redacted
Registered User
- Feb 24, 2012
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Norris is a low end 1C IMO... but let's run with this thought experiment. Norris in his rookie season was at 17.7%. If he 'regressed' to 17.7% with the same shot numbers this year... his goals drop by 5 to 30 in 66 games (37 goal pace). Still has a 50 point in 66 game season or a 62 point pace. If you think 17% is still too high despite 40+ a season being right around there. Let's go to 15%... he'd still have 26 goals this season and paced 32 goals.
It is weird to me when stats people claim regression from high numbers, but don't actually plug in a more normalized number to see what they result would be.
He should move them out ASAP if he hasn't already done so. Many of these players should see the writing on the wall with the situation and should have seen it months ago.Legit worried for his family though.