On the Leafs, here's what suggest for this offseason:
Trade Kerfott and Reilly before the expansion draft. Obviously, returns will be limited, but you're looking for NHL-ready forwards and reasonable deals.
Try to re-sign Hyman if he's willing to take a reasonable deal. If he wants to go to market, he'll get an overpay somewhere so you lose him.
Re-sign Spezza and Bogosian if they're willing to stay at reasonable prices.
Consider re-signing Galch and Simmonds if they're willing to take league min(ish) salaries.
Let the other UFAs walk.
The goals of the offseason:
- Acquire at least 1 solid defenseman. This could range anywhere from a top pair guy to a bottom 4 guy, but whoever it is needs to be able to play in the top 4 if needed. Sandin tentatively takes Reilly's spot, but you don't want to be relying on Sandin, plus you need depth in case of injury.
- Acquire a 1B goalie to compete with Campbell. Seattle might be able to supply that.
- Acquire enough forwards with enough offensive talent to keep the likes of Simmonds, Engvall, Mikheyev, Spezza and Galch on the 4th line or lower if everyone is healthy.
- The above means, adding 4-5 new forwards to the roster. Some of that might come internally with guys like Nick Robertson or other prospects, but it likely means dipping into the trade (Reilly) or free agent market. it's worth noting that if they do trade Reilly, they'll be to protect 7-3, which would leave them with plenty of forward protection slots, and can take advantage of teams not wanting to lose a good forward for nothing.
Obviously cap space is going to be an issue, and it would be easier if they moved Marner, but according to both Dubas and Shanahan, that ain't happening. By my calculations, if they made these moves, they'd have around 19m to play with. This doesn't count Hyman's cap hit, and assumes someone like Engvall is buried in the minors. Assuming each of the new players (1-2 D, 1 G, 4 F) come in at an average of 3M, they can afford it.
I doubt we trade Graves for anyone we'd need to protect. Unless you're talking after the expansion draft, at which point I doubt we have a Graves to trade.