The first we receive from Calgary will likely be Florida's 2025 first. Florida is looking like a playoff team. So the pick will probably be in the 16 - 32 range. Hard to say exactly where in that range. Hopefully not 31 again.
If you look at Florida's roster after this season they're gonna have a lot of turnover. First of all Reinhart is gonna get a substantial raise, he could get 9+ million if he keeps this up. He alone is going to eat into their depth for next season should they resign him, if they don't they instantly get much worse. There are 7 forwards going to free agency at this point, Cousins, Lundell, Lomberg, Gadjovich all on expiring contracts, I'm fairly certain most will be looking for more money.
On defence it gets even better. Forsling, Montour, Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov and Reilly are all UFAs with Mahura becoming an RFA. I think every single one of them will be looking for a raise from what they're currently getting paid. All in only 2 defenceman are signed for next year over there: Ekblad and Mikkola. It will likely be a much different looking team next year no matter how things play out.
They'll have around 29 million to sign all of those guys. After Reinhart signs there will be some tough decisions to be made but I'm fairly sure this is their best iteration they will have; next year will be worse.
With that kind of instability coming due all at the end of this year and us only needing a bottom 10 finish next year for their pick to transfer to Calgary we might get a perfect confluence of events. The situation is better than we think, we have a reasonable shot cause Calgary is gonna be terrible.
In any case it was a fun ride last time we depended on Florida for a top pick. Might as well strap in for a second time.