Trades and Free Agency - 2022-23 Season Edition

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If Muzzin is out for long term (including the playoffs) are people comfortable with 39 year old Gio being on the 2nd pairing all year? That is a ton of ice time for an old guy.

Personally I don't know if that is a wise idea. I wonder if you gotta grab a Muzzin replacement possibly, even if just a stop gap for a year or two while Sandin develops and can take over 2nd pairing duties.
 
Just for kicks... It fits... barely... LOL I'm not thrilled with the forward group, and it's kind of out of order anyway... but the D is pretty good.

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[TH]ROSTER SIZE[/TH]
[TH]SALARY CAP[/TH]
[TH]CAP HIT[/TH]
[TH]OVERAGES
Tooltip
[/TH]
[TH]BONUSES[/TH]
[TH]CAP SPACE[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]$82,500,000[/TD]
[TD]$82,492,913[/TD]
[TD]$212,500[/TD]
[TD]$0[/TD]
[TD]$7,087[/TD]
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[TD]Delete Signed Player[/TD]
[TD]Buyout[/TD]
[TD]Add to Trade[/TD]
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Roster​

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[TR]
[TH]Left Wing[/TH]
[TH]Centre[/TH]
[TH]Right Wing[/TH]
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[TR]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Bunting, Michael
$950,000
LW
UFA - 1[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Matthews, Auston
$11,640,250
C
UFA - 2[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Marner, Mitchell
$10,903,000
RW
UFA - 3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Robertson, Nicholas
$796,667
LW
RFA - 2[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Tavares, John
$11,000,000
C
NMC
UFA - 3[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nylander, William
$6,962,366
RW, LW
UFA - 2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Aston-Reese, Zach
$840,630
LW, RW
UFA - 1[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Kämpf, David
$1,500,000
C
UFA - 1[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Järnkrok, Calle
$2,100,000
LW, C, RW
M-NTC
UFA - 4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Malgin, Denis
$750,000
LW, RW
RFA - 1[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Engvall, Pierre
$2,250,000
LW, C
UFA - 1[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Aubé-Kubel, Nicolas
$1,000,000
RW
UFA - 1[/TD]
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[TD]Roster created at CapFriendly.com | Follow on Twitter @CapFriendly[/TD]
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[TH]Left Defense[/TH]
[TH]Right Defense[/TH]
[TH]Goaltender[/TH]
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[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Rielly, Morgan
$7,500,000
LD
NMC
UFA - 8[/TD]
[TD]
Chicago Blackhawks

Murphy, Connor
$4,400,000
RD
M-NTC
UFA - 4[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Samsonov, Ilya
$1,800,000
G
RFA - 1[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]
Arizona Coyotes

Chychrun, Jakob
$4,600,000
LD/RD
UFA - 3[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Brodie, TJ
$5,000,000
LD/RD
NTC
UFA - 2[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Murray, Matt
$4,687,500
G
M-NTC
UFA - 2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Giordano, Mark
$800,000
LD
UFA - 2[/TD]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Liljegren, Timothy
$1,400,000
RD
RFA - 2[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Toronto Maple Leafs

Sandin, Rasmus
$1,400,000
LD
RFA - 2[/TD]
[TD][/TD]

[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
 
If Muzzin is out for long term (including the playoffs) are people comfortable with 39 year old Gio being on the 2nd pairing all year? That is a ton of ice time for an old guy.
He was on Seattle's first pairing last year before we traded for him (though it was clear that he's not that defenseman anymore), so I don't think having him on the second pairing is that big a deal, provided we give him a partner that isn't Holl.
 
Playing games with these numbers by attaching the same mode of measurement on checking/energy lines that they use on scoring lines is either disingenuous or foolish. It's almost like they are unwilling to recognize that the role for each line is different. It's a hopelessly simpleminded approach to a team sport. Attempt to apply this sort of metric across the lineup of a soccer team or a football team where roles are more specialized then we see how foolish it is.

