Voracek was still a great skater at age 33. He's currently out with a concussion which has nothing to do with skill sets or player types.
I'll take the bet that Hayes doesn't score 62 points or play 79 games in his age 32 season in 24-25.
Jake at 32 scored 1.66 pp/60 at 5x5. Now that was partially due to a really bad Sh%, 2.06% and low secondary assist rate 0.17.
At 31 he scored 2.38 pp/60, but that was due to a high Sh% 10.53% and high secondary assist rate 0.77.
Split the difference, the six years before he shot a little below 7%, about 0.50 secondary assists per 60.
So if you used this crude normalization:
30: 2.20
31: 1.75
32: 2.26
Average: 2.07. His scoring has held up.
On the other hand xGF%
30: 52.07% xGFrel +1.80
31: 48.36% xGFrel - 3.67
32: 43.48% xGFrel - 2.37
While playing on bad teams brought down his xGF%, he also was a below average player on those bad teams.
His peak years were from 22-26, then a smaller decline from 27-30, then a second decline at 31.
On the PP, he had an amazing season in 2017-18, clearly an outlier for his career.
30: 4.99 pp/60, xGF/60: 6.88
31: 3.46 pp/60, xGF/60: 6.71
32: 5.91 pp/60, xGF/60: 6.80
his xGF is remarkably consistent.
Hayes
29: 2.05
30: 2.10
His Sh% the last two seasons have been the lowest of his career, his 0.75 secondary assists boosted his scoring last season, but his 0.18 has depressed it this season.
29: xGF 43.82%, xGFrel -3.05 [this is where his injury showed up last year, couldn't get back on defense]
30: xGF 48.60% xGFrel +2.50
Note that his metrics are much better since he moved to LW.
PP
29: 1.84 pp/60, xGF 6.24
30: 5.76 pp/60, XGF 6.43
He did put up 5.62 and 5.21 his last two seasons in NY, so this season isn't totally out of line.
His xGF those two years in NY were 7.61 and 7.23
It's not that high of a threshold for Hayes to meet the next two years.
As a LW, it's clear he's a better player than at center, how good? The sample really isn't large enough.