Blue Jays GDT: 2021 v8 | Next: Sun, Aug 8 | vs Bos | 1pm ET/10am PT |Richards vs Ryu]

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ok, clench time coming, cmon bullpen do your thing cuz the indians bullpen prob wont give us anything.
This is the exact type of game we've had problems with all year when we get in this situation. 1-2 run leads heading into the 7th, 8th and 9th. Huge test tonight.
 
stripling vs matz gonna be a tough call to move to the bullpen. both pretty effective recently.

Not that difficult a choice:

Matz
Mar/Apr: 5 starts (27 IP), 4.00 ERA, 3,83 FIP, .216 avg, 24% k rate
May: 6 starts (32.2 IP), 4.41 ERA , 3.23 FIP, .293 avg, 26% k rate
Jun: 3 starts (12.2 IP), 6.39 ERA, 5.69 FIP, .315 avg, 23% k rate
Jul: 4 starts (18 IP), 4.50 ERA, 4.55 FIP, .297 avg, 16% k rate

Stripling
Mar/Apr: 2 starts (8.1 IP), 7.56 ERA, 4.97 FIP, .342 avg, 24% k rate
May: 6 starts (28.2 IP), 4.40 ERA, 4.81 FIP, .248 avg, 24% k rate
Jun: 5 starts (28.1 IP), 3.18 ERA, 3.80 FIP, .215 avg, 25% k rate
Jul: 5 starts (20 IP), 6.30 ERA, 7.22 FIP, .250 avg, 20% k rate


Those Stripling July #s are awful, but they're almost entirely murdered by his outing vs Boston on the 19th where he recorded just 1 out while giving up 6 runs to 7 batters faced. otherwise his other July starts saw him give up 4 runs, 2, 1, and 1.
 
Jays have a better run differential than three teams in front of them combined.

Boston: +49
Oakland: +46
New York: +13
Total: +108

Jays: +111
 
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In today's Charlie Montoyo wellness check:


Joe Panik's OPS with the Marlins (.414) is lower than Santiago Espinal's SLG (.418).

Panik is now worth a grand total of -0.8 fWAR in 66 games this season between Toronto and Miami vs Espinal at 1.1 in 63 games.
 
Why take out Richards after 9 pitches and 3 righties coming up?
giphy.gif


Charlie out there playing 5D chess.
 
I repeat, Espinal should be the everyday third baseman with a day off here and there. What a great one handed throw in the 8th for the second out. Why did Valera even play the last TWO games?
 
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Jays have a better run differential than three teams in front of them combined.

Boston: +49
Oakland: +46
New York: +13
Total: +108

Jays: +111
I think we just need to accept that apparently that stat means nothing this season. It's usually a good indicator, but not for us. The difference this year, if the Jays make the playoffs, will be the pen. The starting pitching and hitting is pretty damn good. The pen has been awful overall. Hopefully with the arms traded for and with healthy arms coming back, we can justify that run differential.
 
I think we just need to accept that apparently that stat means nothing this season. It's usually a good indicator, but not for us. The difference this year, if the Jays make the playoffs, will be the pen. The starting pitching and hitting is pretty damn good. The pen has been awful overall. Hopefully with the arms traded for and with healthy arms coming back, we can justify that run differential.
I’d love to know how many games we have been winning at the end of the 6th inning. It’s gotta be like 60 + %
 
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