I'm not sure about that. Trouba has looked inconsistent and hasn't progressed the way I thought he would after his rookie season. I've watched him carefully because I've picked him up the past two years in fantasy and been supremely disappointed with him. I still think he will be a stud, but I think he's riding high on what a lot of people saw his rookie year. Everyone thought "wow, if he's already this good as a rookie, he's going to be even better in a couple years." But he hasn't really gotten that much better.
That’s a popular misconception, but it’s wrong. Trouba’s best year was 2 years ago, he was slightly down this year but still far better than his rookie season. His slightly lower shot metrics last year were probably a combination of Mark Stuarts decline and usage differences due to Buff starting the year at F in 2014/2015.
In terms of possession stats last year
Trouba Rel CF/60 2.64 Rel CA/60 1.83 Rel CF% 0.33
Rielly Rel CF/60 2.14 Rel CA/60 5.92 Rel CF% -1.61
Trouba also registers a lot more hits and blocked shots. While these are hard to assess because they often correlate to bad possession stats, Trouba has good possession numbers making him something of a rarity in terms of recording a lot of hits and blocks while still being a good puck possession player.
Both Rielly and Trouba had a bad D partner, but Hunwick is a lot better than Stuart at this point. When separated Trouba’s numbers go up more and Stuarts go down more than Rielly/Hunwick. Regardless Trouba has better numbers overall than Rielly and better numbers when paired with Stuart than Rielly does when he’s on the ice with Hunwick. Also note above that Trouba has really good shot generation numbers and in fact they are very very good when he’s not paired with Stuart.
It’s sometimes suggested this is due to QoC, but QoC across all D-men is actually quite close and Trouba faced reasonably high QoC himself. Quality of Teammate actually has a much bigger impact on a players shot metrics that QoC.
Here are the QoT and QoC for both, of particular note is the xGf% of Trouba’s team mates. Basically he spent a lot less time on the ice with players who can finish when given the opportunity, which explains why he has such a big positive impact on shot generation without a lot to show for it in terms of points.
QoC (CF%)
Trouba 49.99%
Rielly 50.37%
QoC(expected goals %)
Trouba 49.93%
Rielly 50.46%
QoT (CF%)
Trouba 50.24%
Rielly 51.23%
QoT (expected goals %)
Trouba 47.84%
Rielly 51.23%