Interesting conundrum coming up for Hughes and Gorton: A sizeable part of the recent success of the Habs falls squarely on the bottom 6. The Dvorak line is good to very good night-in night-out while the Evans line has been borderline unplayable for opposing teams recently. Half of that difference-making bottom 6 might also be gone this offseason
There is a fine line to thread here. We don't want to see Hughes go full Yzerman (or even worse... Lamoriello), but make no mistake, if all three of Dvorak, Armia and Evans are gone this offseason, the Habs will be much, much worse to start the next season baring the acquisition of an excellent veteran 3C
I'd say at least one of the UFAs will be re-signed.
- Armia is IMO the likeliest to stay with a 2 years deal at a slight discount compared to now, I'd say I'm 80% sure he stays. He seems to love it here and plays a very thankless role for the Habs. This is a player type that is pretty hard to find, the puck controlling powerforward.
- Then would come Evans with a 50% chance. He'll sign a contract worth 20 millions or more, it's his occasion to cash in. I'm not sure Hughes will be the one to give it though. If he wants a competitive team next season, he has to either find a good replacement or re-sign Evans.
- Dvorak I'd give a 10-20% chance of re-signing. His time here has been blighted by injuries, underperformance and more injuries. Despite being the scapegoat of the fanbase, he's playing some good hockey right now and a rookie would probably do significantly worse than him on a 3rd line. He also seems like a great dude, his teamates really like him.
- Savard I'd give a 10-20% chance, same as Dvorak. The Habs need a RD, but he's declining and I find that Xhekaj has bailed him out a lot this season.
The challenge will be the Evans case of course. If Hughes decides not to re-sign him and to replace him internally, one of Newhook, Beck or Demidov would replace him. He'd also need to either re-sign Dvorak or acquire another bottom 6 C on the UFA market. Replacing both 3C and 4C internally is a catastrophe waiting to happen. The better solution to me would be sign a shutdown C and play one of Beck or Demidov (or even both) on a more offensively inclined line with Armia while Gallagher, Anderson and the new C would be the shutdown line