IMO all of this advanced stats stuff started and should have mostly ended with baseball where matchups between pitchers and batters are largely (but not wholly) isolated events making comparisons between all players in all lineups mostly valid. Once it was brought over to the chaotic cauldrons of constantly switching and swapping matchups that take place during the course of games with other team sports like hockey and basketball, these sorts of measures become too complex to isolate and compare. So what they do is pretend that they're isolated when they are not.
Although more difficult I think that you can use advanced stats in hockey as long as you have context, understand sample size, how outliers are treated, what's being omitted vs whats being captured etc. I do find the more advanced regression stats are often used incorrectly and/or have huge inherent errors associated with their calcs though. However to me more numbers are always better than less lol
 
He was on Seattle's first pairing last year before we traded for him (though it was clear that he's not that defenseman anymore), so I don't think having him on the second pairing is that big a deal, provided we give him a partner that isn't Holl.
About half the league could have been on Seattle's first pairing lol. But in seriousness that will have been over a year by the time playoffs come and older guys can fall off fast and suddenly. I'm not sure if he will have gas left in the tank for the playoffs if he is playing 2nd pairing matchup minutes all season long.
 
It would take more than Malgin given Hoglander's age, but sure. Better than having Malgin sit unnecessarily.
He sits becuase he's a AAAA player

Just another Petan/Amberg type guy

NHL skills (hands passing) but not the IQ or strength to play a skilled game consistently at the NHL level

He deserves another 5-10 games but if he's not giving us 0.5 ppg at minimum we should move him out. Kerfoot was a 50 pt player with 88 and 91.

Malgin should he able to give 80% of that production
 
Show us the list of players who are what we need and also available, then.

I don't want to waste the prime years of our core.

Chychrun can play RD or LD, and sure, he isn't ideal, but he adds mobility and puck movement to our D core, and most importantly - he might actually be available and isn't a rental.

I'd love to see what he can do in a better system. In Sarnia, he wasn't just an offensive D, he played good defence too.

Though a big red flag here is he's been available for a while and no other team has bitten - which means the asking price has got to be sky high.

Like I don't really want to pay 1st + Knies + Robertson (or more) at the moment.
 
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If Ottawa falls out of the playoff race and can't re-sign Zub, he would be a great target. Only 2.5 AAV and he's 27, so still young enough that you can justify a long-term extension. Plays top-pair with Chabot, who's stylistically similar to Rielly. People have always wanted a Tanev-style partner for Rielly and I think Zub is the most realistic target.
Zub is the perfect acquisition, but I think Ottawa will do their best to re-sign him
 
If Muzzin is done, then it's time to swing big and get a replacement. I'd go hard after Chychrun, but if the price is insane then we can spend our money elsewhere.

I'd move Nylander to find an adequate Muzzin replacement, even if it means trading him one place and flipping most of that package elsewhere.
 
If Muzzin is done, then it's time to swing big and get a replacement. I'd go hard after Chychrun, but if the price is insane then we can spend our money elsewhere.

I'd move Nylander to find an adequate Muzzin replacement, even if it means trading him one place and flipping most of that package elsewhere.

I'd wait until Liljegren is back before going all out on a replacement.

You'd have to be insane to trade Nylander right now, no offence. I don't know why that has to happen.
 
If the cap jumps to 86.5 and Matthews signs an extension, there is a chance to really renovate the team this off-season.

I am really hoping that this is similar to last season with Marner where he had an awful start but turned it around.
 
I'd wait until Liljegren is back before going all out on a replacement.

You'd have to be insane to trade Nylander right now, no offence. I don't know why that has to happen.
To clarify my own stance, I don't think trades ever should be made based on momentary needs. We need a Muzzin replacement for Muzzin, we're already counting on Liljegren to man the right side. It took Dubas months to identify and negotiate the Muzzin trade the first time around. I assume a similar move this year would take just as long.

There's no need to trade Nylander. But I think a Muzzin replacement, aka a #2D to give us an elite 2nd pairing, would be a worthy move. At some point the big4 experiment will end, Nylander is going to command a decent sized raise in two years, and he still has more value due to two years left on his deal. I'm a big Nylander fan, but I rate a Muzzin type player more highly than our fourth most important forward.
 
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