I have a bad feeling that leafs will go far this playoffs.
It would require a lot of zebra help in my sometimes wrong--mostly to my wife--opinion. Most contenders have two d pairings that are elite and can contain or slow down top lines, and the Leafs don't even have two full good lines. They're just not built for playoff hockey. We're at a point now where I don't think their fourth best guy, Tavares, would be our best forward anymore. I'm not sure he'd be our second best anymore either. Next year I'd say he'd pretty firmly be on our second line in terms of talent.
Bertuzzi made a huge mistake not signing a long term deal and betting playing in Toronto would boost his numbers, but it's clear they only give favourable minutes to the big three and a half. He and Domi aren't useful in depth roles. After that you have Knies and five AHLers.
Their goalies aren't the type to steal anything except their contract money from the organization. Their D are actually, legitimately, worse than ours. They're regularly playing a guy who couldn't make the OIlers D, and then couldn't make it here even worse than he couldn't make the OIlers D and then played an entire season in the AHL with zero offers. It's not their fault of course, Muzzin retiring early hurt them a lot, but they did bet on a lot of retired racehorses to carry them in Brodie, Giordano, Muzzin and Klingberg so it should have been expected to bite them in the ass eventually.
I do think they'll be better next year, as I see some of their depth guys like Knies and Robertson taking steps forward, but the clock is ticking on the prime of the elite players.
I am less bullish on Matthews and maybe I'm a hater, but he seemingly destroys non-playoff teams for the majority of his multi-goal games. Every one of his hat tricks have been on teams that won't be in the playoffs. I'll use that language since Philly are currently in a spot but he scored on them after the Hart thing where they've been on a massive downswing.
Nylander also cooled off a fair bit after his extension was inked.
Marner was having a down year until a few weeks ago before going over 2 ppg in the last 9 games.
I just don't see it with them. I feel like their schtick works in the regular season where one big player takes over a few games then the next one does and they just coast into the playoffs based on that. None of them seem to handle physicality well and they're basically facing either Florida or Boston in the first round.
Who knows though? They're beating the conspiracy theory drum pretty hard this year so maybe they'll be ref immune in the playoffs and get tons of calls.