You don't get a player of Eichel's caliber/age by waiting three years to see if the asset depreciates because then you don't get him.
The Kings would be acquiring a sure thing. That is less of a gamble on their part. One in the hand is worth two in the bush. We're talking much better prospects when comparing Byfield to Paul Ladue but people didn't want to move Paul Ladue for Landeskog because the defensive prospect pool was so thin. Where is Paul now?
There is still a question of cost so I'm not all in on it but I am very interested. This is the 3rd rebuild season, basically. 2019 draft is your first high pick draft (2007 - Hickey) with 2020 being your second one (2008 - Doughty). This one was all set for #3 (2009 - Schenn) but they are a little frisky at the moment. You get the Richards trade two seasons after Schenn so your 2-3 year belief is on track if we want to do an apples-to-apples rebuild comparison. Richards was older, locked up for more years and had already dropped off from his career highs in points. He added a needed element to the team outside of points but I like Eichel's moxie as well. Schenn was considered the best prospect not in the NHL at the time of the trade but definitely hasn't lived up to the hype.
You could be right that Eichel may be too rich at the moment. What did happen after getting that last high pick in Schenn was that DL acquired Smyth in the off-season and picked Williams up at the '09 trade dealdine, jettisoning a supposed building block in O'Sullivan in the latter deal. That team needed veteran leadership that could also play: this one already has veterans that are relied upon to produce so it isn't the same situation. Blake could possibly take more time and not make a move this off-season but that is another season of these vets getting older and possibly less productive. If you have an abundance of prospects--especially at center--and can nab an elite, known quantity that is in an age bridge between the prospects and the vets, you really need to think long and hard about it. The idea of maximizing the remaining years of 11/8 while not giving up the farm is very enticing to me: if you can add Eichel and still maintain a Top 10 prospect pool than that is pretty nice.
Eichel is over a PPG the last two seasons. 94 point pace last year. I think we will all be stoked if any of the current prospects put up a season like that.
The only problem with comparison to the Richards trade is the Kings had a roster entering or in their primes. Right now the Kings have a roster that’s either in their twilight years or not entering their prime. Then only players possibly entering their primes are Kempe.
The problem with trading for Eichel now is if you don’t win in the next couple of seasons and prospect trajectory changes then we end up in the same spot Buffalo is in. Eichel and nothing else much on the roster.