My pre-game thoughts from earlier in the week, bolded highlighted for effect.
things going against BUF:
1:00 start with Upper 80s shade temp with high humidity, heat index >>100F, their thinner depth (due to injuries) will be tested.
short practice week, with road travel
D-line injuries
Gabe Davis - will he be back or not?
secondary injuries
inexperienced secondary depth
(potential) external expectations they win
things going for MIA:
nothing to lose
Hill, Gesecki, Waddle with catches vs. a "keep them in front of you" Bills defense, then turning upfield and tripling their gains with YAC*
Tua had a big game / comeback, he and the 'fins will have confidence.
"push" / no advantage:
hopefully, the crowd
*that's the defense the Bills should play, given injuries and their typical 2-high scheme, but I don't want to see BUF in a track meet / last team with the ball wins the game situation.
I think whomever wins the turnover battle will prevail. If that's a push, it will come down to kicking game / special teams (who has fewer miscues).
More on the heat/humidity at the bottom. Bills lost the turnover battle and had more miscues than Miami. That was the difference.
Miami scored more than a point per minute.
D line nowhere to be found. Well rested though
Miami scored 1.09 points per minute of possession. That's not anomalous. The NFL average score per team is 23 pts., or ~0.77 points per minute of possession. What IS anomalous are the Bills 19 points in nearly 41 minutes, or 0.47 points per minute, and 19 points for nearly 500 yards of offense. Their offense should have put up ~35 points for that many yards.
There is nothing logically to be upset about with this game! But that doesn’t change the fact it was frustrating as we STILL should have won despite the injuries and missed opportunities
My whole reason for preferring to be blown out vs. losing closely.
We’re gonna lose games! Almost nothing you can take from this freak game. BUT like you said, the team is going to be frustrated with this loss and they know they let one slip by. McDermott will have it under control
Not arguing with you personally, but I disagree. I am not of a WGR 55 caller mentality, nor one who wears Bills blinders, but if there is any team in the NFL this season who has the talent, coaching, and collective ability to win every game they play this season, it's Buffalo. They beat themselves today.
The longer I marinate on this, the less I'm concerned. When Miami comes up here, we might very well blow their doors off.
That should be the plan. Should they get the lead, I don't think the Bills should let up in any rematch.
the fact that the dolphins sideline is in the shade for the whole game and the visitors sideline is in direct sun for the whole game is a tremendous competitive advantage on days like this.
It's easily 20 degrees difference, IMO. And the number / percentage of Bills vs. Dolphins who were impacted supports my view. They were talking about the intentional design of the structural sun shade added to the stadium a handful of years ago.
it is also a legitimate player safety issue that the league needs to address. i don’t know why they’re allowed to set up the field this way. away teams in miami should at minimum be allowed to bring some sort of clear 4 wall/roof tarp situation that they can climate control just so you don’t have guys dying out there from heat stroke
I only saw 1 popup shelter on the sidelines, which Allen was sitting under. I've seen dozens on the sidelines for kiddie rec league soccer games where I live. Why didn't the Bills have more of them on their sideline?
And did the Bills have any of those large fans with the misting drip spray - "swamp coolers"?
That's a neat note. We should start only shoveling our sideline for winter games and let the other team stand in waist-deep snow whenever they're not on the field.
Pretty sure NFL competitive guidelines would not permit that.
In sum:
1. The depleted defense wasn't the issue. MIA 212 yards and only the one big play with blown coverage to Waddle over the middle.
2. I don't know that I'll ever see any NFL team gain 500 yards and put up only 19 points.
3. Several VERY questionable calls vs. BUF would not have been called in other games, and far more egregious actual fouls went uncalled on MIA.
4. Points off the turnover (Allen fumble near his 10 yard line) was the difference.
The only solace:
San Diego lost badly to Jacksonville.
Colts beat KC.
Ravens beat the Pats.
Would that be considered a Hot Take?
As opposed to a magma torta, which would be considered a Hot Cake.