why they should trade Laughton this summer.
 

VladDrag

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Truth is, TK isn't the most aware player either, how many times have you seen him try to force a pass on a 2 on 1 when the defender was in position instead of taking the shot? That's a lack of vision. He's more polished than Tippett in terms of setting up shots and seeing plays develop, he's also far more experienced. Tippett may be even faster, but he's still learning how to use his speed. He's more consistent as a back checker than TK.

Like I said, I don't see 1st line talent in Tippett, but he's already a solid 2nd line player - how many teams have six forwards with 20 goals? He should get better, but his ceiling is probably an above average 2RW. TK scores like a 1RW, but his so-so defense and turnovers negate some of that value.

Cates could play at 2LW right now, he's better offensively at LW as he showed last season. But in terms of team building, having him play center until they build up center depth provides additional value, both in terms of injury insurance and roles - even if he moves back to LW, he'll play center in certain situations (3rd period with a lead) or if they put together a Goodrow - Guorde - Coleman type energy line down the road. He's a better version of Laughton, which is why they should trade Laughton this summer.

I think TK's turnovers come from being over aggressive and not so much from a mature offensive game. This is the way Owen Tippett has always manufactured points - he's not good at manufacturing for others unless its on the rush. That's always been a deficiency in his game. Is it possible it develops now, sure, is it likely, no. But tangential to what I said in the previous post regarding development, it's unlikely that someone develops a new skill at a higher level - it just doesn't happen very often. Doesn't mean it won't happen, or that I'm rooting against it, either.
 

deadhead

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I think TK's turnovers come from being over aggressive and not so much from a mature offensive game. This is the way Owen Tippett has always manufactured points - he's not good at manufacturing for others unless its on the rush. That's always been a deficiency in his game. Is it possible it develops now, sure, is it likely, no. But tangential to what I said in the previous post regarding development, it's unlikely that someone develops a new skill at a higher level - it just doesn't happen very often. Doesn't mean it won't happen, or that I'm rooting against it, either.
I agree. Tippett may incrementally improve, but he's not going to become an elite winger. Foerster showed more vision and awareness in his cameo at 21 than Tippett after a year starting at 23. But as a 2RW I think Tippett has a lot of potential, especially with a playmaking center like Frost. I'd put someone like Brink with Cates and a shooter on the LW if Cates stays at center.
 

VladDrag

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I agree. Tippett may incrementally improve, but he's not going to become an elite winger. Foerster showed more vision and awareness in his cameo at 21 than Tippett after a year starting at 23. But as a 2RW I think Tippett has a lot of potential, especially with a playmaking center like Frost. I'd put someone like Brink with Cates and a shooter on the LW if Cates stays at center.
My problem with Tippett as Frost's winger is that once you get into the zone, you limit Frost's natural ability. It's why he and Foerster look good together, or why he and TK look good together. They feed off each other during the cycle. Their athleticism is in their hand-eye coordination, whereas Tippett's is in his ability to generate power through leg drive. It's why Tippett has such a powerful shot, but no accuracy - he doesn't have as much control of the fine motor skills, where Frost/TK/Foerster to a lesser extent do.

I would rather see Frost with TK or Foerster before seeing him with Tippett because they'll be able to control the puck for longer.
 

deadhead

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My problem with Tippett as Frost's winger is that once you get into the zone, you limit Frost's natural ability. It's why he and Foerster look good together, or why he and TK look good together. They feed off each other during the cycle. Their athleticism is in their hand-eye coordination, whereas Tippett's is in his ability to generate power through leg drive. It's why Tippett has such a powerful shot, but no accuracy - he doesn't have as much control of the fine motor skills, where Frost/TK/Foerster to a lesser extent do.

I would rather see Frost with TK or Foerster before seeing him with Tippett because they'll be able to control the puck for longer.
That's why the two of them worked so well with Cates, and that might be in the cards down the road if Gauthier is a center and/or they trade/draft a playmaking center. Or add a more skilled LW.

Tippett actually plays better away from Frost, but not Frost away from Tippett.

I think b/c Tippett creates more space for Frost and the other current wingers can't keep up with Frost.

Tippett can play on an "energy line" as well as a scoring line. He creates a lot of plays on his own, but is a little lost in the zone b/c he's still learning to play the "half court" game. His shot is less accurate than TK, but some of that isn't so much coordination as the game hasn't slowed down and he hurries things - but he has a quick release and good hands.

It'll be interesting to see who they add the next couple years and how they fit in, Brink as a potentially elite playmaking wing, some snipers in Foerster and Gauthier. Couts and Atkinson as veteran glue. A high draft pick this year and multiple 1st rd picks and prospects the next two years (if they trade say Provorov and TK).
 

Magua

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I just don't have the time to debate Konecny and Tippett possessing the same level of offensive IQ. Deadhead has been declaring that for months, and if you ignore every piece of pertinent information and just want to reinforce years old slagging of Konecny, I guess it makes sense. It's funny to think that Tippett and Konecny are only 2 years apart. Konecny was doing what Tippett is doing now at age 20.

Tippett's growth into a certified, high octane middle 6 guy is a positive development. I doubted him for a long time, but his elite tools finally manifested into sustainable NHL offense. Just as a thought.....would he be the Devils 6th, 7th, or 8th best forward? I think they're all arguable; I lean 7th. But that's sort of the point: perspective.

How much more offense can Tippett mine? I never found him brainy, to say the least, but he's shown enough upstairs to hang and utilize his always awesome tools. But he's still not brainy. Cycle offense, PP work -- I'm not sure how much higher his ceiling goes. Even paired with an elite forward, by nature he's more of an individual ES creator. I've said plenty of times that this version is a useful player, but we might be near his scoring ceiling, not to mention his usage has been through the roof on a shit team.
 

Beef Invictus

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I just don't have the time to debate Konecny and Tippett possessing the same level of offensive IQ. Deadhead has been declaring that for months, and if you ignore every piece of pertinent information and just want to reinforce years old slagging of Konecny, I guess it makes sense. It's funny to think that Tippett and Konecny are only 2 years apart. Konecny was doing what Tippett is doing now at age 20.

Tippett's growth into a certified, high octane middle 6 guy is a positive development. I doubted him for a long time, but his elite tools finally manifested into sustainable NHL offense. Just as a thought.....would he be the Devils 6th, 7th, or 8th best forward? I think they're all arguable; I lean 7th. But that's sort of the point: perspective.

How much more offense can Tippett mine? I never found him brainy, to say the least, but he's shown enough upstairs to hang and utilize his always awesome tools. But he's still not brainy. Cycle offense, PP work -- I'm not sure how much higher his ceiling goes. Even paired with an elite forward, by nature he's more of an individual creator. I've said plenty of times that this version is a useful player, but we might be near his scoring ceiling, not to mention his usage has been through the roof on a shit team.

I've been thinking that Cooper could put Tippett to formidable use. Probably Bednar as well.
 
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