The problem with this team was that it gutted itself after the SC finals.
We lost Price, Weber, Danault, Tatar, Edmundson, KK but MB was slow and incompetent with his response and picked up Dvorak, Hoffman, Perreault, Paquette, Brooks and Niku. One month into the season MB was quoted as saying he didn't understand the team's terrible start. In my books that simple statement was reason enough to fire him on the spot. His centermen corps was decimated, he lost two key d-men and his star goalie. You compound that with the slew of injuries and Covid protocol absences and you get your 2021-22 Habs team.
Normally, I'm vehemently against blowing up the team. But I've changed my tune with this team. Price and Weber are either gone for good or will never attain their old form. I may have mentioned it when the trade went down but I didn't and don't think Dvorak wants to be here. Although I wasn't a KK fan he slotted well as the 3rd center on this team. I still think Tatar is better for the team than Hoffman and that leaves Edmundson, maybe he'll eventually return to his old form. You compound that with Chiarot becoming a UFA and you got huge, huge holes that can't be filled by trades and or signings without creating other holes and problems. And to add more gasoline to this tire fire next year all our "remaining" veterans will be a year older.
I"m all for a fire sale. Sell all players older than 25-26. And yes that includes Drouin. But I would trade them for picks, prospects and young NHLers. This fire sale should start with this upcoming trade deadline carry over into the summer and work its way into next year's deadline and summer. Gorton should get us at least four more first-round picks within the next two drafts, plus a few more second-rounders. This year is a loss. No news there. Next year (22-23) will be a total loss also. Maybe we'll make the playoffs the following year (23-24) if Gorton and the new GM are able to make some shrewd pick-ups.
Otherwise, if we go for a re-set or re-tool or simply a renovation, we will be stranded at the bottom of the league for the next decade.
As far as Price goes, I was all for trading him even if I know he is a fierce competitor and might get back to shape sooner than we think once he get back in the game, but his contract his going to be hard to move and I doubt Molson will allow Gorton to retain on 3 big contract (Price, Petry, Gallagher). Maybe he will go LTIR. I think he truly screw our rebuilding process since he is so good that he turns this team from a bottom feeder to a bubble team, but unless we take a long-term big contract dump it's going to be hard to convince a NHL team into picking him up. It could be good to keep him for leadership reason.
It's going to be hard to unload all those vets, but if they want to proceed that way, they could make it work by:
2021-2022:
- Trading Chiarot (UFA) with retention
- Trading Allen (1.5 year left contract)
Relieve Paquette of his duties. Might keep Perreault if he accept a discount and he is healthy.
Bet on Gallagher coming back before the end of the season end going back to form around mid 2022-2023. Bet Jonathan Drouin has a respectable begin of 2022-2023 season
2022-2023:
- Trade Gallagher at trade deadline to show case him (30% retention, 4.25 years left that's around 10 M$ money loss)
- Trade Drouin (UFA) to contender a trade deadline
- Trade Jeff Petry with retention ( around 25% retention, 2.5 years left, so around 4.5M$ loss total)
- Trade Byron(UFA) with 33% retention (1M$ loss)
So that around 16M$ retention over the span of 4.5 year which should be tolerable and over 17M$ of cap space over the long term gained. We could get a couple of 1st and 2nd round pick and/or prosect with those traded assets.
You still get to keep payers like Toffoli, Anderson, Perreault, Dvorak, Savard, Edmunson, Lekhonen and Hoffman and Armia (because the two last one are going to be hard to move too), so the team isn't completely dismantled. Savard, Hoffman and Armia could be moved by 2023-2024 if we get a bunch of prospect pool in the pipes that can take on those roles.
You hope Caufield, Suzuki, Romanov , Evans and Poehling are ready for more responsability. You hope some of Ghule, Norlinder or Harris can join the team. Primeau takes on the role of Allen, RHP or Vedj fills in for Gallagher and one of Ylonen or Dauphin replace Drouin.
It leaves money to sign guys like Caufield, Poehling, Romanov, Primeau next summer and to pay Suzuki his big contract. We might still have 2-3M$ to sign a UFA vets for some leadership or take on a stagnating player else where that needs a fresh start.
This team probably won't be competitive in 2022-2023, but if done right, it would allow us to build a good prospect pool by 2023-2024 and build that core for long-term success. Highly doubt we move all those guys thought, that's a lot of roster movement.