I've been driving that bus for a while.
I've been saying we might want 3 scoring lines because It's going to be Tampa, then if they got by that, probably Boston, and if they got by that probably Carolina.
That's murders row.
We can have 3 scoring lines if we put ROR on his own line.
Although even if we didn't:
Boston (including Zacha instead of Greer): 61 goals.
Carolina: 55 goals
Tampa: 56 goals (53 if Maroon over Namestnikov)
Leafs: 58 goals. It is at 61 if we swap ROR and Jarnkrok.
Not the best measure obviously, but we are matching up fine, with the caveat that Acciari, Engvall, Jarnkrok, and Lafferty are above career norms while Kerfoot is well below and Kampf is average and there are different man games played (although I think we are affected worse than the other teams). Acciari and Lafferty will also start playing less which likely means less goals. Didn't check shooting percentages of the other teams' guys.
Top 6:
Boston (with Hall): 130 goals
Carolina: 80 goals
Tampa: 133 goals
Toronto: 139 goals (with Jarnkrok)
And on defense, we are not too far behind either. Keep in mind that our defensemen typically do not shoot the puck a whole lot... at least with intention to score outright. It is more for tips and rebounds.
Leafs are 7th in GF in the league, and that is with Matthews struggling to score the entire year and with a rotation of unproductive 4th liners like ZAR playing a lot. 40 goal pace is still good overall, but not for Matthews... he needs to bring more to the playoffs and if he does, the other teams will need to worry. We've already added more productive depth players as it is, and we can toss Knies into the mix if we need a guy with more offensive potential.
Carolina needs to make a move big time. They have serious scoring concerns. Jersey is a much more daunting offensive threat, and that was before they added Meier.