Will break it only 64 goals to go 32 each next 2 season . This number Will come Down . Lets say he only score 10 more goals . Its 27 goals each season he has left on his contract. If he can score 20 more its only 22 goals for 2 seasons
Look, I still think he'll get the record, but doubt certainly starts to creep in. When you suggest if he scores 10 more this year he'll only need 27 goals the next 2 seasons.....but if scores 10 more he'd finish with 18 goals this year, so scoring 27 next year and the year after doesn't seem like a lock. At current pace, he'd only score 9 more this year. So....before too much doubt creeps in, I want to see what he does the rest of this year. Assuming he keeps the same pace, doubt starts to get noisier.....however, the remaining wild card is playing beyond the current contract.....but then you are looking at season at 41 years old and if he didn't get the record by then, he clearly didn't do too well in the few seasons prior so will he still be playing at 41?
So, not sure if I'm on the fence yet, but I'm getting close to grabbing on and starting to climb.....currently, I'd stay close to the side of the fence that has him getting the record, by the end of the year I may step further away from the fence or further toward, but doubt either would be by much. Even if he doesn't score another goal this year, I don't think I'd change my position drastically, the only possible scenario that moves my position more aggressively is if he goes and scores a ton of goals the rest of this year. If he scores 30 more goals this year, for example, nothing is set in stone, but that "doubt" would almost be gone.