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Blue Jays GDT: 2021 v8 | Next: Sun, Aug 8 | vs Bos | 1pm ET/10am PT |Richards vs Ryu]

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Puckstuff said:
I’d love to know how many games we have been winning at the end of the 6th inning. It’s gotta be like 60 + %
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The pen was atrocious almost all season. Getting better at game 100 makes things far too difficult to catch up with your rivals.
 
Cimber has been an exceptional pickup. 3 more years of team control as well after this year. Might be the best value pickup in MLB during this season.
 
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Man Bear Pig said:
The pen was atrocious almost all season. Getting better at game 100 makes things far too difficult to catch up with your rivals.
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True. Very good sign to be only 2.5 back of a wc spot considering how many leads were lost. It shows how good this team really is when the bullpen does its job
 
Anyone have the up to date Cimber stats since coming over? I know he's only given up 1 run is 14 1/3 inning, but his WhiP that to be around .5 as well.
 
Man Bear Pig said:
I think we just need to accept that apparently that stat means nothing this season. It's usually a good indicator, but not for us. The difference this year, if the Jays make the playoffs, will be the pen. The starting pitching and hitting is pretty damn good. The pen has been awful overall. Hopefully with the arms traded for and with healthy arms coming back, we can justify that run differential.
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I would wait until the end of the season before you definitively say this. There is a reason why you play the 162.

Yankees have been hovering around that mark all season but they should be better. If the Red Sox don’t have horse shoes this year like they do every 3-5 years, I say it’s the Yankees and Jays who make it to the playoffs. I need to see more from the Rays and Red Sox.

In their last 30 games the Red Sox have been -20 and their lucky pitching is catching up to them.



Only reason they had a good run differential is because they have been outhitting their problems and they had a great start in April and May but their run differentials since have been;

June: +3
July: +1
August: -7

Oakland has had negative run differentials in 3 months with winning records. They are riding the high of a ridiculous June:

April: -4
May: -7
June: +64
July: +12
August: -1

Remaining games vs teams with a losing record:

Blue Jays: 24
Red Sox: 24
Oakland: 20
Yankees: 18

If the Blue Jays hold their own they have the upper edge because they have more games left to play and been one of the most consistent teams over the season;

April: +17
May: +15
June: +27
July: +34
August: +11

2nd best run differential in the AL, 4th best in the league. This is bound to catch up to them in a good way.
 
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re: Boston

Eovaldi - 21 GS - 3.71 era
Perez - 21 GS - 4.56 era
Pivetta - 21 GS - 4.57 era
Richards - 21 GS - 5.21 era
Rodriguez - 21 GS - 5.33 era
Houck - 6 GS - 2.45 era

Their bullpen has really saved them because their starters have not been good. Their record is a bit suprising.

That said if they get innings from Houck and they get Chris Sale back suddenly it looks a lot better for them and it could prevent a collapse.
 
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Puckstuff said:
re: Boston

Eovaldi - 21 GS - 3.71 era
Perez - 21 GS - 4.56 era
Pivetta - 21 GS - 4.57 era
Richards - 21 GS - 5.21 era
Rodriguez - 21 GS - 5.33 era
Houck - 6 GS - 2.45 era

Their bullpen has really saved them because their starters have not been good. Their record is a bit suprising.

That said if they get innings from Houck and they get Chris Sale back suddenly it looks a lot better for them and it could prevent a collapse.
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They also have Kutter Crawford who is probably next in line for a call up should they finally punt Perez and Richards.

I think Rodriguez is overdue for some positive regression. All underlying metrics have him way better than his actual ERA but he has been babip'd to death.

When healthy:

Sale
Rodriguez
Eovaldi
Houck
Pivetta/Crawford

Basically, Perez and Richards can't be in the rotation anymore.
 
Hoping:

Sat, Aug 14 @ Seattle - Ryu
Sun, Aug 15 @ Seattle - Stripling/Matz
Mon, Aug 16 OFF
Tue, Aug 17 @ Washington - Manoah
Wed, Aug 18 @ Washington - Ray
Thurs, Aug 19 OFF
Fri, Aug 20 vs Detroit - Berrios
Sat, Aug 21 vs Detroit - Ryu
Sun, Aug 22 vs Detroit - Stripling/Matz
Mon, Aug 23 vs Chicago - Manoah
Tue, Aug 24 vs Chicago - Ray
Wed, Aug 25 vs Chicago - Berrios
Thu, Aug 26 vs Chicago - Ryu
 
phillipmike said:
I would wait until the end of the season before you definitively say this. There is a reason why you play the 162.

Yankees have been hovering around that mark all season but they should be better. If the Red Sox don’t have horse shoes this year like they do every 3-5 years, I say it’s the Yankees and Jays who make it to the playoffs. I need to see more from the Rays and Red Sox.

In their last 30 games the Red Sox have been -20 and their lucky pitching is catching up to them.



Only reason they had a good run differential is because they have been outhitting their problems and they had a great start in April and May but their run differentials since have been;

June: +3
July: +1
August: -7

Oakland has had negative run differentials in 3 months with winning records. They are riding the high of a ridiculous June:

April: -4
May: -7
June: +64
July: +12
August: -1

Remaining games vs teams with a losing record:

Blue Jays: 24
Red Sox: 24
Oakland: 20
Yankees: 18

If the Blue Jays hold their own they have the upper edge because they have more games left to play and been one of the most consistent teams over the season;

April: +17
May: +15
June: +27
July: +34
August: +11

2nd best run differential in the AL, 4th best in the league. This is bound to catch up to them in a good way.
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I know what you're saying, and I agree that things usually balance out over 162 but, I'm just hoping for a wild card spot this late in the season. I think this club is the best team in the division and they should be a playoff team.
 
MS said:
It could really only be a misguided obsession with having extra LH bats, even though Espinal is hitting .325 against RH pitching this year. They're subbing out D. Strawberry for H. Simpson to play the matchups, essentially.
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Watching Montoyo do his thing is so maddening. We can only hope that Espinal has a little strain or something they haven’t disclosed and are just giving him a few days off
 
dredeye said:
Watching Montoyo do his thing is so maddening. We can only hope that Espinal has a little strain or something they haven’t disclosed and are just giving him a few days off
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If he was getting rest days you wouldn't think they'd bring him on as a defensive replacement late as they did for his last couple benchings.

Basically they've just continued using him exactly how they did when Biggio was around, and put Valera into Biggio's role.
 
I keep expecting Manoah's 93 MPH fastball to get lit up but his slider is so good it seems to keep hitters off balance.
 
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